Trump within 1 of Cruz in Texas poll

The Hill ^ | 2/24/16 | Jesse Byrnes

[jimbo123]

Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump is within 1 point of Ted Cruz in Cruz's home state, according to a poll released Wednesday.

Cruz has 29 percent support in Texas, followed closely by Trump, at 28 percent, and Marco Rubio, at 25 percent, according to an Emerson College poll released Wednesday. John Kasich takes 9 percent support, with Ben Carson at 4 percent.

The poll comes on the heels of Trump's dominant performance in the Nevada caucuses Tuesday, his third straight win in the GOP race.

Texas is one of the dozen states voting on Super Tuesday next week, and the billionaire businessman has made clear that he intends to beat Cruz in his home state.

"I think it's very likely that Mr. Trump can win here in Texas," Trump spokeswoman Katrina Pierson told CNN on Wednesday morning.

[PGalt]

You sole my line! LOL

Sorry BigEdLB : )

Thanks for your work.

[nascarnation]

Axlegrease is a genius in my book.

He got Baraq elected twice, and the second time was really miraculous given how bad things were after 4 years.

If Axlegrease is being honest here, that’s probably right.

[PapaBear3625]

If you get less than 20%, you are out. If you get 50% or more, you get all the delegates. In between, the delegates will be awarded proportionately among those who got 20%+

From The Green Papers:

Tuesday 1 March 2016: All 155 of Texas's delegates to the Republican National Convention are bound to presidential contenders in today's Texas Presidential Primary. [General Rules for All Conventions and Meetings. Rule 38.]

• 108 district delegates are to be allocated to presidential contenders based on the primary results in each of the 36 congressional districts: each congressional district is assigned 3 National Convention delegates. These delegates are allocated to the presidential contenders as follows:
  • If a candidate receives a majority of the vote (more than 50%), that candidate is allocated all 3 of the district's delegates. [General Rules for All Conventions and Meetings. Rule 38. Section 8.a. and 8.b.]
  • If no candidate receives a majority of the vote and at least 1 candidate receives 20% or more of the vote, the candidate with the most votes (plurality) receives 2 delegates and the candidate receiving the next highest number of votes receives 1 delegate. [Rule 38. Section 8.b.]
  • If no candidate receives 20% of the vote then the top 3 vote getters each receive 1 delegate. [Rule 38. Section 8.c.]
• 47 at-large delegates (10 base at-large delegates plus 34 bonus delegates plus 3 RNC delegates) are to be allocated to the presidential contenders based on the primary results statewide. These delegates are allocated to the presidential contenders as follows:
  • If a candidate receives a majority of the vote (more than 50%) that candidate is allocated all 47 at-large delegates. [Rule 38. Section 9.a. and 9.b.]
  • If no candidate receives a majority of the vote and at least 2 candidates receive 20% or more of the vote, the 47 at-large delegates are allocated proportionally among those candidates receiving 20% or more of the vote. Rounding rules: Beginning with the candidate receiving the largest number of votes, round any fraction to the next whole number of delegates. Continue this process with the next highest vote getter and repeat until all the delegates are allocated. [Rule 38. Section 9.b.]
  • If no candidate receives a majority of the vote and only 1 candidate receives 20% or more of the vote, the 47 at-large delegates are allocated proportionally between the candidate receiving 20% or more of the vote and the candidate receiving the next highest number of votes. Rounding rules: Beginning with the candidate receiving the largest number of votes, round any fraction to the next whole number of delegates. Continue this process with the next highest vote getter and repeat until all the delegates are allocated. [Rule 38. Section 9.b.]
  • If no candidate receives 20% of the vote, allocate the 47 at-large delegates proportionally. Rounding rules: Beginning with the candidate receiving the largest number of votes, round any fraction to the next whole number of delegates. Continue this process with the next highest vote getter and repeat until all the delegates are allocated. [Rule 38. Section 9.c.]
  (More at the link)

  Most of the delegates are the per-district delegates (108 district vs 47 statewide). If a candidate has a plurality in most of the districts, he could walk away with a majority of the delegates for Texas.

[Fresh Wind]

Glenn Beck, is that you?

[Psalm 144]

“Watch for the establishment to try to buy him off with a promise of being Dondi’s running mate.”

I think the GOPe plan C after Jeb and Rubio fail to pan out is a brokered convention, the proffer of some compromise candidate (think Willard here) with Cruz as VP as a sop for the plantation conservatives. That will lose to Hillary, but will not unsettled the resting Beltway backsides.

[Stentor]

No!!! Not Jon Wayne.

[orangeTank]

Letting Cruz win Texas might be a good strategy to preserve the 3-way race, but Trump would never pass up the chance to win. He wants to beat all of the remaining candidates (save Carson) in their home states.

[SamAdams76]

I agree with you. I think Trump can pull Texas off. He’s got a big rally or two there planned.

[euram]

This poll was obviously conducted prior to Trump’s big win in NV, so it will be interesting to see if there are any more polls in TX that come out this weekend. It wouldn’t be surprising if Trump pulls ahead in TX, because most people want to vote for a winner, not for someone who is always competing for 2nd or 3rd place.

[TigerClaws]

[LS]

This is beyond over. Funny seeing Jonah Goldberg squirm on FOX today. “Where can Rubio win?”
“Well, blah, blah, still not over”

[JLAGRAYFOX]

Fellow Texans, gals & guys....Ted Cruz/Glenn Beck are toast!!! Show the true Texas American spirit...cast your valuable vote for Donald J. Trump in the upcoming Texas POTUS Primary!!!

[ObozoMustGo2012]

For someone emulating Patton the way you do in your screen name, your whining about Trump makes you sound like a pusillanimous. Not at all how I’d imagine Patton responding.

[LS]

Cheese with that whine?

“Hitler, Napoleon, Hitler, blah blah”

[LS]

LOL

[OKSooner]

rmd rvltn wth bld n th strts

[pgkdan]

What a pointless waste of space that post was! Get over your butt hurt. Ted’s a loser in this race and the BEST MAN is winning everywhere.

[TontoKowalski]

One of the talking heads said that more than half the Republican electorate had already voted early.

I'm not betting on Trump beating Cruz here, as he probably has the lion's share of the early vote in the bag.

That said, I ain't voting against Trump either. People like a winner.

[gogeo]

HAH!!!

[jimbo123]

I’m early voting shortly. Will vote for Trump today. But I think Cruz will win here, too. I still like Cruz as our Senator and for taking out Dewhurst and giving Cornyn hell.