Posted on 04/02/2015 5:16:55 AM PDT by Cincinatus' Wife
Former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush is losing ground in his home state to Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker and has failed to gain any in either Ohio or Pennsylvania, according to a Quinnipiac University poll centered on the 2016 U.S. presidential race in the three swing states. Among Democrats, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton is the clear top choice in the three swing states despite the controversy surrounding her use of private email to conduct State Department business.
In Florida, Bush still leads the potential 2016 GOP field with 24 percent of the vote, but his share has dropped 8 percentage points since February, while Walker has gained 7 percentage points and now stands at 15 percent. Not far behind is Florida’s other favorite son, U.S. Sen. Marco Rubio. Nobody else pushed through double digits.
Ohio Gov. John Kasich is leading in his home state with 20 percent. No other candidate was in double digits. Bush’s 8 percent in Thursday’s poll was relatively unchanged from the 9 percent he got in a February poll. Walker also couldn’t get traction among Ohio voters. He polled at 10 percent in February and got 9 percent of the vote in Thursday’s poll.
But the Wisconsin governor has overtaken Bush in Pennsylvania. At 10 percent, Bush was tied for second place with New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie in Pennsylvania, a state led by 2012 GOP nominee Mitt Romney, who has since decided not to take a third shot at the presidency. Walker had only 5 percent in that February poll, but now he leads in the Keystone State with 14 percent. Bush is tied for second place with former Pennsylvania Sen. Rick Santorum, who ran in 2012, and retired neurosurgeon Dr. Ben Carson.
"Gov. Scott Walker continues to be the surprise in the early part of the 2016 campaign. We've got a long way to go till Iowans caucus next winter, but the Wisconsin governor has climbed into the first tier of contenders along with establishment favorite Jeb Bush, who can't be happy with his numbers today," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac Poll. "Bush has a lead over the field in his home state of Florida, but it's not anywhere near insurmountable. There is no clear leader in Pennsylvania and Gov. John Kasich, the native son, is ahead in Ohio.”
Meanwhile, Clinton wasn’t heavily damaged by the email controversy. She actually boosted her numbers in Florida, going from 61 percent pre-controversy to 65 percent now. And her standing in Ohio increased 3 percentage points, from 51 percent to 54 percent. But in Pennsylvania, her support dropped from 54 percent to 48 percent.
Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren, who was said repeatedly she isn’t running, was Democrats’ second choice in Ohio and Pennsylvania. She trailed Clinton, 54 percent to 14 percent in Ohio and 48 percent to 15 percent in Pennsylvania.
In Florida, Vice President Joe Biden is Democrats’ second choice. But Clinton still has a nearly 6-to-1 advantage against him, 65 percent to 11 percent.
Does not shock me that Walker is polling well in PA. Public employee unions that are bleeding us dry are a HUGE issue here.
Obama’s indifference to labor allowed the rise of Scott Walker "My Obamaphile friends may object, but it’s time to consider an uncomfortable fact about Obama: His indifference to the plight of labor unions in Wisconsin led to the rise of Scott Walker as a possible presidential candidate. According to Andrew Levine, the liberal Obamaphile view of Obama goes something like this:......"
Too early to be meaningful. Besides only Cruz has declared and hopefully some of the others, all amnesty advocates, will opt out.
most of this poll was taken before Cruz announced. Look for him to leap to the top when they take their next poll.
Bush is toast before he ever even started.
Yep, we don’t want want him all the way at the top yet though or he’ll catch all the friendly fire from the getgo. The PPP Poll from yesterday was taken after the announcement and has Walker - 20, Bush - 17, Cruz - 16. That is about exactly where we want him to be right now. I want him at the top in the fall when he is at the debates and abole to go around the MSM to defend himself.
Another poll out yesterday.
2016 National Republican Primary - Walker 20%, Bush 17% (PPP 3/26-3/31)
http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/ppp-d-21958
The 2nd choice category is interesting. There is no clear preferred candidate when Bush or Walker are not included. I assumed that Bush’s votes would clearly end up with someone else.
Put me down for Cruz in PA. I’ll take Walker if that doesn’t pan out, but no one else excites me.
I found that aspect of the survey interesting too.
I stand with Ted.
Yes until all the GOP candidates have announced these polls are fun to talk about but meaningless.
Scott Walker’s Liz Mair fiasco was a deal-breaker for me. How does a presidential campaign hire an “internet guru” and not read her most recent Tweets? Or if they did read them, not notice that it’s probably not a good idea to diss Iowa and Iowans?
If that’s an example of Walker’s decision-making, no thanks. I’ll support Ted Cruz.
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