Posted on 03/30/2016 10:21:58 AM PDT by NYRepublican72
New Marquette Law School Poll finds Ted Cruz ahead in Wis GOP primary race, with 40% support to 30% for Trump, 21% for Kasich. #mulawpoll
More likely, it will result in two parties and perpetual Democrat rule.
We have that right now. Just a few weeks ago GOPe leadership was meeting in secret with rich DEMOCRATS.
A law school that really knows what they are doing when it comes to polling. There are 45 pages of data attached when the true link comes out once this presser is over. Certain states have gold standards for pollsters. In Iowa, it's Seltzer. In Wisconsin, it's Marquette Law.
Trust me, I am voting for Trump on April 19. The results are just what they are.
Seltzer was off this cycle, so Marquette could be as well, but... I'd trust this more than Optimus or Emerson College.
“The last Marquette poll sample size was tiny with only 297 polled.”
297 polled, and the are 190 cities in the state. 1.5 persons polled per city on average.
I’ve been thinking about those Cruz supporters. Most of those that haven’t come out of their comas probably never will. But those diehards, judging from other states, are less than 25% of the Republican vote, so that 40% seems high. I don’t see how he can gain any new supporters. Cruz has been awful to just about everyone, except Jeb and Carly. How’s that for a trio?
“Great news!
Trump needs to win WI if he plans on getting the majority before the convention.”
That is not true...but what is true is that Cruz cannot win the majority of the delegates prior to the convention. Cruz and his so called principled supporters hope to steal the nomination from the people. Well, should you succeed you will find your Republican party a ghost town this November...I personally will vote Trump in November and there are literally millions of Trump supporters who will do the same. It is literally Trump as President or burn the government down...
It would probably be prudent not to celebrate too much. Of the two campaigns the one most likely to “collapse” is the Cruz campaign. If the Enquirer can find one tearful woman to confirm their story... its over. If the “D.C. Madam’s” phone list has a record of Cruz calling in for an “escort”... its over. If someone gets ahold of the police report on Heidi Cruz that shows what she was upset about on the side of the freeway... its over. If we find out why one of Cruz’s biggest contributors and Cruz’s biggest superpac each gave Carly Fiorina’s campaign $500,000... its over. Do I need to keep going on and on. Little Teddy has been a very bad boy and his campaign is hanging by a very weak thread because of it.
Yes. If you go back and look at the 538 record of polls, Trump has led only a few. Wisconsin has never been friendly to him. His dominance in primary states as well as in open primaries fed the belief he would walk away with Wisconsin. I still don’t believe Cruz is up 10 points, but the entire establishment is aligned against him for a last stand in WI. The key is, Trump will score delegates in WI, but a loss will be portrayed as catastrophic to him by the press. It is mind boggling to me how anyone falls for Cruz’s BS anymore.
Yes, only those paying attention to politics will notice, but don’t kid yourself that WI folks are just rubes who know nothing... I know that’s flyover country for east coasters, but having spent much time in WI over the years, I have found most folks there are far more politically aware that most folks give them credit for.
After all, they only have had their legislature leave the state rather than do their job... Dealt with outside activists coming in repeatedly trying to tell them how to live, and multiple recall elections over the past few years... but you know, they are just a bunch of ignorant rubes who have no interest in politics or the process.
Rolling eyes.
WI won’t be a cakewalk for Trump, if there was a state where an upset would be likely, I’d say WI is the best bet, but I honestly don’t think Cruz will take WI.. if I were to bet on an upset in WI, I’d honestly say Kasich would be more likely to surprise than Cruz.
Especially in the wake of the last week or two events.
Being publicly emasculated by Carly at that press conference won’t play well, regardless of whether folks care about the infidelity.
==
Prediction> Cruz, the GoPe, MSM, open borders, and Hillary win Wisconsin. Contested convention. Cruz political career outside of Texas comes to an end.
Trump is beginning to campaign there. His rally in Janesville was great. Minor problem with the protester throwing a punch and getting pepper sprayed. His event at St Norbert College was impressive.
Sen. Cruz is doing excellent in Wisconsin - He has backing of all talk radio hosts, Gov Walker etc. Missed the event with Cruz and Heide.
That leaves us to Kasich. Really? The guy that has zero chance gets 21%. I see the new talking point is Kasich has a better chance of stopping Trump. Of course, after Wisconsin it’s on to Pennsylvania and NY and the rest of the northeast. All uphill for Cruz.
That makes me question how much the GOPe was involved in the recent wifegate scandals. Cruz and Trump are busy duking it out and Kasich looks like the adult in the room.
Hope Trump and Cruz could see thru all these distractions. Both of them need to man up. Enough!!
Hell if Kasich is going to be the nominee, then why bother with an election. Have him be Hillary’s VP. RNC and DNC both win and it’s back to the same old business as usual.
Trump needs about 55 percent of remaining delegates. The next two states are WI and NY, with a combined total of 137 delegates. Which means Trump needs 75 delegates combined from the 2 states.
He will almost surely get that from NY alone, plus at least a dozen from Wisconsin.
Not sure what all the premature exhuberation from the delusional Cruz shriekers here, but they’re not known for seeing the big picture. Every week for 8 months Trump has been tanking and Cruz surging. Poor children..
Personally I think Cruz’s political career even inside of Texas as at an end... I will be beyond shocked if he even wins re-election to the Senate in 2018.
Even Texas has a limit to the embarrassment they’ll put up with.
I don’t know, Cruz has Walker’s organization which is huge and the stop Trump folks have thrown everything into WI to put out the narrative that Trump is fading. They all went nuts with the Heidi pic and Lyin’ Ted keeps accusing Trump of planting the Enquirer story even though it’s been proven false.
If Trump can win WI it will be the end of Cruz because Ted has entire GOP machine in his corner. I never thought any Freepers would support establishment and it’s heartbreaking. And yes, they know the truth.
Poll was taken with Wisconsin residents in the Milwaukee area. Would be interested in how the polls would reflect rural areas. I would think Trump would do much better. I guess we will find out next week.
“If Cruz does win a brokered convention is much more likely.”
If cruz wins, we won’t need any brokered anything, trump will fold like a cheap suit
There is a breakdown at the end of the release that shows the areas of the state where people were polled. Actual link from Marquette should be available soon. This is from the leaked version. http://webcache.googleusercontent.com/search?q=cache%3Ahttps%3A%2F%2Flaw.marquette.edu%2Fpoll%2Fwp-content%2Fuploads%2F2016%2F03%2FMLSP34Toplines.pdf&oq=cache%3Ahttps%3A%2F%2Flaw.marquette.edu%2Fpoll%2Fwp-content%2Fuploads%2F2016%2F03%2FMLSP34Toplines.pdf&aqs=chrome..69i57j69i58.1325j0j4&sourceid=chrome&ie=UTF-8
If you are correct and this is only a regional poll and not all of Wisconsin, its toilet paper.
Not sure what all the premature exhuberation from the delusional Cruz shriekers here, but they’re not known for seeing the big picture. Every week for 8 months Trump has been tanking and Cruz surging. Poor children..
Cruzies are busy beating the drums and trying to create the illusion of a race. It’s over. Cruz lost when he went 0 for 6 on Super tuesday while posting awful numbers in OH and FL. No candidate who gets 13% in OH and 17% in FL is ever going to be POTUS. Not going to happen.
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