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Here's Why Cruz and Trump are BOTH Likely to Fall Short of 1237 Delegates
Conservative Review ^ | 04/04/2016 | Robert Eno

Posted on 04/05/2016 6:59:31 PM PDT by writer33

On Saturday, over at The Gateway Pundit, Joe Hoft put together a delegate math piece purporting to show that Cruz will be out of the running for 1237 delegates by the end of April. Hoft got that right, but his math used to get there is significantly off. What Hoft also fails to mention is that Trump will be effectively unable to reach 1237 delegates at the end of May.

Using Hoft’s report, the Trump campaign began to echo the elimination narrative. It also realized Trump’s own path to 1237 has significantly narrowed. When Trump fails to get to 1237, Cruz has already proven he has a superior second ballot strategy.


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: New York
KEYWORDS: 2016election; 2016gopprimary; cruz; election2016; newyork; trump; uniparty
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1 posted on 04/05/2016 6:59:31 PM PDT by writer33
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To: writer33

Cruz is being used to block Trump.

As soon as he’s no longer needed he’ll be cast aside by the GOPe. They’ll then move to steal the nomination at the convention.


2 posted on 04/05/2016 7:02:08 PM PDT by TigerClaws
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To: writer33

The corrupt status quo will remain in Washington. Crony capitolism will still be alive and well. Illegals will continue to flow across the border. We had a chance and did not take it. The illegals will be able to vote and the country will never be the same again.


3 posted on 04/05/2016 7:03:08 PM PDT by Parley Baer
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To: writer33

Based on the Trump followers logic on FR they should both drop out?

How about they both go until one gets 1237? Sound good to me.


4 posted on 04/05/2016 7:04:54 PM PDT by Iowa David (Cruz 2016 - Before it's too late)
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To: writer33

He may get the nomination, but he will not win the general. I will not hold my nose and vote for any brokered candidate.


5 posted on 04/05/2016 7:05:08 PM PDT by Lopeover (2016 Election is about allegiance to the United States)
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To: TigerClaws
They’ll then move to steal the nomination at the convention.

Then both Trump and Cruz are going to have to do insure that doesn't happen.

6 posted on 04/05/2016 7:05:33 PM PDT by writer33 (Mark Levin Is The Constitutional Engine Of Conservatism)
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To: Iowa David

“How about they both go until one gets 1237? Sound good to me.”

That’s no fair. Trump should just get it.

Because.


7 posted on 04/05/2016 7:06:27 PM PDT by ifinnegan (Democrats kill babies and harvest their organs to sell)
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To: TigerClaws

As soon as he’s no longer needed he’ll be cast aside by the GOPe. They’ll
then move to steal the nomination at the convention.

************

If the GOPe can keep both below the 1237 number then they get into the lets make a deal
for our candidate so as to bring the party together. Politics is sorta like making sausage.


8 posted on 04/05/2016 7:07:30 PM PDT by deport
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To: ifinnegan
Where have you been the last few weeks. I feel I have been fighting the Trumpsters alone and you make the best post in a month.

LOL

You are awesome

9 posted on 04/05/2016 7:08:48 PM PDT by Iowa David (Cruz 2016 - Before it's too late)
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To: ifinnegan

This made me laugh and smile. Thanks. I needed some good sarcasm today.


10 posted on 04/05/2016 7:08:53 PM PDT by scripter
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To: TigerClaws; writer33

Then they’ll choke on it. Team Cruz has already lined up hundreds of delegates for the second ballot.


11 posted on 04/05/2016 7:09:06 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
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To: Lopeover

So you’re a Hillary voter? That’s grounds for dismissal here.


12 posted on 04/05/2016 7:10:35 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

That is the conclusion that this piece reaches, saying:

“Trump’s campaign staffers have done this math. That is why they are increasingly laying the groundwork to call for Cruz to exit the race when he is eliminated from a majority. They know Cruz is the second ballot favorite, and that Kasich is a non-factor.”


13 posted on 04/05/2016 7:11:40 PM PDT by writer33 (Mark Levin Is The Constitutional Engine Of Conservatism)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Nope. I will pick a more conservative candidate from the Constitution Party in my state if Trump is not nominated.


14 posted on 04/05/2016 7:12:37 PM PDT by Lopeover (2016 Election is about allegiance to the United States)
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To: writer33

Then they’re not COMPLETELY incompetent?


15 posted on 04/05/2016 7:12:40 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
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To: Lopeover

Hillary and the next Supreme Court justice thank you.


16 posted on 04/05/2016 7:13:57 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
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To: Iowa David; scripter

The Trumpster Fire!

Get In or Get Away.


17 posted on 04/05/2016 7:14:01 PM PDT by ifinnegan (Democrats kill babies and harvest their organs to sell)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

This piece goes on in great detail - state by state - that this is not a slam dunk at all and that the long game is in favor of Cruz.


18 posted on 04/05/2016 7:17:32 PM PDT by writer33 (Mark Levin Is The Constitutional Engine Of Conservatism)
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To: Iowa David

Correction: You have been losing your argument to the Trumpsters


19 posted on 04/05/2016 7:17:51 PM PDT by neverbluffer
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To: writer33

Trump has fallen below Cruz in the Reuters polls.

The drop in Trump’s support came just days after he retweeted an unflattering photograph of Cruz’s wife, Heidi. In the following days, the campaigns engaged in a war of words over the candidates’ spouses. Trump also angered many on both sides of the abortion debate when he said in an interview that women who get abortions should be legally punished. The Trump campaign later clarified his remarks.

The drop in support for Trump comes at a critical time in his campaign. While he leads the overall race for delegates, there are growing questions over whether he will be able to secure the minimum 1,237 delegates necessary to win the nomination on the first ballot.

I don’t think Trump can get the votes now. Wisconsin is being downplayed by the trumpers and not a huge number of delegates are involved, but it changes the landscape a little.


20 posted on 04/05/2016 7:18:33 PM PDT by altura (Cruz for our country)
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