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Marco Rubio's November Electability Problem
PJ Media ^ | Feb 2, 2016 | J. Christian Adams

Posted on 02/02/2016 11:10:55 AM PST by JSDude1

There hasn’t been this much excitement in the luxury boxes since the 1991 Kentucky Derby when Mane Minister showed at 87-1. Marco Rubio’s expected third-place showing set off a frenzy of spin and sly promotion in the commentary class. The conventional wisdom is that Rubio is the more electable Republican in November as compared to Ted Cruz or Donald Trump.

The conventional wisdom is wrong, just as it was in 2012 and 2008.

Marco Rubio has two significant problems that render him a problematic November candidate. The first is his record on the most important issue of the year. The second is being the newly anointed preferred candidate of the Washington establishment.

The strongest supporters of Marco Rubio are those who think the political rules of 1996 still govern election outcomes in 2016. They believe a candidate cannot win without appealing to the moderate middle. They still believe the incentive and reward system of the pre-polarized world governs election outcomes (or they are themselves politically moderate).

(Excerpt) Read more at pjmedia.com ...


TOPICS: Editorial; Extended News; Politics/Elections; US: Florida; US: Iowa
KEYWORDS: 2016election; base; election2016; establishment; florida; marcorubio; repositoryrubio; republican; rubio
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To: Kenny

Rubio is not McCain and he is not Romney. Neither of them were good at campaigning. Rubio is impressive.

As for the immigration issue - for heaven’s sake, allow a man to acknowledge that he made a mistake. Have any of you complainers ever made a mistake or changed you mind about anything? If you are so sure you are correct all the time, let me know and I will write up a proposal to the Vatican asking them to begin the process of canonization.


41 posted on 02/02/2016 2:15:16 PM PST by Gumdrop
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To: Gumdrop
Rubio is not McCain and he is not Romney. Neither of them were good at campaigning. Rubio is impressive.

--------

Come on. Rubio stutters and gets nervous ticks when he speaks - like he powers through a statement before flop sweat takes hold.

42 posted on 02/02/2016 2:20:12 PM PST by Trumpinator ("Are you Batman?" the boy asked. "I am Batman," Trump said.)
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To: Defiant
Rush, quit claiming he [Rubio] is conservative, dammit!!!

Well, he is, kinda-sorta. More conservative than Bob Dole or Dick Nixon, maybe.

Problem is, some of the issues we face now fuzz up the picture -- like, say, executive compensation and marginal tax rates, which strict conservatives would ordinarily leave alone. Then the banksters helped themselves to a Trillion dollars of TARP money and paid out hundreds of millions of that -- our money -- in executive-suite bonuses, which were already fat enough with the spoils of "rightsizing" and offshoring and H-1B'ing and CMO-bundling fee income, pre-Crash.

Now it's our issue, and a conservative one: Wall Street Rot and Plunder, aka "crony/access capitalism". Time to call the ghost of Ayn Rand and start driving stakes through hearts.

Rubio's leading FAIL issue is immigration/Gang of Eight, and Rush has talked about that before in unsparing language, calling it "the ball game", which it is.

I'll be listening to see if Rush turns into a Rubio foot-kisser, but I seriously doubt it. He's rich as Croesus and has no incentive to smear dog feces over his political legacy now. I think if the E-GOP are trying to buy the White House with Rubio, Rush will call it like that, and well before South Carolina.

43 posted on 02/02/2016 2:20:45 PM PST by lentulusgracchus ("If America was a house , the Left would root for the termites." - Greg Gutierrez)
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To: JSDude1
I'm for Rubio because I want to win and he is most likely to win.

The evidence:the polls, which Donald Trump continually points to:

For example, the Star-Trib Mason/Dixon poll, Minnesota:

Trump vs. Clinton, --Clinton 43, Trump 38 ---Trump -5
Cruz vs. Clinton --Clinton 43, Cruz 45 ---Cruz +2
Rubio vs. Clinton --Rubio 49, Clinton 40 ---Rubio +9

Pick whatever number you want.

Other states show similar splits. And Trump is not going to do better "once people get to know him." That's crazy. He's a very weak and confused "conservative."

44 posted on 02/02/2016 2:23:44 PM PST by cookcounty ("I was a Democrat until I learned to count" --Maine Gov. Paul LePage)
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To: cookcounty

" If Rubio was not a US citizen at birth, what country was he a citizen of? "

Cuba, both parents were citizens of Cuba. He was not under the jurisdiction of the country he was born in.

45 posted on 02/02/2016 2:31:16 PM PST by Souled_Out (Our hope is in the power of God working through the hearts of people.)
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To: the_doc

BS. Somebody with a record of lying finds thirty year old pictures — one of them of the back of somebody’s head — that they think could be Rubio, and now all of a sudden they’ve manufactured rumors that he was not just homosexual, but “flamboyantly” gay. C’mon, spare us the phony sleaze.


46 posted on 02/02/2016 2:33:47 PM PST by x
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To: x
Oh, I never said that there was anything to the report. But even rumors could hurt Rubio--because the really dirty politicians don't care whether the accusations are true.
47 posted on 02/02/2016 2:51:45 PM PST by the_doc
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To: Souled_Out
"He was not under the jurisdiction of the country he was born in."

That's incorrect. He was under the jurisdiction of the United States, so were his parents. If they had been caught robbing the First National Bank, they would have found out in two minutes whose jurisdiction they were under. And it wouldn't have been Castro's agents that would have arrested, tried, convicted, and sentenced them, it would have been a different jurisdiction, the exact same jurisdiction that you and I live under.

The "jurisdiction" clause was meant to prevent foreign diplomats and employees, and their families, from claiming citizenship. That's why ambassadors get away with not paying traffic fines and Rubio's dad (assuming father drove like his son Marco), did have to pay.

48 posted on 02/02/2016 2:56:34 PM PST by cookcounty ("I was a Democrat until I learned to count" --Maine Gov. Paul LePage)
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To: j.havenfarm

I think Trump singing Pelosi/Reid/Schumer praises is why he lost Iowa. That and his support for government run healthcare and adopting left-wing talking points to attack those who have stood steadfast in opposition to it.


49 posted on 02/02/2016 3:08:33 PM PST by KansasGirl
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To: Gumdrop
Rubio's immigration problem isn't a simple 'mistake'. He very clearly and specifically campaigned against amnesty, and once in the senate then made passing amnesty his signal accomplishment.

I will never forget the sh*t sandwich he was all over talk radio trying to get us to bite. He KNEW it was all lies and took all of us for fools.

He is still doing the amnesty shuck n' jive at the same time he's on spanish language media saying he'll never reverse the Obama EOs that have been stopped in court. Rubio is a shyster like I've never seen.

50 posted on 02/02/2016 6:39:03 PM PST by skeeter
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To: Buckeye McFrog
Re: “If they shove Rubio at us, the 4 million who stayed home rather than vote for Romney will look like a drop in the bucket.”

Actually, 4 million white voters stayed home in 2012, and there is no evidence they were Conservatives.

Romney got 1.5 million more white votes than McCain got in 2008.

Obama lost 5.5 million white votes in 2012 compared to 2008.

The 4 million white voters who stayed home in 2012 appear to have been Obama voters in 2008.

51 posted on 02/03/2016 12:38:38 AM PST by zeestephen
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To: Souled_Out

I’ll take my chances with a solid conservative at +2% long before I will go with someone to the left of Mitt Romney at +9%.


52 posted on 02/03/2016 5:37:41 AM PST by Vigilanteman (ObaMao: Fake America, Fake Messiah, Fake Black man. How many fakes can you fit into one Zer0?)
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