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Trump leads in the next three states. NH by a lot.

Rubio is a distant 2nd there. Cruz is nowhere to be seen.

Cruz has one delegate more than both Rubio and Trump. After NH, he will be in 3rd.

Even if Trump came in 1st, he would still only have one more delegate than them.

So in the end, we can finally stop wasting time on a state that will vote for the Democrats in the fall anyway, and start the real race. One where you dont win by basically becoming a naturalized citizen of the state, like Iowa.

It was said on TV that Cruz had 12,000 workers for his GOTV in Iowa. He stole a march on Trump with that - I assume this article is correct. He’ll never be able to duplicate that advantage again. Worse, Trump lost votes to Rubio, not something I saw coming at all. Now that Rubio is going to have more money than he can spend and a more favorable press than anyone else, the whole ball of wax is the next 18 days. Is South Carolina going to kill Trump or Cruz or Rubio? Let’s have some focus on economic issues and see....

Trump winning Iowa was always a long shot, I fully expected someone else to win Iowa.

Iowa picked the most Evangelical, as it traditionally has.

Trump however had a very strong showing, especially in a format that is designed to support the traditional/establishment politician over the outsider.

Rubio as well, clearly was the candidate the establishment voters supported in IA as well.

Can Cruz change the calculus before NH in a week? Time will tell, but I do fully expect Trump to run the table now that primaries are all traditional walk into a voting booth and cast your ballot.

I don’t think IA changed anything in the long game, but its politics, nothing is ever certain.

I think Rubio doing as well as he did in IA is also surprising and scare. It shows the GOPe voter, at least in IA doesn’t care about illegal immigration, or at least doesn’t care enough to actually punish a politician for selling out the country.

If Trump&Cruz can’t combine for over 50% of the vote, We wind up with Rubio... I don’t think this is a risk outside of IA, but time will tell.

At this point I think Trump takes NH by a wide margin next week.