Posted on 03/22/2016 4:55:42 AM PDT by tatown
AZ - 58 delegates (Winner Take All)
UT - 40 delegates (Proportional, WTA > 50%)
If Cruz stays in after that, he's ADMITTING he's GOPe.
“...and even if he could win the general, which he doesnt have a prayer, ...”
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The RCP polling data presented in this post indicates that currently Cruz does have more than a “prayer” against Clinton, while Trump will need to do a lot of praying!
The NBC issue is a non-starter as there will not be adequate time to litigate a lawsuit in the few months before the election. Cruz has already gained access to the ballots in most states, so NBC should not be a problem...if Cruz were to win the nomination, the case will be litigated at the ballot box by the American people!
Got that right.
Right. Who cares about the freaking Constitution, here involving the guy (Cruz) who claims to embrace the Constitution but resists the idea of having federal court settle the issue which would make Cruz, at least in my estimation, a more genuinely selfless candidate by risking a negative decision for the sake of not handing the election over to the Dems one way or the other.
Again on these head-to-head polls, it was Carter +20 over Reagan. How’d that work out?
Trump will crush clinton. She will fall like a house of cards.
Donald Trump is no Ronald Reagan
Beat her like a drum.
Beat her like he was her daddy.
Knew you’d say that, but that fact is there are many similarities.
Donald Trump is miles closer to Reagan than Cruz. Reagan was a man who said what he believed and acted on it.
Not like Cruz who says what it takes to get elected and has zero accomplishments in the Senate.
Slap the taste out of her moutb.
Just returned from voting here in Scottsdale AZ. Long, long lines. Took 50 min. to get inside to cast our votes for Donald J. Trump. Go Donald go. Usually in and out in 2-3 minutes. Lines weren’t this long when we voted for Reagan.
“Again on these head-to-head polls, it was Carter +20 over Reagan. Howd that work out?”
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That worked out well for Ronald Reagan...polls can be wrong, polls can change...in the end, polls are usually just a measure of public opinion at a moment in time.
So, at this moment in time based upon the current RCP averages, Cruz has a much better chance of beating Clinton that Trump...it’s just the current data...not the final data!
How many delegates for American Samoa? Did it vote yet?
Voted for Trump here in Prescott, AZ a few weeks ago by mail. The only way to fly - or vote.
:)
Good job!
Nine delegates.
I believe you are right, except that the delegates will be divided proportionately, not evenly. So, if the WTA trigger of 50% is not met by any candidate, then any candidates that exceed the 15% threshold will divide the delegates proportionately.
Exception: If two or fewer candidates meet the 15% threshold and the 50% trigger is not met, the threshold I’d dropped, and the division is truly proportional. With only three in the race, that is certain if none gets the 50%
Example: If Trump gets 14%, Kasich gets 38% and Cruz gets 48%, then the delegates would be T 6, K 15, C 19.
Example: If Trump gets 20%, Kasich gets 32% and Cruz gets 48%, then
the delegates would be T 8, K 13, C 19.
According to an article here (scroll down to 10:15 a.m.), their delegates are unbound, though one is endorsing Trump and one is endorsing Cruz.
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