Posted on 02/09/2016 11:29:07 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet
Despite Donald Trump's victory in New Hampshire, what is the chance that Republicans will nominate Ted Cruz and that he will go on to win the presidency?
The website ElectionBettingOdds gives Cruz a 14.5 percent chance of winning the nomination -- his victory in the Iowa caucuses and what looks like a third place showing in New Hampshire notwithstanding. It puts his chances of actually winning the presidency at 4.3 percent.
But let's say Cruz beats the odds and wins the nomination. One of the most conservative members of the Senate, Cruz would test the argument made by leaders of the hard right that Republicans have lost four of the last six presidential elections because their candidates -- George H. W. Bush of 1992, Robert Dole, John McCain and Mitt Romney -- were insufficiently conservative.
For more than 50 years, Phyllis Schlafly, the right-wing icon and founder of the Eagle Forum, has been a relentless proponent of the nomination of far-right candidates like Barry Goldwater and Ronald Reagan.
In an Oct. 7, 2015, column, Schlafly wrote:
Establishment candidates have been unable to win the popular vote in five out of the last six elections, and that outcome is not something any Republican should want to repeat.
There is an unusual degree of consensus on the intensity of Cruz's conservatism among experts in campaigns, elections and partisan polarization....
(Excerpt) Read more at nytimes.com ...
I don’t know...you’ll have to ask Hillary and her supporters.
Unlucky for him, I have influence with many people.
Every Republican would be Hillary by a wide margin, so vote for the most conservative candidate.
I do find that Peter was right on point. With Rand Paul out, Cruz is clearly the best choice. (Paul had his own problems, but that's water under the bridge now.) "Best choice" here assumes you're looking for a constitutionalist who would reduce the size of government, preserve liberty, and cut back on spending.
I have some difficulties with Cruz's foreign policy and social policies, but that's the nature of the big tent that you need to win.
My pleasure.
Sly
Lol. Your cats don’t count.
and yet this is the 1st time I have seen it and I appreciate seeing it. so there!
Political ideology is a circle
SOCIALISM:Bernie Sanders ------ REPUBLICANISM: Ted Cruz ------
NATIONALISM: Donald Trump
SPAM; THIS POSTERS POSTS THIS SAME THING ON EVERY THREAD AND HAS DONE FOR DAYS; THOUGH THIS IS A SLIGHTLY DIFFERENT VERSION.
I like your little circle but where is the Constitution?
I always say, the Constitution is the middle and the R’s and D’s are to the left of that. Get back to the center!
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