Posted on 01/17/2015 4:18:13 AM PST by Din Maker
In the 2016 cycle, Democrats are defending only 10 seats while Republicans have two dozen of their own seats to hold. 7 of those 24 Republican seats are in states that President Obama won twice: Florida, Illinois, Iowa, New Hampshire, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.
To win the majority back, Democrats need to win five of those seven seats in November 2016. (If a Democrat, wins the White House in 2016, then Senate Democrats need to win only four of those seven. That's the exact path Republicans took to the Senate majority in 2014 when, needing a six-seat gain, they won all six of the states — Alaska, Arkansas, Louisiana, Montana, South Dakota and West Virginia — that Mitt Romney carried in 2012 and were represented by Democrats. (Republicans also won two states — Iowa and Colorado — that Obama carried twice and one, North Carolina, that Obama won in 2008 and Romney won in 2012.)
And, while the map looks great for Democrats on paper, several of those seven races look less rosy in reality. Iowa is a very tough Democratic pickup unless Sen. Chuck Grassley (R) decides to retire, which he insists he isn't going to do. Ohio Sen. Rob Portman is a gifted politician and fundraiser while the Democratic bench in the state is decidedly thin. The Democratic fields in New Hampshire, Florida and Illinois are still quite muddled. And neither Sens. Pat Toomey (Pa.) nor Ron Johnson (Wis.) are political dead men walking. Not yet, at least.
There are also two genuinely vulnerable Democrats — Sens. Harry Reid (Nev.) and Michael Bennet (Colo.) — on the ballot in 2016.
Below are the 10 most competitive Senate contests on the ballot in 2016. The number-one-ranked race is the most likely to switch parties in 2016.
(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonpost.com ...
(Rand Paul’s) opponent....could be none other than Alison Lundergan Grimes...
______________________________________________________________________________________________________
Heck yeah! Run that loser witch again.
If (North Carolina) Democrats can convince former senator Kay Hagan (D) to run, this race moves up on the Line.
I could not endure another election cycle having to listen to that Kay Hagan witch.
Not sure how a race between lil dickie burr and the Hag woulld turn out...lil dickie would probably win but would get muddied.
Strange thing is, Obama isn't running in 2016 and he is working very hard to make lots of enemies in his second term. Enemies that are likely to see all Democrats as enemies because the Congressional Democrats have supported Obama at every turn.
That would depend on her opponent. If Paul can't get the state GOP to turn the selection from a primary to a caucus then he's got to make a choice. If he chooses president then who do the GOP have to run in his place?
I predict that the Latino Governor defeats Harry Reid in Nevada in 2016. If Dirty Harry does not run, then even better. Practice saying: Senator Brian Sandoval.
I predict that the Latino Governor defeats Harry Reid in Nevada in 2016. If Dirty Harry does not run, then even better. Practice saying: Senator Brian Sandoval.
As you say Obama isn't running again. And Clinton, or whoever the Democrats run, won't have much trouble differentiating themselves from him.
Rand Paul needs to run for the Senate seat again. He is NOT going to be the GOP nominee. If he has to give up his reelection bid for the Senate to pursue the GOP nomination for Prez, he’d be stupid to do so.
You know that, and I know that, but Paul seems to have convinced himself otherwise. He's trying to change the process so he can remain the senate candidate but Grimes may be in a position to kill that. At the end of the day, if forced to choose, I think he'll go after the presidency.
BUT, the GOP will present Bishop RomneyCARE, himself,
as their candidate - the originator who hired
Gruber and created: DEATHCARE.
THAT is how the DNC will win.
At the end of the day, if forced to choose, I think he’ll go after the presidency.
______________________________________________________________________________________________-
Of course he will. It’s called EGO; all politicians are infected with it.
Help repeal Obamacare? This nightmare has yet to terrorize everyone. By the time 2016 rolls around, there will be a consensus, imo.
OMGoodness. Please God, do not allow that to happen.
Or a bloody disaster. It all depends on who the Republicans nominate as well as who the Democrats nominate.
Kelly Ayotte (New Hampshire)
Roy Blunt (Missouri)
John Boozman (Arkansas)
Richard Burr (North Carolina)
Dan Coats (Indiana)
Mike Crapo (Idaho)
Chuck Grassley (Iowa)
John Hoeven (North Dakota)
Johnny Isakson (Georgia)
Ron Johnson (Wisconsin)
Mark Kirk (Illinois)
James Lankford (Oklahoma)
Mike Lee (Utah)
John McCain (Arizona)
Jerry Moran (Kansas)
Lisa Murkowski (Alaska)
Rand Paul (Kentucky)
Rob Portman (Ohio)
Marco Rubio (Florida)
Tim Scott (South Carolina)
Richard Shelby (Alabama)
John Thune (South Dakota)
Pat Toomey (Pennsylvania)
David Vitter (Louisiana)
My thinks the author is smoking way too much weed...
According to my reckoning, I count best case, five possible turnover to democrats...
The Democrats can’t win, if the Republicans in the US Senate and HOR legislate like they campaigned...as constitutional conservatives. But what’s going to happen at the rate they’re going is the Republicans will lose!
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.