Posted on 08/03/2015 10:33:43 AM PDT by Hojczyk
If you look at RCPs poll round-up, youll see that most national surveys lately fall into two groups. One group has Trump up by just three or four points, the other has him up 11 or 12. Whats interesting about this new one from Monmouth is that it shows him breaking through the higher of those two ceilings, to the point where hes now topping Jeb Bush by a margin of better than two to one.
Ideology Trump leads Walker 27% to 16% among very conservative voters; has 22% support among somewhat conservative voters to 14% for Bush and 12% for Walker; and takes 28% of the moderate to liberal voter compared to 20% for Bush.
Tea Party Tea Party supporters back Trump (35%) over Walker (15%) and Cruz (11%). Non-Tea Party supporters split their top support between Trump (20%) and Bush (16%).
Maybe his turnaround proves how potent hawkishness on immigration remains across the GOP, notwithstanding the best efforts of its pro-amnesty leadership to shape opinion to the contrary. Or maybe its evidence of how ravenous the publics appetite is, even among moderate Republicans, for a protest vote against the political class.
Or maybe its a matter of pure media conditioning, with the great mass of low-information voters responding to pollsters Pavlov-style after hearing the word Trump on the nightly news every eight seconds for the past six weeks. Trump had better hope its one (or both) of those first two theories and not the third. Low-information voters are the least likely to show up on election day.
(Excerpt) Read more at hotair.com ...
LOL good catch. Trump is gaining support like Arnold, Ross and others of the past. BUT he may be able to pull it off. He isnt my choice and currently Im not sold on Trump but will vote for him in the general if he is the nom.
As a Florida voter I will almost certainly vote for Rubio in order to get rid of Bush. Getting rid of Bush allows conservatives to vote their choice in the following primaries.
Is that you, JEB?
Darn ... and JEB was supposed to already have it in the bag.
Cruz will overtake Walker in the next three months once more people learn about him.
Cruz will be the big winner in the first debate and JEB will be the biggest loser.
You guys are getting desperate.
Yeah, you must be a real genius and fun at parties as well.
....born on date of 5/24/15.
‘Splains a lot, Lucy.
Actually Mensa says I am. And I do alright at parties..
whats your excuse?
Your argument is invalid and makes many assumptions at this time.
As to the next USSC justice..
That is exactly why I oppose a pro-choice anti gun Trump.
I suspect you are correct.
Nobody believes Trump is the most conservative candidate but he is likely the best positioned to win. And he will attempt to keep his promises on the border and the vets and Obamacare IMO.
If Trump got elected President and managed to do 25% of what he has said he will do I would be happy.
We are never going to roll back Roe v. Wade. Thinking we can is delusional. Plus, Trump says he is pro-life.
Trump is not anti-gun. For instance, he still stands by an assault weapon ban, but says that when the media characterizes an AR-15 as an "assault weapon" they are wrong. Cosmetic features should not matter. He thinks every law-abiding citizen who wants a gun should be able have one. He has a carry license in NY. His sons are hunters and shooters.
He now says he is against gun control.
Now, I realize his positions have changed over the years, but what matters is where he is now, not where he was in the past. I know, some people don't like this, but it is exactly how a democracy is supposed to work. Politicians are supposed to listen to the will of the people. But when we get candidates who do that, we criticize them for behaving exactly as they should.
Yeah, I bet.
Careful, you are dealing with a self-proclaimed Mensa member.
Sorry. he’s a flip flopper. to many other choices that have not flip flopped on the key issues to pick from to consider trump.
I also am unwilling to throw in the towel on abortion.
At what age did your own positions on the important issues of the day solidify, never to change again?
I know my positions on many important issues have changed and evolved as I get more information and experience.
Didn't Churchill say something to the effect that if you are young and not liberal you have no heart, but if you are old and not conservative then you have no brain?
To me, solidified positions that do not change with new information are the mark of a closed mind. In some instances, this is OK, but in other circumstances it can lead to everlasting ignorance.
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