Posted on 11/20/2015 8:05:34 AM PST by No Dems 2016
The Fat Lady ain't singing. Not yet.
Shades of the 1993 election in which Mary Landrieu rode the wave of the Sugar crises in South America, David Vitter, behind in the polls, all runoff season, is building a typhoon over the international Paris terrror crises.
In the last poll of the runoff, John C. Convillion of JMC Analytics notes the race has now dropped to 4 percent difference. Weeks ago, Edwards led by 22 points.
Why is he DOWN in the first place?
Doesn’t this bode ill for the Senate elections next year for Republicans?
Dude, those polls totally got it right on Bevin, too.
Awesome.
I don’t trust the polls either, but what I find interesting is the trend in this poll. JMC found Edwards up 16 points a few days ago and now it finds him up by 4. I think that says this race has tightened dramatically.
Some conservatives feel betrayed by him having an affair 15 or so years ago.
Also Edwards is a West Point graduate who promises he’s against abortion and in favor of gun rights. The usual “trust me, I’m totally not going to betray you like every Democrat has in the past... I’m different and for real this time” tactic is working well for him.
RE: Some conservatives feel betrayed by him having an affair 15 or so years ago.
When was this discovered?
If it was 15 years ago, then he should not have been voted in then. Why express concern only now?
There’s no doubt Vitter’s prostitution scandal has hurt him, but I think a lot of disaffected Republicans will come around in the voting booth.
Louisiana is a safe GOP state..however, Vitter is a flawed candidate..his prostitution scandal has dogged him this election as two other high profile GOP candidates ran against him in the primary..Vitter ran very mean and childish ads against his GOP opponents..one endorsed Edwards, the dem, and the other is sitting out, supposedly waiting to go against Vitter next year should he lose the governors race..I'm no fan of Vitter, but will vote for him tomorrow because Dems are terrible leaders..
That cuts the lead by half in the past 24 hours. Energy and turnout are going to decide these runoffs.
Or the pollsters must now tell the truth as we get closer to the election or lose all credibility.
Opportunism.
The people expressing concern are Dems who never voted for him hoping to keep his turn out down.
I’m praying for the Bradley Effect.
“Doesn’t this bode ill for the Senate elections next year for Republicans?”
Not necessarily. Louisiana is often out of sync with the national trends.
The affair is a bogus issue andd is only used as an explanation by the pollsters who put up those stupid polls showing Edwards up by around 18 points after Vitter was blowing the doors off a few short weeks before.
The affair was known years ago and Vitter acknowledged and apologized for his actions. Despite this scandal he handily WON his race for the Senate where he is now. Why would an old scandal suddenly cause new problems? Answer is they don’t and the polls showing Vitter’s collapsing numbers were phony to begin with and simply meant to demoralize Vitter voters so they would give up an stay home.
I have no idea who will win this but for sure it isn’t going to be anyone’s blowout victory.
Just remember what happened 2 weeks ago in Kentucky. A predicted Dem win the day before the election turned into a big (9 point) loss.
Actually he has cut Edwards lead by 75% in the past 2 days if you want to believe the previous polls (I don’t)
Edward’s radio ads are very impressive. Propaganda, but very effective propaganda. Warm fuzzy and reassuring.
Vitter’s is relatively crass and overdone angst, and not as much of it.
If Vitter wins this, he wins on the one issue of infiltration by jihadis.
I think so too. -IF- they turn out!
The fat lady has probably already sung.
30-49% of the votes are already in the can .
Down 4 is still down 4.
He needs a bug turnaround to overcome the early vote !
Dang right!! Bevin lost in a landslide!!!!!!! Oh wait.....
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