Ted Cruz's huge surge in Election Day voting in Louisiana

Washington Post ^ | March 6 at 8:02 AM | Philip Bump

[napscoordinator]

Problem with Cruz is he loses the south like he has. How can he beat Hillary? He can’t win the presidency with 6 states. I hope you know that.

[DoughtyOne]

Yes they are. I am.

[Georgia Girl 2]

But there’s so much to go negative on. Cruz is a walking bag of negatives. :-)

[Georgia Girl 2]

I agree that Rubio staying in til after FL is not a bad thing.

[grey_whiskers]

Noted. Thank you.

[Federal46]

All these media headlines about the Cruz surge pretty much answers who’s the establishment man now doesnt it.

[Charles Henrickson]

I think Trump’s Stupid Thursday helped make Saturday a Super Cruzday.

[DoughtyOne]

[Chesterbelloc]

They are all fairly close to each other. My only point was that every place seems to have slightly different numbers. Not everyone on here is hostile or spoiling for a fight. Peace.

[DoughtyOne]

Thanks ChesterBelloc, I appreciate the note.

Sorry.

D1.

[anymouse]

"Super Saturday results show Rubio collapsing, Trump stoppable and Cruz gaining momentum"

[Angels27]

My guess is Trump fatigue is setting in. There is only so much insults and self aggrandizing people can put with. Trumps shtick was amusing for a while, but now it's grown stale.

[CA Conservative]

Actually, it is the delegates that matter, and Cruz got 15 more than Trump yesterday. Also, the huge gap between the absentee and Election Day votes could portend a significant shift in the race. We will have to see how Tuesday turns out to see.

[CA Conservative]

Only because he had a double-digit lead in the absentee ballots. He lost among those who voted yesterday.

[CA Conservative]

Trump does not have 400 delegates yet.

[LS]

He will after today. He’ll get the un allocated ones from LA and Puerto Rico should give him 2-3.

[Quicksilver]

BREAKING: Marco Rubio’s huge surge in Election Day voting in Puerto Rico

Massive win! 74% and takes all 23 delegates! Shakes up the race, Trump and Cruz campaigns in ruins!

/s

[CA Conservative]

He’ll get the un allocated ones from LA and Puerto Rico should give him 2-3.

He won't get any from PR - Rubio gets them all because he is over 50%. And there are not 18 unallocated delegates from LA - it looks like Trump will get 9 more from LA and Cruz will get 2 more. Even giving Trump another 9 delegates (giving him 391), that means Trump has 31% of the delegates he needs, with 37% of the delegates now awarded. So he needs to get 54% of the remaining 1566 delegates to win the nomination outright.

[LS]

Um, Five Thirty Eight has him without the extra 9 at 107% of where he needs to be, Cruz at 67%.

But with winner take all, the percentages go out the window.