Posted on 12/08/2015 7:10:26 PM PST by BlackFemaleArmyColonel
If all 68 percent of those "Trump or bust" likely Republican voters are telling the truth about sticking with him if he runs third-party, we're looking at something like 17-20 percent of the total vote next November going to Trump, way more than enough to wreck the GOP's chances. Even if half of them end up deciding to either stay home or vote for the Republican nominee in the interest of beating Hillary, that's still upwards of 10 percent breaking away.
There are X factors, though. One X factor is Trump's dynamism on the stump. If he campaigned aggressively as a third-party nominee, with the sort of frequent big rallies he's doing now, the contrast with Hillary's "low energy" campaign and whatever the GOP nominee is doing might drive extra votes to him. I wouldn't put it past him to get 25 percent, especially if he finally opens his wallet to buy ads and build a national organization.
But that'll be countered by another X factor: It's hard to predict how much free airtime the media will continue to give him during a general election. Letting him on the air to ramble for half an hour about barring Muslims is a perfectly sensible thing for MSNBC to do right now, when the GOP is at each other's throats. The more he talks, the more divided their enemy is.
If he went third-party, they'd have to think more carefully. I assume they'd double down early in the general election campaign by giving him a blank check to talk on the air about whatever he likes, hoping to drive attention away from the GOP nominee and towards Trump in the name of splitting the vote. If he really took off, though, and began to threaten Hillary, they'd cut him off.
(Excerpt) Read more at hotair.com ...
At GOP HQ someone is saying is slamming a door and shouting “Karl, you said this would never happen...”
Go Trump!
Jeb’s ship has sailed. Rubs is their main candidate.
He too will be shredded.
Hello, Chief Justice of the Supreme Court William Jefferson Clinton....
He went wild when Trump said third party because he knows its over for him
He'll be like Clinton in 1992 - elected president with less than 50% of the vote, but the highest of 3 major candidates.
Laura Ingraham: GOP Will “Rip Itself Apart” To Avoid Nominating Trump
RCP ^ | 12/08/2015 | Laura Ingraham
Yup! I’m still for Cruz but I’ll vote for Trump if he gets the nomination. I’m totally fed up with professional politicians. They have destroyed my country. We need to send all politicians back to their “fries guy” and motel maid jobs.
The GOP would much rather have Clinton than Trump. They would rather have a 3rd term of Obama.
Pray America wakes
You really know your stuff. Who is the next Super Bowl champions?
I would jump ship, too (and not because of Trump). I’ve been wanting to jump for some time. Getting sick of being treated like a second class citizen by my own party.
My vote will go to TRUMP! I’ll write him in if I have to.
BS
**** “Say hello to Jeb Bush too” ****
Jeb ... OHHHH PLEASE, Tippy Toes, Loser of the Bush Gene Pool?
Hillary? (Not enough room on this entire Forum to despise that thing)
I have to believe that our idiocy as a Nation ends with Obama.
If not, I’m not going to apologize for being a Texan that Radicalized.
Jeb and Right to Rise are throwing around a lot of money and influence in case you haven’t noticed. They started out with like $100 million and they still have plenty of that at their disposal and the Bush political machine is still immense. I wouldn’t count him out. Right to Rise is running another commercial on Fox news RIGHT NOW in fact.
Cruz and Trump stand out to me for different reasons.
I’ll support either one at this point, BUT, the character traits that Trump exibit, that draw so many of us to him, are a turn off to some of my older friends who vote conservative. I seem to spend a lot of time trying to “talk them into liking” him.
She’s not saying an either-or. There’s still the chance someone else gets the nomination.
Money is all it takes to buy Republican Votes? ... Republican Voters are no different than Obamaphone Voters?
Jeb spent Millions on Radio and TV and got zilch, He actually DROPPED in the Polls, I predict he will spend much more and reap the same... it is a whole new ballgame and GOPe or GOPE like MSM are going to lose their collective minds.
This is now...
https://intellectualfroglegs.com/trumpnado-ifl-12-06-15/
That and many other blogs, Tubes and what Trump is doing now.
SCREW GOPE, GOPe Screw MSM, Screw the Know it alls on the Sunday Talk Shows, Screw the Usetabes. I actually found out that I could disagree with a Hero of mine Dick Cheney, and I did that just today.
Islam needs to leave the USA today, now... Go Trump!
**** “Jeb and Right to Rise” *****
Might have a lot of money but it is still a limp richard and it won’t get the job done.
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