Posted on 01/24/2016 9:56:04 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet
With only a few days until the Iowa caucuses, the political world is buzzing with anticipation for the presidential nomination process to go beyond polls and speeches to actual voting and caucusing.
Paying attention to the difference between these two types of processes is important because caucuses attract a very different set of citizens -- more ideological, more consistent and more partisan participants. We think this difference will matter.
So far, people have focused on Donald Trump's unexpectedly strong showing in the polls and on tensions between "outsider" candidates (like Trump) and more traditional "establishment" candidates. On the Democratic side, the question is how the expected front-runner Hillary Clinton will fare against an insurgent campaign from self-declared democratic socialist Bernie Sanders. Now, the critical question for all of these campaigns is how to get their supporters to show up.
As illustrated in the most recent CNN poll, different assumptions about the set of participants make a big difference. For instance, in the Iowa caucuses, Trump's lead disappears when only considering poll respondents who have previously caucused....
(Excerpt) Read more at gantdaily.com ...
I have attended every Republican caucus for the last 20 years. My phone number is listed so I literally get 10 to 15 political calls a day. I never say who I am caucusing for as I find that increases the calls with rebuttals.
Generally I get
2-3 calls for Cruz (don’t answer caller ID)
2 calls for Florina
3 calls for establishment candidates
3-4 calls for Rand Paul
The rest some calls just asking for my opinion on things so I can get more calls.
I have received a total of one call for Trump.
As a Cruz supporter this is good news.
I liked him too, but he was low energy and like you said, he didn’t appear to want it badly. RIP Fred.
Personally, I think that Cruz’s eligibility sits in the same boat as Obama’s eligibility. Obama was able to take office because Congress is filled with a bunch of pansies who failed to uphold the Constitution. Because of this, a horrible precedent has been set. A SC ruling on the matter is what is needed to clearly define the eligibility clause. Until a ruling is set, there is only opinion and doubt.
That being said, if Cruz wins the nomination, I would still vote for him in the General hoping he picks a good running mate for VP in the case that Congress screws him over. I would rather we win with a potentially ineligible candidate who has a good VP (in the event Cruz is prevented from taking the post), than lose to the DUmmies.
If Trump wins the nomination, I would like Cruz to be the VP even though the eligibility question could play some hijinks into that. Worst case scenario, I would hope that Trump picks a similar caliber person to Cruz as a VP and nominates Cruz as his AG and then to the SC when a seat opens up.
majotiry=majority
The “smart” media have better things to do than attempt to follow an incoherent patchwork of bumper sticker slogans. The rest follow Trump like catnip reporting his every move....after all, they’ve gotta have something to feed all his lemmings....the “DonUld” breaks wind and his supporters swoon.
Saw him at an early campaign stop in Florida when he was running. He was drenched in sweat and did not look well. I think he dropped shortly thereafter. Either health or he realized how long of a slog campaigning would be an decided retirement and endorsing products and other candidates would be more fun.
I think he was a good man.
Yes, he was.
Can you please stop spamming all the threads with this gif?
It locks up my computer every time. Thank you
>> Duncan Hunter too! <<
I had forgotten about that, there was endless talk here of a "Thompson/Hunter" ticket, which, like the "Trump/Cruz" ticket, only existed in the heads of their supporters on FR. Neither Fred Thompson nor Duncan Hunter showed any interest in teaming up. Hunter endorsed Huckabee right after leaving the race, and Thompson dropped out fairly quickly.
They nailed the campiness of the moment exactly
Palin Endorsement Cold Open - SNL youtube clip(Palin and Trump)
“According to our latest polls-plus forecast,
Ted Cruz has a 48% chance of winning the Iowa caucuses.
Donald Trump has a 41% chance of winning the Iowa caucuses
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-2016/primary-forecast/iowa-republican/ “
Sweet.
Neither of them ever had a chance, especially Hunter.
At least they were decent conservatives, if imperfect. I’d say they were the best 2 candidates in 2008.
Gingrich and Trump OTOH.....
How do you parody something that itself seemed like a parody? ;d
“When people start to talk about their superior “ground game” it usually means that they are in denial about their imminent defeat in the polls.”
Or, as was proven in Iowa on 2/1/2016, we actually know what we’re talking about. Shall I link all of the reports from precincts that had no Trump precinct captains? Do I need to point out that with historic levels of turnout, Cruz won because his folks were organized?
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