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Iowa Caucus Live Thread
2/1/16

Posted on 02/01/2016 3:07:17 PM PST by markomalley

A search shows that nobody's opened up a live thread for tonight's caucuses. So here goes.

Predictions? For both the GOP and Dem nominations?

Eyewitness Accounts? See any funny business going on?


TOPICS: Breaking News; Politics/Elections; US: Iowa
KEYWORDS: 55738337; canadian; cruz; diebythepolls; effinglazishereagain; ia2016; ineligible; iowa; iowacaucus; livebythepolls; liveiowacaucus; trump4subsidies; trumplost
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To: jwalsh07

And they don’t report the total turnout for the dems?


3,901 posted on 02/02/2016 9:13:07 AM PST by Heart of Georgia
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Everyone is calling the third place loser a top contender for the nomination.


3,902 posted on 02/02/2016 9:44:54 AM PST by novemberslady
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To: Will88

Don’t care. Vote for Trump. Vote for Bernie. Don’t vote. But stop asking for explanations when you write that “you can’t be convinced”.


3,903 posted on 02/02/2016 9:46:57 AM PST by jwalsh07
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To: jwalsh07
Don’t care. Vote for Trump. Vote for Bernie. Don’t vote. But stop asking for explanations when you write that “you can’t be convinced”.

Thanks for admitting that you can't explain Ted's convoluted attempt to rewrite the history of his flip/flops on immigration and his maneuvers during the Gang-of-Eight debate.

Nowhere have I asked to be convinced, but only for an explanation.

3,904 posted on 02/02/2016 10:23:12 AM PST by Will88
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To: CA Conservative
Of course, Ted knew they would never pass those amendments, because it would completely undo what they really wanted - more low cost labor for business and more voters for the Dems. And once they voted down the amendments, Cruz, Session and others were able to take that to the House and help convince enough conservatives to kill the bill there.

You left out an earlier and fairly peculiar stage of Ted's grand strategy.

"I think that is profoundly unfair to the millions of legal immigrants who have followed the rules, who have waited in line," he said. "I think the reason that President Obama is insisting on a path to citizenship is that it is designed to be a poison pill to scuttle the whole bill, so he can have a political issue in 2014 and 2016. I think that's really unfortunate."

So, a key step in Cruz's supposed strategy was to state that Obama's insistence on a path to citizenship was already a poison pill in the bill.

Ted Cruz Files Immigration Amendment To Ban Path To Citizenship

So, if Ted was being honest there, he believed the bill already contained Obama's poison pill, and Ted was attempting to remove that Obama poison pill so that the bill would have a better chance of passing.

Most Ted defenders don't start at that point. Most claim that Ted introduced his denial of citizenship (but legal status) amendment as a poison pill simply to make the bill unacceptable to the radical supporters of amnesty and reform.

So, which was it? I believe Ted introduced all those amendments to make it more likely to pass, as he explained at the time. And only after he announced for the presidency and Trump elevated the immigration did he change that stance and begin claiming he opposed any form of comprehensive reform in 2013, and any form of legal status.

And to suggest that his maneuvers brought attention to the issue is nonsense. For those half awake and half interested, it has been known since 1986 how the open borders folks promise enforcement with amnesty, but all we get is the amnesty. And the House has killed these bills before, and long before Ted was even in the Senate. Those in the House needed no help from Ted to decide what to do with the 2013 amnesty push. And it was the defeat of Cantor in the summer of 2014 that finally killed the bill in the House.

There are other articles showing how Ted supported comprehensive immigration reform efforts when he worked for W, and when he moved back to Texas and worked with some Latino groups. And he had little to say about it in his announcement speech other than he wanted to make legal immigration "something to celebrate", consistent with past statements that he wanted to "streamline" legal immigration and increase the numbers.

I trust neither Ted nor Rubio on immigration. Both are far too emotional about their own families' immigration stories and neither is likely to reduce legal immigration or deport any of the illegals other than criminals. I also do not trust Ted on trade and TPP, another flip/flop that requires tortured and elaborate explanation. Ted seems more and more like a triple-talking lawyer who thinks he can BS his way in and out of anything.

I didn't see you response last night and only read it today.

And there is a question I've asked that no one has answered. When was the first time Ted characterized his amendments as poison pills, that can be supported with linked articles?

3,905 posted on 02/02/2016 11:48:21 AM PST by Will88
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To: Yaelle

Ted Cruz looked so humbled by his win. Then he ruined it with his Gd stuff. I do not believe Gd loves one candidate over another. I believe voters (or dirty tricks sometimes) choose the candidates.


Trump sounded more presidential in his 5 min. concession speech than the winner, Cruz in 30 min.. More he talks the more I’m feeling a creep factor.


3,906 posted on 02/02/2016 2:48:54 PM PST by QuigleyDU
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To: BigEdLB

We’re not very good prognosticators , huh ?


3,907 posted on 02/02/2016 3:49:06 PM PST by sushiman
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To: Kenny

perhaps you should do a little more research.

just a suggestion


3,908 posted on 02/02/2016 3:57:44 PM PST by blondiegoodbadugly
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To: stars & stripes forever

I’m glad Cruz won. Hope for Trump or Cruz.

Rubio would be my last choice.

I’d vote for Carson before ruby. Actually, I like Carson, just not for president.

Rubio is a bad senator, and they’re pushing rubio. Pushing the lesser of the 3 so we can have another demorat as president.


3,909 posted on 02/02/2016 4:01:30 PM PST by blondiegoodbadugly
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To: statered

**Honestly who wins doesn’t matter **

Do you really mean that? Look at the devastation caused by Obama.


3,910 posted on 02/02/2016 4:04:12 PM PST by Salvation ("With God all things are possible." Matthew 19:26)
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To: Salvation

It’s in God’s hands and he tells us how it will end. Do you think who we elect president will stop the world from turning on Israel and the two witnesses showing up and Christ stepping in to save her? Do you think it will stop the persecution of the saints? The best we can hope for is that we somehow stay on the sidelines.


3,911 posted on 02/02/2016 4:40:31 PM PST by statered ("And you know what I mean.")
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To: DrewsMum

That 75 percent had best get off their collective @$$ this time around!


3,912 posted on 02/02/2016 6:32:03 PM PST by WTFOVR (I find myself exclaiming that expression quite often these days!)
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To: QuigleyDU; Will88; Georgia Girl 2; All

And did you notice Cruz’s total includes 666?


3,913 posted on 02/03/2016 9:23:51 PM PST by gleeaikin
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To: 21twelve; All

Actually it ended up Hillary 22 and Bernie; 21.


3,914 posted on 02/03/2016 9:26:45 PM PST by gleeaikin
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To: MIchaelTArchangel

Wow, good prediction.


3,915 posted on 02/08/2016 9:54:52 AM PST by CPT Clay (Hillary: Julius and Ethal Rosenberg were electrocuted for selling classified info.)
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To: map

First mention, not dirty trick


3,916 posted on 02/08/2016 10:51:59 AM PST by CPT Clay (Hillary: Julius and Ethal Rosenberg were electrocuted for selling classified info.)
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To: Theo

Hey Theo.

CNN calls NH for Trump by large margin.

I got my bongo drums and cigar out?


3,917 posted on 02/09/2016 5:21:33 PM PST by tennmountainman ("Prophet Mountainman" Predicter Of All Things RINO...for a small pittancez)
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To: tennmountainman

Trump has been expected to win NH, no?


3,918 posted on 02/09/2016 5:34:14 PM PST by Theo (Trump = French Revolution. Cruz = American Revolution. Choose wisely.)
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To: tennmountainman

Cool. Two liberals topped the NH primaries: Sanders and Trump.


3,919 posted on 02/09/2016 8:41:17 PM PST by Theo (Trump = French Revolution. Cruz = American Revolution. Choose wisely.)
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To: Theo

Onward to SC!


3,920 posted on 02/10/2016 7:17:00 AM PST by tennmountainman ("Prophet Mountainman" Predicter Of All Things RINO...for a small pittancez)
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