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Vanity: 76 days and the political wind leaves Trump
11/16/15 | me

Posted on 11/16/2015 3:52:15 PM PST by spacejunkie2001

There are about 76 days remaining until Iowa. The polls, overall, show Trump blowing it out and he depends on/lives by, being high in the polls. His "stump" speeches are all about where he is, compared to the other candidates, in the rankings.

Iowa is a state that votes very conservative, very Christian. I contend the entire race has a different fact at the end of voting there, as I believe Cruz will win Iowa. At that point you'll see a seismic shift in the political ring, where Trump is no longer at the top. Part of it will be that someone else won Iowa, but Cruz will gain huge traction by winning, which will also be a major factor.

So...I like Trump and am glad he's taking the machete to the path and bringing out issues that prior to now have been taboo, like deporting illegals.

But...the shift is coming and it will be so because he won't win Iowa.


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Politics/Elections; Your Opinion/Questions
KEYWORDS: cruz; iowa; trump
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1 posted on 11/16/2015 3:52:15 PM PST by spacejunkie2001
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To: spacejunkie2001

So what? Even if he doesn’t win Iowa, which I think he will, he’ll kill it everywhere else.

And you should be honest, you don’t like Trump. If you did you wouldn’t waste everyone’s time wishing for him to go away.

Go Trump!


2 posted on 11/16/2015 3:55:29 PM PST by Kenny (RED)
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To: spacejunkie2001

It’s a caucus, not a primary. They are two entirely different things. Cruz has people in EVERY county in Iowa and the three other early voting states.


3 posted on 11/16/2015 3:55:40 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet (TED CRUZ. You can help: https://donate.tedcruz.org/c/FBTX0095/)
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To: Kenny

Go Trump!


4 posted on 11/16/2015 3:56:40 PM PST by Guenevere (If.the foundations are destroyed, what can the righteous do....)
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To: spacejunkie2001

Trump may be very effective as a president of a business corporation, but as chief executive officer and Commander in Chief of a constitutional republic, I have grave misgivings.


5 posted on 11/16/2015 3:57:29 PM PST by Elsiejay (qeustion of qualificatioin)
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To: spacejunkie2001
I'd say the political winds favor him big time, even if he doesn't win Iowa.

Iowa does NOT decide the race.

At this point, neither Iowa nor much of anything else other than Trump himself can take him down.

6 posted on 11/16/2015 3:59:34 PM PST by Lakeshark
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To: Kenny

I don’t think Iowa is winner take all.


7 posted on 11/16/2015 3:59:40 PM PST by Parley Baer
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To: spacejunkie2001

After Paris, and Hitlery saying she would bring another 65,000 “refugees” to the U.S. in the dem debate, I’m fairly confident that the next President will be Republican. And I think it will come down to either Cruz, or Trump.


8 posted on 11/16/2015 4:00:50 PM PST by EvilCapitalist (I'd rather be islamaphobic and alive, than tolerant and dead.)
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To: Kenny

I agree. GO TRUMP.


9 posted on 11/16/2015 4:00:58 PM PST by MamaB (Heb. 13:2)
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To: Elsiejay

I don’t have misgivings with an intelligent businessman and loyal AMERICAN holding the reins. Trump has a successful business because he knows how to delegate responsibility and will pick top drawer people to fill the slots, not political appointees he owes favors to. The mindset is different. Trump is the better man for the job at hand. We don’t need another politician at the head of the pack. We need someone who is a fighter, sets his goals high, and can pick the winning combinations to put America on top again and bring back our manufacturing and jobs. As Commander in Chief, he will rebuild our military.


10 posted on 11/16/2015 4:03:59 PM PST by Mollypitcher1 (I have not yet begun to fight....John Paul Jones)
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To: spacejunkie2001

Why have a primary season at all? Just appoint Iowa to elect the president for us.

Total crap.


11 posted on 11/16/2015 4:04:13 PM PST by datura (Proud Infidel)
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To: spacejunkie2001
a seismic shift

LOL

Excluding Republican incumbents, Iowa caucuses have selected the next Republican president ONE time since about 1972.

Iowa does not have a stellar history as an accurate predictor of Republican presidential winners.


12 posted on 11/16/2015 4:05:52 PM PST by TomGuy
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To: spacejunkie2001

The voters, or those that poll, give Trump a bit too much latitude. He doesn’t have to hit Carson very hard. Carson is exploding, it’s just delayed reaction. Chiming in now and hitting Carson hard, well that’s a waste of the finite amount of latitude Trump has.


13 posted on 11/16/2015 4:06:05 PM PST by Fhios
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To: Elsiejay

Maybe another politician (even your man Cruz) isn’t what the nation needs now-—does Cruz and Rubio do their sworn duty and return to the Senate to vote on issues—or-—just collect their paychecks while running for Prez?


14 posted on 11/16/2015 4:06:52 PM PST by cmomm44
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To: spacejunkie2001

Trump!


15 posted on 11/16/2015 4:08:40 PM PST by 867V309 (Trump: Bull in a RINO Shoppe)
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To: spacejunkie2001

Yeah! President Santorum won Iowa! Oh wait...


16 posted on 11/16/2015 4:11:53 PM PST by mikey_hates_everything
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To: Parley Baer

Iowa on caucus night is in fact nothing but a presidential straw poll. It’s absolutely meaningless, except as a PR springboard into New Hampshire a week later.

It does usually have a winnowing effect though. There are, traditionally, basically three tickets out of Iowa to New Hampshire.


17 posted on 11/16/2015 4:16:36 PM PST by EternalVigilance
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To: 867V309

Go watch the youtube of the rally in Texas, nobody connects with his audience like Trump.

When he brought out the parents who had their children killed by illegals viciously, grotesquely and he showed compassion for them he had his Reagan moment.

When he had a moment of silence for the victims of Muzzies in Paris, Trump was very Presidential

When he said he would “bomb the SHIT out of ISIS” I said YES
thats what need to be done.

Trump was saying the Syrian refuges could be a Trojan Horse.
He was again right

Right to not destabilize the middle east.

Right about getting Bin Laden about 2 years before the twin towers went down.

Right about taking the oil

Trump has the vision thing, few have. Obama clearly doesn’t have the vision thing.


18 posted on 11/16/2015 4:16:37 PM PST by Zenjitsuman (A)
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To: spacejunkie2001

My point is Trump will lose momentum, not that Iowa decides the election. And, if Trump wins I’ll vote for him and I can’t say that about Bush, Rubio, Kasich, Fiorina, Huckabee, Christie or any of the lower tier


19 posted on 11/16/2015 4:21:46 PM PST by spacejunkie2001
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To: Mollypitcher1

You mean Marie Harf would be out of a job under a President Trump? Say it ain’t so. By the way, if you can’t tell that was sarcasm there’s something wrong with you.


20 posted on 11/16/2015 4:24:03 PM PST by EvilCapitalist (I'd rather be islamaphobic and alive, than tolerant and dead.)
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