Posted on 12/23/2015 7:10:48 AM PST by BlackFemaleArmyColonel
Donald Trump has been a front-runner in the 2016 presidential election since he entered the race over the summer, and now new analysis of the polls has suggested that Americans may actually be understating their support for him.
In an analysis conducted by Morning Consult, it was discovered that Trump has done better in online polls than in surveys conducted over the phone.
The study noted: "Trump receives about 5 percentage points more support among registered Republicans and Republican-leaning Independents online compared with live telephone interviews."
The firm's polling director, Kyle Dropp, spoke with the Los Angeles Times and explained why Trump's support may appear higher in online polls and why the online polls are more accurate.
Dropp noted that many of Trump's supporters, especially those with college educations, are "less likely to say that they support him when they're talking to a live human" than when they are in the "anonymous environment."
In fact, the study showed that adults answering questions about Trump on the phone were more likely to hide their opinion from the surveyor because of "a social desirability bias in which respondents answer questions in a manner they believe will be viewed favorably by others."
On the other hand, blue-collar Republicans answered the same regardless of the method.
The study was widespread. Some 2,397 potential Republican voters were polled in early December, either by telephone survey, an online survey or by an interactive dialing technique.
Dropp said that the results of the experiment were clear.
"Voters are about 6 points more likely to support Trump when they're taking the poll online then when they're talking to a live interviewer," he said.
While Trump continues to lead in the Republican Party primary, voters may be surprised by Trump's overwhelming number of supporters.
(Excerpt) Read more at conservativetribune.com ...
I don’t do phone surveys of any kind.
But I am somewhat annoyed that educated people can be shamed into suppressing their opinions. But then look at what happened to Ms Puerto Rico.
Somehow we need to start shaming people who suppress free speech.
We know two women, who will probably be this way.
One is an escapee from Gay Frisco and liberal Marin married to a San Francisco retired doctor. She hates the Clintoons and was/is for Jebe. She may be another embarrassed by Trump and a silent voter.
The other is a modern Church Lady. She and her husband might say darn on a bad day. In spite of being life long Republican, she is saying she can’t support Trump because he is vulgar.
We know her sister, a more reality world woman, and she feels her sister and husband will vote for Trump and never admit it.
She is all about voting Donald Trump.
And Trump is all about being pro-woman too.
Look at who he put at the top in so many of his businesses.
He never told his daughter to settle, he taught her to work to succeed.
Just don’t fit the Hillary narritive of effing men to get ahead.
There I typed it. MERRY CHRISTMAS everyone of yous Freepers. ; > )
Nope. Not alone.
There is a movement afoot...
Do your own and don’t bother reporting back.
OK...wake up..back to reality...
Has there EVER been a 50 state landslide...?
Reagan was the closest with 49 in 1984
I can think of at least 4 or 5 states that Trump couldn't win if God himself spoke from heavens and told them to vote for him or die...
I would predict Trump if he wins the nomination he will barely win....
Your wife is a wonderful person and a total hypocrite. I feel sorry for you.
Because online polls are so accurate....
That being said, go Cruz!
I’ll vote for Trump over anyone else but Cruz. Not even a question in my mind.
Several are acknowledging this, particularly Sundance over at CTH.
LOL...I think you're right!
For 4 Electoral votes? Who needs it?
Drop a few hundred “refugees” there.
My in-laws, who are RINOs!!, now support Trump.
What won them over were his promises to put a hold on muslim immigration. They know the truth about the no-go zones, in UK/France and when he was bashed for saying that, they jumped aboard.
These are people who originally supported Yeb (barf!) then Snarly. They are now on the Trump Train :)
I’ve also posted about lib relatives and friends who voted for 0....and are all in for Trump. Hellary is NOT impressing them!
“THE FORCE AWAKENS!!!”
Go Trump. Poll or no pole, he will restore America like no other candidate.
You’re definitely not alone. I don’t pick up either.
My husband always picks up because he likes to play with scammers. They call two or three times a day.
That's unfortunate. I, too, am a government employee. I play Christian music in my office and listen to Rush Limbaugh while monitoring Fox on the TV.
It makes the liberals on my floor a little crazy, but that's one of the benefits of being the boss. :-)
Guarantee you are right. Pretty much everyone I talk to by a wide margin are voting for him.
Same here and it doesn’t matter where they’re from.
Brand New CNN Poll has Trump INCREASING HIS LEAD
Posted by The Right Scoop on Dec 23, 2015 at 9:31 AM in Politics | 14 Comments
By The Right Scoop
A brand new CNN national poll shows the race between Donald Trump and Ted Cruz much further apart than did the Quinnipiac poll from yesterday, with Trump even expanding his lead over Cruz to 21 points:
http://therightscoop.com/brand-new-cnn-poll-has-trump-increasing-his-lead/
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