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[Vanity] No, Trump is NOT bringing black people to the Republicans.
Exit poll data | Dangus

Posted on 03/07/2016 9:48:01 PM PST by dangus

So many Trump supporters are so juiced up for Trump, because they believe reports that Trump will bring huge numbers of minorities to the GOP. Sorry, folks, but that isn't happening, even in the primaries, where voting for Trump doesn't mean voting contrary to Democratic loyalties (which are immense). Let's look at states with large black populations, shall we?

In Georgia, 7% of Republican voters were black. That's pretty good. Unfortunately, we don't have data on how they voted. But since so very, very few Hispanics voted Republican, we can use the non-White vote as a proxy. And Trump only got 29% of the non-white Georgia Republicans. Only Kasich had a lower portion of his voters be non-white.

In South Carolina, only 1% of Republican voters were black... no-one attracted any black votes, despite the state having a black Republican senator (Tim Scott). Tennessee also saw only 2% of Republican voters be black. Again, too small to measure.

Alabama had 7% non-white, too small for exit-poll data... and also too small to affect anyone's poll data even 1%.

In Virginia, Trump also got a smaller proportion of his vote from non-White voters than his opponents did. In fact, he lost the non-White vote to Rubio. And yes, blacks dominated the non-White voters.

By the way, Cruz also won the youth vote in South Carolina, Arkansas, and we can infer Kentucky and Louisiana. Trump finished third among young people in Texas, Oklahoma, and Iowa, and placed behind Rubio in Virginia There's no demographic breakdown in Minnesota, Alaska or Maine, but Trump also lost those states. So among young voters, that's 10 states for Cruz, 3 for Rubio and 4 for Trump (Alabama, Tennessee, Massachusetts and New Hampshire.) And 1 state unknown (Nevada).

The youth vote is known for showing up in far proportions in general elections than in primaries.


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To: dangus

Believe what you want.

I’ve long ago accepted you will.


81 posted on 03/08/2016 3:14:55 PM PST by DoughtyOne (Facing Trump nomination inevitability, folks are now openly trying to help Hillary destroy him.)
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To: Hostage
I keep in mind that Donald’s pull on black dems is his image of strength, getting things done and ability to create jobs. It is NOT because blacks are being told that all other GOP candidates are racist and must be stopped.

Blacks don't have to be told that all GOP candidates are racist, they have never stopped believing that, of course, until along came Trump to a moderate but certain degree.

82 posted on 03/09/2016 11:02:15 AM PST by true believer forever (Innuendo and Expediency - hallmarks of the Cruz campaign. GO TRUMP!!!)
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