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* LIVE TUE 3/22 ELECTION THREAD (AZ and UT)
Self | 3/22 | tatown

Posted on 03/22/2016 4:55:42 AM PDT by tatown

AZ - 58 delegates (Winner Take All)

UT - 40 delegates (Proportional, WTA > 50%)


TOPICS: Breaking News; Politics/Elections; US: Arizona; US: Utah
KEYWORDS: americansamoa; arizona; arizonaprimary; az2016; cruz; livearizonaprimary; liveutahcaucus; primary; trump; ut2016; utah; utahcaucus
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To: Zenjitsuman
The end comes for Cruz when another 235 delegates go to anyone else

If Cruz stays in after that, he's ADMITTING he's GOPe.

61 posted on 03/22/2016 11:14:37 AM PDT by kiryandil (Chicago, March 2016: The Delphi Technique in action...)
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To: Kenny

“...and even if he could win the general, which he doesn’t have a prayer, ...”
____________________________________________________________________________

The RCP polling data presented in this post indicates that currently Cruz does have more than a “prayer” against Clinton, while Trump will need to do a lot of praying!

The NBC issue is a non-starter as there will not be adequate time to litigate a lawsuit in the few months before the election. Cruz has already gained access to the ballots in most states, so NBC should not be a problem...if Cruz were to win the nomination, the case will be litigated at the ballot box by the American people!


62 posted on 03/22/2016 11:22:17 AM PDT by HoosierWordsmith
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To: Kenny

Got that right.


63 posted on 03/22/2016 11:25:42 AM PDT by Jim W N
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To: HoosierWordsmith; Kenny

Right. Who cares about the freaking Constitution, here involving the guy (Cruz) who claims to embrace the Constitution but resists the idea of having federal court settle the issue which would make Cruz, at least in my estimation, a more genuinely selfless candidate by risking a negative decision for the sake of not handing the election over to the Dems one way or the other.


64 posted on 03/22/2016 11:31:18 AM PDT by Jim W N
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To: HoosierWordsmith

Again on these head-to-head polls, it was Carter +20 over Reagan. How’d that work out?


65 posted on 03/22/2016 11:33:34 AM PDT by Kenny
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To: justlittleoleme

Trump will crush clinton. She will fall like a house of cards.


66 posted on 03/22/2016 11:44:04 AM PDT by connyankee (Cannot stand Fox News. A pack of wolves, they be.)
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To: Kenny

Donald Trump is no Ronald Reagan

67 posted on 03/22/2016 11:45:37 AM PDT by justlittleoleme
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To: connyankee

Beat her like a drum.

Beat her like he was her daddy.


68 posted on 03/22/2016 11:46:06 AM PDT by Jim W N
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To: justlittleoleme; Kenny

Knew you’d say that, but that fact is there are many similarities.


69 posted on 03/22/2016 11:47:25 AM PDT by Jim W N
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To: justlittleoleme

Donald Trump is miles closer to Reagan than Cruz. Reagan was a man who said what he believed and acted on it.

Not like Cruz who says what it takes to get elected and has zero accomplishments in the Senate.


70 posted on 03/22/2016 11:54:01 AM PDT by Kenny
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To: Jim 0216

Slap the taste out of her moutb.


71 posted on 03/22/2016 11:54:25 AM PDT by connyankee (Cannot stand Fox News. A pack of wolves, they be.)
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To: austinaero

Just returned from voting here in Scottsdale AZ. Long, long lines. Took 50 min. to get inside to cast our votes for Donald J. Trump. Go Donald go. Usually in and out in 2-3 minutes. Lines weren’t this long when we voted for Reagan.


72 posted on 03/22/2016 12:05:18 PM PDT by nurse-rn
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To: Kenny

“Again on these head-to-head polls, it was Carter +20 over Reagan. How’d that work out?”
___________________

That worked out well for Ronald Reagan...polls can be wrong, polls can change...in the end, polls are usually just a measure of public opinion at a moment in time.

So, at this moment in time based upon the current RCP averages, Cruz has a much better chance of beating Clinton that Trump...it’s just the current data...not the final data!


73 posted on 03/22/2016 12:06:02 PM PDT by HoosierWordsmith
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To: tatown

How many delegates for American Samoa? Did it vote yet?


74 posted on 03/22/2016 12:12:23 PM PDT by Repeal 16-17 (Let me know when the Shooting starts.)
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To: nurse-rn

Voted for Trump here in Prescott, AZ a few weeks ago by mail. The only way to fly - or vote.

:)


75 posted on 03/22/2016 12:16:23 PM PDT by Jim W N
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To: nurse-rn

Good job!


76 posted on 03/22/2016 12:16:27 PM PDT by GonzoII ("If the new crime be, to believe in God, let us all be criminals" -Sheen)
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To: Repeal 16-17

Nine delegates.


77 posted on 03/22/2016 12:17:42 PM PDT by Jim W N
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To: SamAdams76

I believe you are right, except that the delegates will be divided proportionately, not evenly. So, if the WTA trigger of 50% is not met by any candidate, then any candidates that exceed the 15% threshold will divide the delegates proportionately.

Exception: If two or fewer candidates meet the 15% threshold and the 50% trigger is not met, the threshold I’d dropped, and the division is truly proportional. With only three in the race, that is certain if none gets the 50%

Example: If Trump gets 14%, Kasich gets 38% and Cruz gets 48%, then the delegates would be T 6, K 15, C 19.
Example: If Trump gets 20%, Kasich gets 32% and Cruz gets 48%, then
the delegates would be T 8, K 13, C 19.


78 posted on 03/22/2016 12:18:12 PM PDT by enumerated
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To: Repeal 16-17
How many delegates for American Samoa? Did it vote yet?

According to an article here (scroll down to 10:15 a.m.), their delegates are unbound, though one is endorsing Trump and one is endorsing Cruz.

79 posted on 03/22/2016 12:18:48 PM PDT by snarkpup (I want a government small enough that my main concern in life doesn't need to be who's running it.)
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To: Jim 0216
Utah, you'd better vote Cruz or go to hell.


80 posted on 03/22/2016 12:19:09 PM PDT by Kenny
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