Posted on 03/07/2016 9:48:01 PM PST by dangus
So many Trump supporters are so juiced up for Trump, because they believe reports that Trump will bring huge numbers of minorities to the GOP. Sorry, folks, but that isn't happening, even in the primaries, where voting for Trump doesn't mean voting contrary to Democratic loyalties (which are immense). Let's look at states with large black populations, shall we?
In Georgia, 7% of Republican voters were black. That's pretty good. Unfortunately, we don't have data on how they voted. But since so very, very few Hispanics voted Republican, we can use the non-White vote as a proxy. And Trump only got 29% of the non-white Georgia Republicans. Only Kasich had a lower portion of his voters be non-white.
In South Carolina, only 1% of Republican voters were black... no-one attracted any black votes, despite the state having a black Republican senator (Tim Scott). Tennessee also saw only 2% of Republican voters be black. Again, too small to measure.
Alabama had 7% non-white, too small for exit-poll data... and also too small to affect anyone's poll data even 1%.
In Virginia, Trump also got a smaller proportion of his vote from non-White voters than his opponents did. In fact, he lost the non-White vote to Rubio. And yes, blacks dominated the non-White voters.
By the way, Cruz also won the youth vote in South Carolina, Arkansas, and we can infer Kentucky and Louisiana. Trump finished third among young people in Texas, Oklahoma, and Iowa, and placed behind Rubio in Virginia There's no demographic breakdown in Minnesota, Alaska or Maine, but Trump also lost those states. So among young voters, that's 10 states for Cruz, 3 for Rubio and 4 for Trump (Alabama, Tennessee, Massachusetts and New Hampshire.) And 1 state unknown (Nevada).
The youth vote is known for showing up in far proportions in general elections than in primaries.
>> Trump is getting around 25%. <<
No, you idiot. He’s getting 25% of the Black REPUBLICAN vote. He’s getting about 1-3% of the black vote.
>> Would these be the same reliable exit polls that showed Trump winning by 8 points, when he was given an official loss? <<
No, those are pre-election polls. But thanks for noticing the media bias in favor of Trump. I wonder why the media wants Republicans to think Trump is unbeatable...
Thank you Mr. Concern Troll for sharing this totally useless information.
Yeah, keep telling yourself that BS.
How about a VP more ready than Carson—like Thomas Sowell?
He needs WHITE VOTERS to win. Period. Oh...and suppressing the Black vote would help as well.
It’’s all the Trump people who keep saying, “never mind the polls that Hillary is kicking our ass from here to Wyoming! The pollsters just don’t realize we’re going to flood the polls with blacks and Hispanics coming out by the millions!”
Estimates are that in the general election Trump may well get 20%-25% of the Black vote which equals a landslide for Trump. A vanity from you changes nothing. LOL!
“Estimates are that in the general election Trump may well get 20%-25% ...” are complete and utter fantasies, contradicted by every poll and vote ever taken.
LOUISIANA ELECTION RESULTS OF PREDOMINANTLY BLACK DISTRICTS
Source: http://staticresults.sos.louisiana.gov/03052016/03052016_36_51751_Precinct.html (Dem results)
http://staticresults.sos.louisiana.gov/03052016/03052016_36_51750_Precinct.html (GOP results)
Precinct 09 31: 569 votes, 1 for Trump. (0.2%)
Precinct 09 43: 2009 votes, 9 for Trump. (0.4%)
Precinct 09 44: 3332 votes, 20 for Trump. (0.6%)
It’s the state I have precinct data for.
No they aren’t Dangus.
There were exit polls showing Trump leading by eight points,money to lose in the official count.
Is this one more thing you didn’t know?
Your numbers say more about black non-participation in elections and voting than they do about racial demographics.
Trump doesn't have to run to set everyone up and lose to Hillary - Jeb was ready and willing to do just that. If Trump wanted to do that he would have not run, supported Hillary, and watched Jeb lose.
That's why everyone's afraid of him - he's actually real.
Logic.
There were nonsensical rumors of exit polls in mid-day, showing Trump winning “yuge,” spread around by Trump chumps.
Oklahoma exit poll: Cruz +5. Actual Result: Cruz +6.
Texas exit poll: Cruz 43%. Actual Result: Cruz 44%
Iowa exit poll: Cruz +3.5. Actual Result: Cruz +6.
Those are the only exit polls in states he won. Anything else was the fevered imagination of internet rumor.
The only point is that black people aren’t voting for Trump.
So some blogger named Dmitri Salnakov made up exit poll rumors. No link, no source. Kansas was lost by Trump by 25%. So his numbers were off by 33%. He wasn’t even a good liar.
This was merely one internet site that had that figure up.
It was reported on election day.
It took me less than 60 seconds to find a reminder of it.
I suppose you think everyone sits around waiting for this guy to release information we all read about.
Denial doesn’t begin to cover what you folks are experiencing.
Yet you tried to make it a point about his popularity with blacks, who in the poorer southern precincts mentioned, have longstanding voter apathy.
>> This was merely one internet site that had that figure up.It was reported on election day. <<
Yes, it was AN INTERNET RUMOR. Don’t you remember in 2004 when everyone was claiming that Kerry had swept the country, winning Mississippi by 25 points?
But they DID vote! They voted by the thousands... for Hillary!
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