Posted on 03/08/2016 12:42:18 PM PST by BlackFemaleArmyColonel
Despite the Republican establishment’s “#NeverTrump” movement against the party’s presidential primary front-runner, Donald Trump’s campaign is positioned to advance this month.
Trump might even gain enough delegates by the end of March to reach the halfway point of the 1,237 needed to win the GOP presidential nomination on the first ballot.
Going into the week of March 7, Trump has 385 delegates versus 300 for Sen. Ted Cruz.
Cruz has surged since last Thursday’s Fox News debate, splitting with Trump the GOP elections held on Saturday. Cruz won the Kansas and Maine caucuses, while Trump took the primary contests in Kentucky and Louisiana.
On March 15, the GOP primary season enters a second phase, with “winner take all” contests in Ohio and Florida.
The previous elections were proportional, with each candidate obtaining delegates based on a percentage of the vote.
Based on the most recent polling data, Table 1 shows Trump obtaining more than 300 delegates in March primaries, with wins in both Ohio and Florida.
This would give Trump a total of nearly 700 delegates, with Cruz at about 400, presuming the Texas senator also loses the “winner- take-all” primaries in Missouri and Arizona, where Trump has commanding leads.
Conceivably, if Marco Rubio were to drop out of the race after losing the Florida primary, as currently projected, Cruz stands to gain voters who are reluctant to embrace Trump.
If Cruz loses Ohio and Florida to Trump, the mathematics dictate that Cruz’s best hope would not necessarily be to win outright, but to prevent Trump from getting the number of delegates needed to win the nomination on the first ballot.
The numerical chance that Cruz could win enough delegates to gain the nomination on the first ballot is increasingly slim...
(Excerpt) Read more at wnd.com ...
I’ve been hoping that is a possibility for a while. We’ll see. It would cement Cruz’s credibility in every detractor.
Ted Cruz knows far better than to embrace that has-been election anchor Mitt Romney.
That is comedy gold, blue.
I wish you were right about Hillary being prosecuted.
But I doubt she will ever be prosecuted by any administration.
In a normal and perfect world, that would be the case.
Back in bizarroland/real world, cRuz has already joined forces with....and his campaign and supporters are perfectly good with him doing so....Jeb Bush.
Fix is in.
Romeny just had to get the ball rolling.
That would be just Okie Dokie with me.
“Ted Cruz knows far better than to embrace that has-been election anchor Mitt Romney.”
He embraced Glenn Beck, so, no, he doesn’t know better.
And yet, if Cruz stays in even when he can’t win, who gets the nomination?
If he were to get it over Romney or Bush, what would that tell you?
It would tell you he had an agreement with the GOPe.
After all, I am assured they don’t like Trump, but Ted is who they truly fear.
Well sports fans?
Math doesn’t matter at this point. If the establishment doesn’t want him he won’t be president even if he wins the nomination. And they will manipulation the math as much as possible.
He needs to prove that he’s as good a negotiator as I hope and get them to stop attacking very soon. If they stop attacking the math will matter again.
Actually, CRUZ would be more useful and more effective as AG (in the role that you mentioned) more than as VP (VP does not have control over anything).
I think ONCE RUBIO IS TAKEN OUT and if TRUMP stays off the personal attacks and stays focused on the IMMIGRATION / JOBS issues, that things can be smoothed out for a CRUZ/TRUMP collaboration if necessary at the convention.
In fact, now that I think about it, it would actually not be a bad idea to have a brokered convention between these two, in that it would force the issue of CRUZ becoming involved in a more direct role later, and provide a more UNIFYING ATMOSPHERE going into the final phase of the elections.
Why would Cruz give the establishment anything? What could they offer him in return?
“...I believe Cruz will screw over the GOP establishment by cutting a deal with Trump ...”
I fervently hope that you are correct and this is what happens. This is my best case scenario hope as well.
It really is the only answer; for the two anti-establishment candidates to form a team together. I too have suggested this solution elsewhere on other threads. Let’s hope the idea gains traction.
Sher, sher. Can I have a hit off that?
u right, it’s the only way to stop the coup
They aren’t using Cruz. They are using Kacish and Rubio to stay in the race until the convention. With all or nothing coming up, I’m sure Trump’s people are not worried that Cruz can win a couple of those states.
you think? You really don’t think Cruz is being used and that is why the establishment is helping him and giving him money?
Once upon a time I had hoped that Trump/Cruz as two outsiders opposing to the corrupt insiders would clinch the nomination with Cruz endorsing Trump and becoming his VP running mate and that this duo would foreclose any opportunity for the scumbags in the establishment to pull any brokered convention shenanigans.
But I am not hopeful now. Cruz has surrounded himself with dark forces, cheaters, liars and just today he’s taken in the Bush family bank robber, Neil Bush. So he’s gone to the dark side. It is so disappointing to see this happen to him.
Cruz is now the tool of the establishment to stop Trump.
Donald still has a chance to clinch the nomination without Cruz. He can also call on Ben Carson to support him and possibly join him on the campaign trail. Although Ben’s later results were weak, the weakness was largely brought on by voters seeing futility in voting for him, so they shifted to Rubio, Cruz. Ben could conceivably regenerate an order of 10% to support Donald.
Ben is gentle, intelligent and very honest. He would be a great help to soften Donald’s grizzly image and to assure the elderly and meek that he has Donald’s ear and heart.
“I believe Cruz will screw over the GOP establishment by cutting a deal with Trump. He releases his delegates and endorses Trump, Trump names him as his running mate.”..
IF, repeat IF that were to happen we would ALL be winners, except the GOP who are habitual losers.
See post 36. Cruz has screwed over his supporters and gone to the dark side. He’s been an establishment candidate all along!!
Works for me.
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