Posted on 10/13/2015 3:28:57 PM PDT by Red Steel
Donald Trump gets 48 percent of the GOPs primary vote, counting first and second choices, according to the latest large-scale poll by Morning Consult.
.. The score include 34 percent in first-choice votes, and 14 percent in second-choice votes.
Ben Carsons first and second-choice votes push him up to 37 percent.
Jeb Bushs first and second-choice votes adds up to 23 percent. Sen. Marco Rubio total reaches 12 percent. Sen. Ted Cruz reaches 11 percent, while Carly Fiorina climbs to 14 percent.
(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...
Carson is 14% behind Trump in this poll with 20%.
The actual sub sample is N = 749 for Rs, and
the Dems got N = 826 for their subset.
In 2008 McCain won the nomination with 33% of the popular vote.
He's every bit as Left and dishonest as Shillary and the Marxist in Chief.
I am surprised that Cruz is at 11%. I would think most would tie him with Trump. Shows what I know.
(34 * a) + (14 * b) != 48 * a
New Faux News poll out today and Trump and Carson are virtually tied. Trump at 24% to Carson’s 23. Trump has lost 2 points since their last poll and Carson has gained 5. And if you believe this Faux Poll, which is about the only one released in the past week that shows Carson that close to Trump I have some good ocean property to sell you in Arizona.
Biased Faux smelling their on dung heap. That crap won’t work next year.
Cool. Do you know if anyone will be posting the Donald tweets during the debate? Thanx
I’m sure many will on the Dem debate thread.
Trump’s Twitter page.
https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump
Maybe Im wrong but if Cruz doesnt make a move in the next couple of weeks he is done
This morning on Morning Joe,(they are political animals over there) had a poll up that answers your question.
Ben Carson beats Hillary the best, by about 10 points, and Trump beats her by six, Jeb Bush even beat her by a couple of points.
They all beat her.
Find them on Drudge and buzz to the link he provides.
Latest state polls, Trump up vs Hillary in FL, IA, tied/MOE in OH, down in VA, CT (at where Romney ended up in ‘12). I think she’s up a couple in PA but I m pretty sure I saw a poll of MI with Trump up.
Thank You! kabar, this is timely info for me. I had been wondering what Trump’s nice poll numbers actually meant, especially in a field this large.
Hillary is just in the 40’s with only one serious candidate, and a couple or three others poling 1% between the three of them.
I mean, come on. Trump is doing really fine!
Carson at the top of the GOP ticket would prove fatal to the Dems, at all levels.
Think for a moment what states would be in play for the GOP that almost never are, if the GOP ran a candidate who could keep most social and economic conservatives in the fold, but peal a mere 20% of African American voters from the Dems? And Carson could pull 30% without hardly trying. I would not be surprised, if Carson gets the nomination, that he might pull closer to 40%. Crazy, I know, but possible when you look at who will most line up with in values with the religious African Americans, but who can in no possible way be confused with a rich white, racist guy. Further, do you think Carson versus Hillary would even be a contest? She might lose 48 states to him.
I’m just going to be honest, I am grateful that Trump is pro-Life and I am convinced that he was genuinely repulsed by the atrocities of PP, which I think he had not followed all that closely. This was my threshold to get to vote for him and I love him on every other point, hands down.
But, to be frank, we have a now secular America who is no longer voting for Christians outright, who say the world is near it’s End Times, though it surely must be, after rejecting our Lord.
I don’t believe Carson could win the presidency by staying in the evangelical lane. Do you, really? Our nation is cursed by our institutional abandonment of God, and we are unlikely to recover under any president, but I don’t believe a candidate who is very noisy about his Christianity can even be elected in this atmosphere. God help us. I am sorry to say any of this, but even I don’t trust our country any more on her national goodness.
I dont believe a candidate who is very noisy about his Christianity can even be elected in this atmosphere. God help us. I am sorry to say any of this, but even I dont trust our country any more on her national goodness.Whenever anyone has been brave enough to articulate the Christian view, in a tone of compassion and love, not judgmental, but with firmness of convictions, and do so calmly and consistently, the world is drawn to it. The media is not. Hollywood is not. The political class are not. Yet, somehow, people are drawn to the light. We get to listening to the chattering class and the media, and they don't let you think that hardly anyone believes anymore. But they do, God is constantly working in people's lives and hearts in ways you and I don't fathom.
Secondly, I do not see any way that a guy with as much common sense as Dr. Carson, who is so calm and measured in the face of criticism, whose positions will keep social and economic conservatives in the fold, whose tone will keep social moderates in the fold, and will surely be able to get 85% or 90% of the GOP vote, could possibly lose the national election. Why? Because he will peal 30% of the African American vote at least off the Democratic coalition. This would be absolutely devastating to the Democratic coalition that they have pieced together and have taken for granted for over 50 years. Dr Carson at the top of the GOP ticket would give the Democrats a beat down in almost every state. Senate elections that were thought to be lean Dem would suddenly be in play, and Hillary would lose 47 states to Dr. Carson.
He beats every stereotype hands-down. He is African American, but conservative. Loved Reagan. Is demonstrably brilliant - no way to characterize him successfully as a stupid, backward, rich white guy. (If they chose to try to make him out to be stupid, watch for him to pull 50% of the African American vote. They will be playing with fire in the way that they try to work him over because if African Americans feel like he is not getting a fair shake it might take him past a tipping point of support.) He is calm, not seen as feeding conservative racists and bigots red meat.
He is by far the biggest threat to the liberal Democratic machine that I have ever seen. It will be interesting to see how they react when (or if) he starts to poll higher than Trump.
Thanks, TN. You’re a fine thinker. I appreciate your reply.
And yet, you’re for Bush?
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