[jennychase]

Donald Trump 68 c

Ted Cruz 35 c

Market is leaving Cruz ship.
https://www.predictit.org/Market/1327/Who-will-win-the-2016-Iowa-Republican-caucuses

[Greetings_Puny_Humans]

Cruz can’t even win FR’s caucus. He’s quickly becoming a longshot in Iowa.

[catnipman]

It’s encouraging to see that the main stream media still dismisses Trump.

[brothers4thID]

Related: even if Trump wins 45% of the NH delegates based on primary results, he’ll still be hurting come convention time because he doesn’t have the ground game to secure convention delegates.

I’ve yet to see a realistic assessment of the delegate counts that doesn’t have a brokered convention between Trump and some other candidate.

[Bobalu]

I’m all in for Trump, not because he is the better man but because he can actually win the presidency and it’s a must win situation this time out.

I’m praying for a Trump/Cruz ticket... I know it seems unlikely after the recent animosity betwixt the two good men but I keep reminding myself how much Americans love a good reconciliation.

After Trump starts running the table it will be time for kiss-and-make-up ... and then a Trump/Cruz barnstorm across the USA!

I’d love to see them on stage together giving the democrats hell...and I’d love to see the Freepers from both camps come back together again...I’m SICK of the bickering here :-(

[Bobalu]

I love this photo.... you can almost see halos above the heads of those adorable girls :-)

[mmichaels1970]

Very good article. They make some very strong points. One thing about this cycle though is that so many things governed by “conventional wisdom” or “traditional thinking” have been turned on their ear.

Nobody knows til they do the counting. But this has already been an amazing run up to the vote. One we’ll never forget. There will be more than a few late nights over the next year in front of the tv with nachos and beer, wondering what the heck will happen next.

I can’t wait.

[snarkpup]

"Our research shows that those who attend caucuses are not only a smaller group; they are also much more ideologically extreme than voters who participate in primaries."

I believe it would be more accurate to characterize the caucus attendees (and especially the delegates elected in caucuses) to be those members of the public who are the angriest and have the most adrenaline. In a normal election, this set of people tends to be those who are ideologically extreme, as the article states. But this is not a normal election. We have people who are mad as hell (and not going to take it anymore) who are supporting a candidate whom "conservatives" claim is a "moderate." Just because Cruz is the more extreme candidate may not mean that his supporters have the most adrenaline.

[who_would_fardels_bear]

We should all be celebrating the fact that Jeb is toast and is incinerating Rubio on his way out the door.

Once Iowa is behind us, if Santorum, Carson, and Huckabee don't get above single digits, there will be a lot of votes made available to anyone but the remaining GOPe candidates.

Whoopee!

[Calpublican]

Let me give the proper response to this as the FR “Conservatives” would like:

TRUMP TRUMP TRUMP[ TRUMP

Don’t ask me to think

TRUMP TRUMP TRUMP YEAH TRUMP

[Iowa David]

I have attended every Republican caucus for the last 20 years. My phone number is listed so I literally get 10 to 15 political calls a day. I never say who I am caucusing for as I find that increases the calls with rebuttals.
Generally I get
2-3 calls for Cruz (don’t answer caller ID)
2 calls for Florina
3 calls for establishment candidates
3-4 calls for Rand Paul
The rest some calls just asking for my opinion on things so I can get more calls.

I have received a total of one call for Trump.

As a Cruz supporter this is good news.