You say the Cruz percentage right now in Iowa is 8.3%. If that is accurate, it is the result of a telephone call to a limited number of voters. Also, in these phone calls, Trump has 22.3% if your numbers are accurate there. This exact type of poll had Cruz losing to the Lt. Gov., for the US senate seat, even the day before the election. The next day, Cruz won by a considerable margin.
So, a win depends on the amount of effort exerted by the candidate to reach the individual voter at the right times before the actual voting day. Of course, if you have a lousy candidate, nothing will work. The candidate has to be a viable candidate plus put in the organization to cover all the bases.
Best luck to your candidate, senator Cruz. He is impressive in many ways. I have very few issues with him. One being H1-B visa’s, and the other when he was pushing for Pacific Trade. I don’t care if McConnell was lying, Ted Cruz should know that these trade deals with low labor cost countries have only one purpose...to benefit the mega-rich-donor class. And they always hurt middle class jobs.
You are a class act based on your posts. Would be great if all Cruz supporters were as civil.