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Down 12 Points, Trump Has Biggest Poll-to-Poll Decline in Months
Townhall.com ^ | November 28, 2015 | Leah Barkoukis

Posted on 11/28/2015 7:43:52 AM PST by Kaslin

Is Trump-mentum finally slowing down? While this is only one poll and the GOP establishment is still in panic mode over Trump's continued lead, a Reuters/Ipsos survey released Friday shows the GOP frontrunner lost 12 points in less than a week, "his largest single poll-to-poll drop since he took the primary lead in July," The Hill reports.

The rolling poll, which was conducted from Nov. 23 to Nov. 27, still has the real estate mogul at the top, finding favor among 31 percent of Republicans. However, support for Trump is down from a peak of 43 percent, which was registered on Nov. 22.

Reuters points to some of his recent controversial remarks, which may be to blame for the drop.

The dip follows criticism of Trump for comments he made in the aftermath of the Nov. 13 Paris attacks that killed 130 people and wounded hundreds more.

Following the attacks, Trump told an NBC News reporter that he would support requiring all Muslims within the United States to be registered to a special database, which his critics have likened to the mandatory registration of Jews in Nazi Germany.

Trump has also been criticized for flailing his arms and distorting his speech as he mocked a New York Times reporter, Serge Kovaleski, who is disabled.

Trump mocked the reporter as he defended his unsubstantiated assertion that during the Sept. 11, 2001 attacks on the United States, he watched on television as "thousands and thousands" of people in New Jersey cheered while the World Trade Center fell.

But it wasn't only Trump who slipped in the poll. Ben Carson also dropped with only 15 percent of Republicans saying they'd support him.

At more than 8 percent, Sens. Marco Rubio and Ted Cruz tied for third place, followed by Gov. Jeb Bush, who came in at 7 percent.




TOPICS: Culture/Society; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2016election; 2016polls; campaigns; donaldtrump; elections; mediabias; polls; trump
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To: Popman

I am talking about very high achievers ones who are self made and have made hundreds of millions and more. They are all driven and like Trump. They are driven and it comes out as arrogance. That’s the nature of the beast.

Ordinary people don’t understand that much.


41 posted on 11/28/2015 8:27:30 AM PST by GilGil
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To: Souled_Out

Watch out for Marco Rubio...he is a good speaker. Good at fooling the sheeple. He has the fesh and youthful thing Obama had plus his Hispanic appeal

I think the finals will be Trump vs Rubio w Rubio getting lots of GOPe Pac money

Rubio can think on his feet and just might get the better of Trump in a one on one debate


42 posted on 11/28/2015 8:32:57 AM PST by dennisw (The first principle is to find out who you are then you can achieve anything -- Buddhist monk)
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To: jpsb

Finally someone gets it! Totally agree. A lot of Americans are either pansies or resentful of high achievers. So they call it boorish and arrogant.

People of Trump’s caliber are exhausting wit their drive and often offensive. Even when you look at the interaction between Trump’s family and Trump they all seem mesmerized by him and very respectful. Trump is one of those high achieving personality tat you do not know how he does what he does.

I bet his kids and his wife wonder that every day. What an experience that must be to see him create wealth and results on such a massive scale.

That kind of achievement is labeled as boorish and arrogant. Ridiculous!


43 posted on 11/28/2015 8:33:02 AM PST by GilGil
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To: Kaslin

BS


44 posted on 11/28/2015 8:34:15 AM PST by Logical me
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To: Kaslin

Trump’s numbers have steadied. He got a massive bump from Paris, but that bump died off after his soft support bought the liberal BS.

Also here are the numbers:

Trump 31
Carson 15
Cruz 8
Rubio 8
Jeb! 7

I guess “TRUMP LEADS AGAIN” isnt a headline that will get clicks.

I don’t buy Cruz/Rubio being so low, and I don’t buy Jeb! being above 4%


45 posted on 11/28/2015 8:34:33 AM PST by SteveSCH (Cruz, Trump, or bust.)
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To: Kaslin

I don’t think he’s down 12 - but I don’t think he was really quite as high as 38 either. This poll is kind of screwy. No reason for Trump to be down, no reason for Carson to be up, no reason for Rubio and Cruz to be down a tad either...other than outlier samples over a holiday weekend.


46 posted on 11/28/2015 8:34:33 AM PST by C. Edmund Wright (WTF? How Karl Rove and the Establishment Lost...Again (Amazon Best Seller))
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To: GilGil

-——I am talking about very high achievers ones who are self made and have made hundreds of millions and more. They are all driven and like Trump. They are driven and it comes out as arrogance. That’s the nature of the beast.——

I have known and worked for multi millionaires....obviously you haven’t....

Most if you meet them on the street, you would never know they were worth hundreds of millions of dollars...

True, Trump does fit a stereotype, but most are not like him...


47 posted on 11/28/2015 8:34:43 AM PST by Popman (Christ alone: My Cornerstone...)
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To: oldvirginian
Decrease the numbers polled and only include those geographic areas likely to give the desired result.

Did you ever consider the possibility that because of the holiday week, there were just a lot fewer people willing to take the time to be polled? Not everything has a malicious intent... The number of people polled when it showed Trump at 31% (358) was not that different from the number polled when it showed him at 38% (381). In fact, the sample size on the day Trump hit 43% was only 464 people.

And remember that this is a 5 day rolling poll. What happened is that Trump had a set of 3-4 VERY good polling days (highest was 47.6%), but those have now rolled off the average. Looking at the Reuters polling site the last few individual days had Trump at 32%, 27% and 26%.

48 posted on 11/28/2015 8:35:06 AM PST by CA Conservative (Texan by birth, Californian by circumstance)
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To: Kaslin

This, in a purportedly “conservative” magazine? Guess it’s reallly just part of the GOPe, needing to dump on the Trump by citing a outlier poll, and misrepresenting his statements. I.e., he didn’t say ALL MUSLIMS WITHIN THE US need to be registered; he referred to the ‘refugees,’ and who really cares about a nasty NYT reporter, disabled or not?

This ploy won’t work, Leah and Townhall, but good try.


49 posted on 11/28/2015 8:35:56 AM PST by EDINVA
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To: Leaning Right

Crippled in America.


50 posted on 11/28/2015 8:37:27 AM PST by Lisbon1940 (No full-term governors)
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To: GilGil
My first impression of this 12 point drop is that it is manufactured. There is no reason for the drop.

Actually, if you look at the trend line for this poll, the polls showing Trump at 43% were the anomaly. He had a few very high polling days, which skewed the 5-day average, but he has returned to about where he was before those few good days.

51 posted on 11/28/2015 8:38:05 AM PST by CA Conservative (Texan by birth, Californian by circumstance)
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To: CA Conservative

I don’t disagree entirely. Elections have never failed to tighten. What’s fun is that you can drop 12, or whatever, and still lap the field. (Even when the COMPLEX is coming after you.) :)

Does this race hinge on Iowa? Hardly. I have definitely enjoyed the 5 Day Rolling Reuters, I confess. But, even that may tighten.


52 posted on 11/28/2015 8:41:29 AM PST by RitaOK ( VIVA CRISTO REY / Public education is the farm team for more Marxists coming)
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To: ripnbang
Goes for Cruz supporters as well...latest polling shows his “soar” is crashing...

Really? Which polls? I just checked the RCP averages (national, Iowa, NH, SC), and except for Iowa, none of them shows any dramatic changes in the polls for Cruz. Iowa, of course, shows a dramatic improvement for Cruz. But I take all of that with a grain of salt anyway.

53 posted on 11/28/2015 8:44:10 AM PST by CA Conservative (Texan by birth, Californian by circumstance)
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To: Popman

It is not hard to be a multi millionaire over a lifetime.

I’m talking about very high achievers like a Carnegie, or a Steve Jobs, or a Bill Gates. They are all like Trump.

They may not be as flamboyant but if you work within close proximity of them they exhibit those traits. All of them do.

If they were wall flowers they would not be where they are.


54 posted on 11/28/2015 8:44:51 AM PST by GilGil
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To: Kaslin

What a bogus Poll? Sample size and margin of error are a joke.


55 posted on 11/28/2015 8:45:11 AM PST by Captain Peter Blood
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To: jpsb
Had Cruz produced his FS-240 yet?

Oh goody, another birther! Just keep wasting your time chasing that rabbit, my friend...

56 posted on 11/28/2015 8:46:20 AM PST by CA Conservative (Texan by birth, Californian by circumstance)
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To: Kaslin

I dont believe these polls....again they can make them say whatever they want them to say...the gop is getting scared and want trump out


57 posted on 11/28/2015 8:47:49 AM PST by angelcindy ("If you follow the crowd ,you get no further than the crowd!")
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To: Kaslin

“Hogwash”!!! Trump not only will win on the GOP ticket....but if Karl Rove & his Republican Establishment RINO idiots deny the GOP POTUS nomination to Donald Trump...Trump will run as an Independent and win massively!!! To me......in the real world,...not the fantasy world of Karl Rove and the Obamabot media,.....the bottom line is.....Trump for POTUS & Cruz as his running mate....best ticket ever!!! Eight years of Trump & then.......eight years of Cruz!!! Lovely!!!


58 posted on 11/28/2015 8:56:12 AM PST by JLAGRAYFOX ( My only objective is to defeat and destroy Obama & his Democrat Party!!!)
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To: GilGil

Trump gets results and he is proving it. If you have been around very high achievers they are all like that.


The media acts like all games should be no hitters, or shutouts by the Defense.

They look for small incidents to create massive divide, while not holding their own provocateurs and liars to their standard...

Trump, is and will continue to strip them of their armor...


59 posted on 11/28/2015 8:59:42 AM PST by patriotspride
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To: BigEdLB
This is the fifth time this has been posted. Please see other threads. Note. I did an analysis showing odd disconnect between registered and likely voters which show Trump at 35%. Waiting for post number 6.

Thanks for the reality!

60 posted on 11/28/2015 9:02:28 AM PST by Grampa Dave (Syrians escape to live well in US & EU..Our troops go to Syria to die in their place. More Obamacrap)
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