Unknowns:
Weather.
Turnout.
Everybody’s second choice when their guy is too weak.
In other words, Peak Trump is somewhere around 40%. The other 60% have to think hard about who to support in light of that.
If in spite of that Trump wins, I think it’s over. Iowa plays to Cruz’s strengths. He can still do well in SEC and Trump could flame out, but both happening are unlikely.
Go Cruz! Tonight’s the night.
I don’t want an establishment candidate, but the GOP-E has been working overtime to get us conservatives to fight with one another and let another good ole boy politician slip through the back door. They’ve done that for years and it works.
My intention now, the same as it always has been, is to kill the establishment one way or another.
Why would I want one of them in charge? Look what they’ve given us? Years and years of losses on every front. They are worse than inept. They are on the other side.
Cruz may have a chance if the outcome is like a Mexican election where the vote percentages total out to about 120%
The two ineligible candidates, Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio, are wasting, according to one poll 24% and 17% respectively of the vote that could have gone to one of the other remaining candidates. The 41% of the votes added to the votes for one or more of the other candidates would out vote Trump. So, if Trump wins, voters only have Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio and their supporters to blame for splitting the votes to the advantage of the Donald Trump, whom you say you dislike so much. Brilliant move to grab defeat from the jaws of victory.
If in spite of that Trump wins, I think it’s over. Iowa plays to Cruz’s strengths. He can still do well in SEC and Trump could flame out, but both happening are unlikely.
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I agree with you Uncle Miltie re:Cruz. Iowa is the state that lines up with Cruz the best. The Rubio consultant class have been working non-stop behind the scenes to get Cruz, so they can move Rubio into 2nd place.
GOPe money is shifting to Rubio.
Go Cruz!