The last NBC/WSJ poll was, to put it mildly,
and outlier. This once, unsurprisingly, is
one, too. Saturday’s voting should put paid
to this nonsense.
28 23 15
Trump Cruz Rubio is acceptable
I’d still not trust anything with Murdoch’s hands on it.
I’ll say it before all the Trump (BLESSED BE HIS NAME) supporters arrive to say it -— since the polls are all over the place, the ONLY “poll” I’m going to believe coincides with reality is tomorrow’s ACTUAL VOTE.
Repost #3!
WooHoo...
Finally a credible poll amongst all the others that say Trump is still at 35% while Ted is at 18%.
Yippeeeeee....
Come tomorrow night, the WSJ will have lost the last shred of it’s credibility.
This poll is nonsense.
If Trump holds in the low-mid 30s, Murdoch & the WSJ’s reputation will be further damaged.
I’m thinking NBC/WSJ has some sort of systematic problem with their latest set of polls, because they seem to be consistent outliers from literally every other poll coming out, either in SC or at the national level.
Cruz cuts into Trump's SC lead
There is this story right above it.
TRUMP EXTENDS HIS LEAD IN SOUTH CAROLINA; RUBIO PASSES CRUZ IN FIGHT FOR SECOND [Emerson Tracking] Poll: Cruz cuts into Trump's SC lead
So everyone be happy, there is a poll today to tell you what you want to hear.
I think NBC/WSJ is just reeling their poll #s back closer to reality, to get them more in sync with what the voting result will be so they don’t lose total credibility.
Thank you, great update!
Trumps numbers in South Carolina are clearly fading as we get closer to voting.
Trumps comments on W Bush lying us into war and his praise of the good things planned parenthood does besides abortion seems to be taking a toll.
In the real clear average chart you can clearly see now that Trump is falling fast (yet still ahead)
This mirrors what happened in Iowa where in the final days Trumps numbers started to fade.
Both Cruz and Rubio meanwhile are gaining in the final days. Cruz’s ground game is worth as much as 5 points above his polling. SC might be MUCH closer than anyone thinks. There might be several surprises to talk about after the votes are counted here.
WOOT!
Maybe SC voters heard about his support for the Obamacare mandate.
The most conservative candidate in the race should not be losing to a northeastern liberal in one of the most conservative states in America. Spin it all you want. This state should of been sewn up by Cruz a long time ago. So much for the southern firewall strategy.
As much as I’d like to see Cruz win SC, there is no valid statistical basis for these poll results (posted dozens of times on FR). They were created the same way global warming data are created - by changing the assumptions until the desired answer appeared.
Note: It is at least possible that Cruz will win SC. He appears to have by far the best GOTV apparatus, and that may give him a well-earned win, but that is speculation and not honest polling.
So that’s two polls which show that Cruz is gaining support in SC.
Cruz may be trending at the right time to make it a close contest and if it’s close, Cruz has some bragging rights and Trump has some explaining to do.
This WSJ poll is an outlier just like it’s corresponding national poll.
A new SC Poll conducted on 2/17 and released today had 5800 likely registered republican primary voters with an MOE of 2%:
Trump: 34.12%
Cruz: 17.52%
Rubio: 15.59%
Bush: 14.49%
FR Link: http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3399104/posts
Poll Link: https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B4lhKxf9pMita3MxQVRJNDV6YWs/view
Bwahahaha!
They’re trying to save their credibility before tomorrow!
Notice the article compares the poll with last month. Being spun as Cruz cutting into Trump’s lead, when it should really say that Cruz lost his lead from two days ago and is tanking!
So, in two days:
Cruz 28 => 23 (-5)
Trump 26 => 28 (+2)
Rubio 17 => 15 (-2)
Kasich 11 => 9 (-2)
Carson 10 => 9 (-1)
Jeb! 4 => 13 (+9)