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Wisconsin Post Election Night Debrief…
The Last Refuge/Conservative Treehouse ^ | April 6, 2016 | sundance

Posted on 04/06/2016 7:48:49 AM PDT by Bratch

Great job Wisconsin.  All the campaign staff and volunteers should be proud of their accomplishments.  Team Trump winning 44 counties in the state, and Team Cruz winning 24 counties in the state.  [*There was one tie]

Congratulations Team Cruz on the overall victory with 48% of popular vote.

wisconsin map county

First, The Math:

Going into last night the Delegate race was:

Last night Team Cruz won 36 and Team Trump won 6.  So, after last night:

There are 769 Delegates remaining in the upcoming primary states.  In order to get to the magic number of 1237:

There are only 769 Delegates remaining.

The Next Contest is New York on Tuesday April 19th with a whopping 95 delegates(winner take all if single candidate 50% +1 vote).

If Donald Trump can win New York (all CD’s) with 50% of the vote, it will mean:

♦ A) Trump will lead with 853 delegates (only needing 384 of the remaining 674)
-and-
♦ B) Ted Cruz will be mathematically knocked out of the race to 1,237.  Cruz would still need 732 and there are only 674 remaining after New York.

So you can see how New York is infinitely more important than Wisconsin was.

Hence, the Ted Cruz team needing to sell the Wisconsin win as an opportunity to try and “reset the race”.  They are positioning to try their hardest to keep Trump under 50% of the vote in New York.   The media has been working diligently to help Team Cruz with the psychology of the 2016 election in that regard.

But Ted Cruz has a problem:



A New York Values problem.

The Donald Trump campaign and all of the Donald Trump supporters would be well advised to remind all New Yorkers of the previous disparaging comments made by Senator Ted Cruz.

That’s the current state of the race.

That’s the reality.

That’s the math.

However, there’s also the psychology of the race which, unfortunately, many new to politics -and many Donald Trump supporters- are falling victim to.

Remember, this is an insurgency.  You must modify your mindset to think like and insurgent.   Insurgencies have nothing to lose.  If insurgents are not victorious the system, which controls the dynamic, wins.   However, if insurgents do nothing, the same system, which controls the dynamic, also wins.

Do nothing and you lose.  Go to the mattresses and you might win. The choice is yours.

This is Saint Crispins day.

The insurgency, led by Donald Trump, is an existential threat to the professional political class and every entity who lives in/around the professional political class.  The entire political industry is threatened by the insurgency.  The entire political industry is threatened by Donald Trump.

Decision time.

Now you know why the entire Republican apparatus is united with Ted Cruz.  Now you know why the entire Wall Street apparatus is united with Ted Cruz.  Now you know why ever institutional department, every lobbyist, every K-Street dweller, every career legislative member, staffer, and the various downstream economic benefactors, including the corporate media, all of it – all the above, united against Donald Trump.

Donald Trump is an existential threat to the very existence of the Republican Party.

Donald Trump is an existential threat to every entity who benefits from the Republican Party.

Billion dollar defense contracts at stake.  Trillion dollar multi-national trade deals at stake.  The fundamental construct of decades of their united efforts to tear away at the very fabric of the U.S.A is at stake.  They too have nothing to lose, and they’re damn sure acting like it.

Who opposes them?

…..US !

tea party dc

So if you’re in it to win it, great.  If not, get the hell out of the way….  Because we’ve got New York to win, and you’re either lifting us up, or pulling us down ! 

 

 

 


TOPICS: Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: New York; US: Wisconsin
KEYWORDS: cruz; nuthouse; primaries; trump; wisconsinprimary
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To: Beagle8U

No one who understands the seriousness of this election or who understands what the GOPe, with the help of the media, is doing is butt hurt, including Sundance. Cold Anger comes to mind, and very vocal outrage will follow should the GOPe be successful in undermining We the People.


41 posted on 04/06/2016 12:20:07 PM PDT by LuvFreeRepublic
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To: Georgia Girl 2

“Honestly Kasich would be a much better bet”

Everything you said plus he helps pull a swing state. If Trump had to choose between OH or FL, which state he needed more help in it would be Ohio; Kasich has the machine.

He’s stronger in FL and Rubio is not well liked here; he burned every bridge in the state GOP and has no weight anymore.


42 posted on 04/06/2016 12:41:11 PM PDT by MaxistheBest
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To: Blood of Tyrants

Cruz winning at a convention is a pipe dream. Most of the delegates are party insiders who may have claimed to be for Cruz kinda like the GOPe is doing now.


43 posted on 04/06/2016 1:16:46 PM PDT by Mechanicos (Attend a Trump Rally and get to "Punch a Commie for Mommy.")
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sundance is damned good at what s/he does.

No, I'm not sundance.

44 posted on 04/06/2016 1:24:17 PM PDT by Quicksilver
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To: Blood of Tyrants

I predict that unless Trump gets the majority of delegates on the first ballot, that Cruz will be the nominee because he is playing the long game to win over delegates while Trump’s strategy is to call Ted names.
==
Another example comment from the party of stupid.

Ted cannot win FL therefore a vote for Ted is a vote for Hillary.


45 posted on 04/06/2016 1:45:46 PM PDT by QuigleyDU
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To: QuigleyDU

And Trumps negatives are so high that he could never win the WH because he has pissed off too many people. So a vote for Trump is a vote for Hillary.

See how that works?


46 posted on 04/06/2016 1:48:35 PM PDT by Blood of Tyrants (Liberals are the Taliban of America, trying to tear down any symbol that they don't like.)
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To: Blood of Tyrants

And Trumps negatives are so high that he could never win the WH because he has pissed off too many people. So a vote for Trump is a vote for Hillary.

See how that works?

Rebellion sometimes does, but keep riding along with the tide and hope it doesn’t carry you over the cliff.

By the way, if you’re a GoPe supporter what ya doing on FR.


47 posted on 04/06/2016 1:55:57 PM PDT by QuigleyDU
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To: MaxistheBest

Agreed.


48 posted on 04/06/2016 2:12:11 PM PDT by Georgia Girl 2 (The only purpose of a pistol is to fight your way back to the rifle you should never have dropped)
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To: Bratch

My sentiments exactly, sundance!

If you’re in it to win it, Churchillian style, GREAT! If not then get the heck out of the way!!

Crukz is a prop for the Paul Ryan forces and seems happy with the fact. Have no idea what they promised the boob, or his globalist wifey, in order to go along and play the ass carrying their luggage.

TRUMP is a HUUUUUUGE threat to all of them, and Hillary!

Let’s get TRUMP elected!


49 posted on 04/06/2016 2:44:26 PM PDT by RitaOK ( VIVA CRISTO REY / Public education is the farm team for more Marxists coming)
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To: Beagle8U

I think you misread *sundance.

Cruz is the prop for Paul Ryan. Why do you think Wisconsin voted for Cruz? They were voting for a “contested convention” to get Ryan into the nomination.

Surely to heck, you didn’t think it was because WI “likes” Cruz, did you? LOL!


50 posted on 04/06/2016 2:49:08 PM PDT by RitaOK ( VIVA CRISTO REY / Public education is the farm team for more Marxists coming)
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To: QuigleyDU

Tides don’t go over cliffs. They wash upon the shore.


51 posted on 04/06/2016 3:09:47 PM PDT by Blood of Tyrants (Liberals are the Taliban of America, trying to tear down any symbol that they don't like.)
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To: crz

>> Not a bit of difference between them and the loyalists who supported the crown during the revolution.

Great analogy.


52 posted on 04/06/2016 5:39:02 PM PDT by Gene Eric (Don't be a statist!)
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To: Blood of Tyrants; Bratch; Georgia Girl 2; Buckeye McFrog; lexington minuteman 1775; crz; ...
I predict that unless Trump gets the majority of delegates on the first ballot, that Cruz will be the nominee because he is playing the long game to win over delegates while Trump’s strategy is to call Ted names.

Somebody was playing the long game in Wisconsin last night, and it wasn't Ted Cruz:

Waukesha County, Wisconsin:

2016
   Cruz      75123
   Trump     27186	
   Kasich    18521	
     total: 120830

   Sanders   26339
   Clinton   24784
     total:  51123

2016 total: 171953

2012
   Romney    51329
   Santorum  23874
   other      7489
      total: 82692

   Obama      9442
      total:  9442

2012 total:  92134

2008
   McCain    28160
   Huckabee  13926
   other      1313
      total: 43399

   Obama     37662
   Clinton   34009
      total: 71671

2008 total: 115070	

The Uniparty was busy in a few counties surrounding Milwaukee yesterday. Wonder why they're so hot to get Cruz to a contested convention?

53 posted on 04/06/2016 8:13:57 PM PDT by kiryandil (.)
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To: kiryandil

I predict that unless Trump gets the majority of delegates on the first ballot, that Cruz will be the nominee because he is playing the long game to win over delegates while Trump’s strategy is to call Ted names.
Somebody was playing the long game in Wisconsin last night, and it wasn’t Ted Cruz:

Waukesha County, Wisconsin:

2016
Cruz 75123
Trump 27186
Kasich 18521
total: 120830

Sanders 26339
Clinton 24784
total: 51123

2016 total: 171953

2012
Romney 51329
Santorum 23874
other 7489
total: 82692

Obama 9442
total: 9442

2012 total: 92134

2008
McCain 28160
Huckabee 13926
other 1313
total: 43399

Obama 37662
Clinton 34009
total: 71671

2008 total: 115070

The Uniparty was busy in a few counties surrounding Milwaukee yesterday. Wonder why they’re so hot to get Cruz to a contested convention?
==

Wow! Whole bunch of evangelical must have recently moved to southeast Wisconsin.

So Ted Cruz alone got 25000 more votes than Hillary and Bernie combined and more than Clinton and Obama combined in 2008. INCONCEIVABLE.

Impressive, that took some coordination. More evidence Hillary and GoPe fear Trump.


54 posted on 04/06/2016 8:37:46 PM PDT by QuigleyDU
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To: kiryandil
The Uniparty was busy in a few counties surrounding Milwaukee yesterday. Wonder why they're so hot to get Cruz to a contested convention?

Cruz is the GOPe "tool" to stop Trump. After that, Ted gets tossed under the GOPe bus.

55 posted on 04/06/2016 8:48:24 PM PDT by teletech
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To: QuigleyDU
My guess is that 20,000 Democrats crossed over to boost Cruz over the top - with the full blessing and knowledge of the Walker camp.

What was in it for the Democrats? A contested Republican primary convention - the same thing that was in it for the Republicans...

56 posted on 04/06/2016 8:55:03 PM PDT by kiryandil (.)
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To: kiryandil

No kidding. Interesting numbers. Thanks for posting.


57 posted on 04/06/2016 9:29:49 PM PDT by Gene Eric (Don't be a statist!)
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To: kiryandil

It does appear that Cruz got an extra 20 to 25 thousand votes in Waukesha County.

The NY Times has an interesting results page with graphical county maps:

http://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/wisconsin

Note the “Densely populated counties” maps.


58 posted on 04/06/2016 9:50:47 PM PDT by Quicksilver
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To: Quicksilver

Thanks for the link! :)


59 posted on 04/06/2016 10:41:20 PM PDT by kiryandil (.)
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To: Georgia Girl 2

Steal... Spoken like a TRUE Progressive Trumptard...

The rules have been in place for 156 years. You either get the majority +1 or you go to a floor vote...

After round 1, MANY/MOST of the delegates become unbound. This is when “Little Marco”, “Lyin Ted” and all the other insults from trump and his “fans” will play a VERY BIG part...

And yes, there are absolutely things as burned bridges. Maybe not between candidates who are living the campaign, but delegates are heavily invested in their candidates... They WILL NOT forget...

If Trump doesn’t go to the convention with 1237, he won’t win and there won’t be ANY “stealing” involved...


60 posted on 04/08/2016 6:15:42 AM PDT by bfh333 (6/25/2015... The day the Supreme Court gave us SCOTUSCare!)
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