Posted on 03/08/2016 5:24:01 AM PST by tatown
Hawaii · 19 delegates Last poll closes at 11:00 PM CT
Idaho · 32 delegates Last poll closes at 10:00 PM CT
Michigan · 59 delegates Last poll closes at 8:00 PM CT
Mississippi · 40 delegates Last poll closes at 7:00 PM CT
Cruz may do well in the West where folks don't like the Feds controlling their lands.
That's a big reason why I'm backing Trump. I think Trump will beat Hillary like a drum whereas not so much with Cruz.
Oh ye of little faith.
I wish Cruz would allow his NBC eligibility issue to be put to bed, one way or the other, in a federal court. If Cruz is nominated we don’t need a successful Dem challenge in court that DQ’s the GOP nominee.
Kasich started out highly critical of Trump. Notice how quickly he smartened up? He hasn't been part of the food fights, so could probably be acceptable to most of the others.
Some big exceptions were Kansas and OK and I think Maine. Might have shaken him up a bit and given Cruz some needed MOmentum.
Just because I was curious, and I really was because I didn’t know, I just crunched the numbers for contests based on different “seasons”.
The “early season” States were Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina, and Nevada.
Then the “Super Tuesday” States.
And finally the “Super Saturday” States.
I did just a fast, raw average of both Trump and Cruz’s level of support in each season and this is what I found:
Early States:
Trump - 34.5
Cruz - 20.8
Super Tuesday:
Trump - 34.6
Cruz - 25.4
Super Saturday (without Puerto Rico)
Trump - 33.3
Cruz - 40.9
Super Saturday (with Puerto Rico)
Trump - 29.4
Cruz - 34.5
The final season for Cruz is exaggerated as he had a couple of very big wins in very small contests, but what is amazing is the consistency of Trump’s averages over the seasons.
He isn’t gaining support, while Cruz definitely is.
What do you mean? Somehow others will know how you voted?
Update: Mitt Romney also recording robocalls for GOP candidate John Kasich, which will air in Michigan on Tuesday - Plain Dealer
Well with your logic Cruz should sweep today then.
ID - Cruz by storm
MS - Cruz by a small fraction
MI - Trump by a small fractiohn
HI - Rubio by storm
Having to fill out the card, then checking the party preference box, then having to hand it to two more people that look it over, while you have people waiting near you for their turn. The ballot pile for each party are right there on the table for everyone to know which one you took.
Outside of FR, I’m very private about politics. Around these parts it’s one less headache I need.
That graph is showing made in America per car MODEL not the total per MAKER.
And then he began cutting his feet out from under him.
“They will obey my illegal orders!”
Not at all. The polls for Trump’s level of support have been amazingly accurate. He will win Michigan, but not as much as the polls show. I think he will win Mississippi by 3 or 4 points.
My point to Kenny was that Trump isn’t gaining support as other candidates drop out. That’s a problem for Trump.
I would guess that Cruz’s home state is a big factor.
Trump big MS, MI.
Narrow Cruz Id
Hawaii (?) Caucus, so I’ll say the commissars fix it for Marco.
That’s what I’m saying.
Do YOU agree with that way of doing it?
‘cause your post seemed to indicate that you do.
C
No backup paper trail with my voting machines in MS.
The fix is in.
Will be shocked if Trump wins by any sort of major percent.
Likely close tie, or Cruz win.
And New Hampshire was a big factor for Trump in the early season, and Massachussets and Vermont were a big factor for Trump on Super Tuesday...
Yeah, each State has it’s own influence, but since you ask, here is Cruz’s numbers for Super Tuesday without Texas:
23.6
A little lower than 25.4, but still higher that the early States of 20.8. An upward trend for Cruz even when you take out Texas.
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