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11 Uncalled (Congressional) Races Remain as Democrats Pick Up California Seat
Roll Call Politics ^ | November 7, 2014 | Emily Cahn

Posted on 11/07/2014 1:12:15 PM PST by Clintonfatigued

In Arizona’s 2nd District, the Republican, retired Air Force Col. Martha McSally, saw her lead over Democratic Rep. Ron Barber diminish after officials counted more ballots Thursday. She leads Barber by a 363-vote margin, with about 17,000 ballots outstanding. That lead shrunk from the 1,293-vote margin McSally had after Election Day.

In California, six races remain uncalled. Each county has their own process to count ballots, and it could be at least a week before winnere are declared.

Republicans lead in two of those contests: •In the Sacramento-based 7th District, former Rep. Doug Ose leads Democratic Rep. Ami Bera by 2,183 votes, with many ballots still outstanding. That lead diminished Thursday, when he had a 3,011-vote lead. Around 40,000 votes remain to be counted.

•Little-known Republican Johnny Tacherra leads Democratic Rep. Jim Costa by 736 votes in the 16th District — a race not on the radar of any party operatives. It’s unclear whether there are enough outstanding votes for Costa to overcome that margin.

Democrats lead in the other four contests: •In the San Diego-based 52nd District, Democratic Rep. Scott Peters retook the lead from Republican Carl DeMaio after mail-in ballots came in Thursday. Peters now leads by 861 votes. That is a big swing from after Election Day, when DeMaio led Peters by a 752-vote margin. More votes are expected to come in Monday.

•In the 9th District, Democratic Rep. Jerry McNerney leads Republican Tony Amador by a 2,360-vote margin in another unexpectedly close race.

•Democratic Rep. Michael M. Honda leads Democratic attorney Ro Khanna in the Silicon Valley-based 17th District by more than 4,000 votes — a widening lead giving Khanna a slim path to victory. Honda is slated to make an announcement about the race at 1 p.m. EST.

(Excerpt) Read more at atr.rollcall.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: California
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To: Clintonfatigued

Good! Although that state is a lost cause, it would be good to see someone come out of the mess


21 posted on 11/07/2014 2:18:05 PM PST by GeronL (Vote for Conservatives not for Republicans)
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To: GeronL; fieldmarshaldj; Impy; GOPsterinMA

There are a few other little bright signs in California. Republicans unseated four incumbent Assemblymen (one by over 20%) and won an open Assembly seat in the San Fransisco bay area, which is a liberal stronghold. In addition, Fresno Mayor Ashley Swearingen was almost elected state Controller.


22 posted on 11/07/2014 2:25:09 PM PST by Clintonfatigued (The War on Drugs is Big Government statism)
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To: Clintonfatigued
I'd be willing to bet the farm the GOP will win none of these seats.

When the RATs get to count on a close election, it always goes their way.

Always.

23 posted on 11/07/2014 2:25:38 PM PST by Gritty (Obama wants to wage war by measuring it out in teaspoons - Ralph Peters)
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To: Clintonfatigued

Fresno must be like an island of sanity sometimes


24 posted on 11/07/2014 2:32:48 PM PST by GeronL (Vote for Conservatives not for Republicans)
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To: Clintonfatigued

Annoying we are still hearing nothing from the Barber and Costa races.


25 posted on 11/07/2014 2:52:23 PM PST by Viennacon
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To: Clintonfatigued

Is this the woman who wanted to kick Santorum in the jimmies?


26 posted on 11/07/2014 2:54:04 PM PST by Perdogg (I'm on a no Carb diet- NO Christie Ayotte Romney or Bush)
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To: Gritty

Osse will win. But he’s a pro abort. Fingers crossed for Tacherra, he’s a Tim donnelly type.

Looks like McSally will lose in Arizona. The voters there voted for the same crap across the board in rat districts. Doesn’t bode well for us trying to bounce McInsane


27 posted on 11/07/2014 3:03:22 PM PST by Viennacon
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To: Viennacon

The problem is that maps are drawn up by the left leaning independent swing vote on the map drawing committee.

There’s a Republican, Democrat and Independent on the committe. The current independent is a left leaning Democrat so that person has the swing vote.

The 4 Republicans Gosar, Franks, Salmon and Schweikert win with 65 or 70% of the vote.

They gerrymandered up to 5 Democrat leaningn districts in a state that goes Republican by 10 points.


28 posted on 11/07/2014 5:26:38 PM PST by ObamahatesPACoal
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To: ObamahatesPACoal

That is a SUCKY system in Arizona. Can it be changed by the legislature? I think we control both houses of it.


29 posted on 11/07/2014 5:28:04 PM PST by Viennacon
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To: forgotten man

“Electoral outcomes are preordained.”

I was born in California , third generation. Maxiene Waters was my Rep. I could only vote against people for 50 years. I am now a refugee living in Idaho because I did not want one more dime of my money going into the cesspool that passes for government in CA.


30 posted on 11/07/2014 5:43:52 PM PST by Breto (Stranger in a strange land... where did America go?)
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To: Clintonfatigued

Slaughter is one of the strongest pro-aborts out there. The name “Slaughter” suits her. Sad.


31 posted on 11/07/2014 10:02:30 PM PST by Sun (Pray that God sends us good leaders. Please say a prayer now.)
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To: Clintonfatigued; fieldmarshaldj; goldstategop; Viennacon; AuH2ORepublican; BillyBoy; GOPsterinMA; ..

Ok we know that no seat were the rat is ahead will go GOP in the end, that NEVER happens. Once the rat takes the lead they keep it, late counting is always rat I can think of only 1 exception that I have noticed, LA-4 race in 2008, the Republican was trailing till up to very end and suddenly took the lead, I was shocked.

Speaking of which Scott Peters now leads and is called the winner over gay moderate RINO Carl DeMaio in CA-52 after an “adjusted” vote total, this brings our projected majority down to 249, if McSally, Ose, and Johnny-T can hang on (and we win the runoffs in LA which we will). Should we just pencil in 246? Is there any way the rats won’t steal those 3 close races?

Silver lining, faggotry is kept out of the GOP conference, but I can’t say I’m happy the rats stole this race, which was only close enough to steal due to questionable allegations that DeMaio is a sexual predator. When is the last time a queer rat was accused of sexual impropriety? It’s always the Pubs, out or closeted. Good reason not to nominate gays for the GOP, most of their casual hookups are democrats who will lie for their party if need be, supposedly happened to the guy who was supposed to be the next Governor of Illinois, Dan Rutherford, he’s allegedly closeted and was basically accused of attempted gay rape of some ugly democrat operative.

CA Controller, close doesn’t count, rats swept the statewide offices which is an epic fail for the GOP, and 47% isn’t ALL THAT close, the sec of State Race was actually a tad closer. It’s shame rat fraud in the primary gave the 2nd spot in the Controller race to a rat, it should have been GOP/GOP just like CA-31 should have been.

F-R-A-U-D, I don’t like seeing people complaining about fraud when it’s Sharron Angle losing by over 5 points, using it as an excuse for a bad campaign (no Angle defense please, don’t want to get into that for the 5000th time), but almost every narrow 1.5 or so point or closer race won by a rat is probably fraudulent if you ask me. There is no chance Brownley or Costa or Bera or that d*ck in Maryland was legitimately reelected, all far too close. And while Peters margin is 2.4%, it’s magic arrival is extremely questionable, this late counting shenanigans needs to stop. I wish to hell the House and Senate would refuse to seat Mark Warner and all the other fraudulently elected rats.

CA-36, I thought this would be our #1 pickup opportunity in CA so it’s a disappointment it wasn’t that close.

In WA-4 (GOP/GOP race) Dan Newhouse beat Clint Didier. Newhouse was the “establishment” pick but is not a RINO I don’t think and if he had gotten ALL the rat votes it wouldn’t be so close. Clint was the “tea party outsider” and should be the legitimate winner because he placed first in the primary and thus clearly would have won a normal GOP primary.

AZ redistricting, Fing sucks and needs to change. IIRC Auh2o wrote something about that the other day. FL redisticting also fing sucks.


32 posted on 11/07/2014 10:24:41 PM PST by Impy (Choke on it dems, your tears are delicious)
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To: Impy

I had different thoughts about DeMaio winning or losing. I think he backtracked on amnesty as well.

If DeMaio goes to congress he can cosponsor Denham’s Dreamer mercenary amnesty bill and can alienate all the social conservatives.


33 posted on 11/07/2014 10:52:46 PM PST by ObamahatesPACoal
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To: Impy

I don’t think Osse is going to lose. His opponent Ami Bera has a wider margin to make up than the other races. I still think Igor Birman would have wiped the floor with Bera and we wouldn’t be waiting like this.

“There is no chance Brownley or Costa or Bera or that d*ck in Maryland was legitimately reelected”

I agree, but don’t forget Louise Slaughter in NY. That one is going to a recount which Slaughter likely wins, but the fact that rats like Maffei and Bishop got so utterly decimated in NY and Michael Grimm won comfortably tells you that Slaughter stole this one.

Also, Barber, and I’m sure you meant to include him. Interestingly, he got a whole 1/3 of Gabby Gifford’s money from a pac meant to fight guns. 1/3!

I think it’s going to end up at 247

But I really hope Tacherra can pull out a win over Costa. His lead is small, but Costa never expected it to be even close. Tacherra is also a Tim Donnelly acolyte so he’ll probably caucus Tea.


34 posted on 11/08/2014 6:34:29 AM PST by Viennacon
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To: Impy; Clintonfatigued; fieldmarshaldj; goldstategop; Viennacon; BillyBoy; GOPsterinMA; Perdogg; ...

We don’t lose *all* the close elections when they count a sentees and provisionals, it just feels that way. Buerkle won in NY-24 in 2010 when they counted all the votes (she was behind on election night). And many of our candidates have seen their slim leads hold up.

As for the AZ redistricting commission, not only did it draw a pro-Democrat gerrymander, it was not created by the state legislature and thus I would posit that it violates the U.S. Constitutio, and I’m not the only person to feel that way. Here’s a description of a case for which SCOTUS already has granted certiorari:

“Consider a challenge by Arizona Republicans to the state’s congressional districting map. Arizona voters created an independent redistricting commission in 2000 in an effort to take politics out of the process. But the GOP-led state legislature complained in a lawsuit that the Constitution exclusively gives power to draw maps for congressional districts to elected state lawmakers. A divided panel of federal judges dismissed the lawsuit, but justices said Thursday they will review the lower court ruling.”

http://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/supreme-court-bypasses-same-sex-marriage-cases-for-now/2014/10/02/1d2747b0-4a39-11e4-891d-713f052086a0_story.html?hpid=z4

The issue here isn’t whether redistricting commissions are permissible—many states have had them for years, albeit as creatures of the legislature, with the legislature presumably being able to get rid of them—but whether the state legislature can be kept completely out of the process by a voter initiative. This is similar to the argument that, had Colorado voters approved a referendum to amend the state constitution in order to allocate EVs proportionally instead of winner-takes-all (it was voted down in 2004), it would have violated the U.S. Constitution’s empowering of state legislatures to direct the manner in which electors are appointed (Art. II, sec. 1, cl. 2). While the argument for prohibiting voter initiatives to override the legislature is less directly textual in the case of redistricting than in the case of appointing electors, Art. 1, sec. 4, cl. 1 does give the state legislature the power to establish the time, place and manner of electing Representatives, which presumably is from where state legislatures obtain their power to draw districts in the first place.

If the AZ commission is declared unconstitutional, it would permit the GOP legislature to undo the Democrat gerrymander that the “independent” commission created and redraw the map so that AZ elects 7 Republicans and 2 Democrats instead of its current 5 Democrats and 4 Republicans (which will be 5-4 GOP if McSally holds on in AZ-02). Moreover, it could lead the Florida legislature to challenge the “Fair Districts” constitutional amendment approved by FL voters in 2010 (via initiative) that required the legislature to draw geographically compact districts, without which the GOP would have a firmer supermajority of the congressional delegation.


35 posted on 11/08/2014 9:49:25 AM PST by AuH2ORepublican (If a politician won't protect innocent babies, what makes you think that he'll defend your rights?)
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To: AuH2ORepublican; fieldmarshaldj; Impy; GOPsterinMA; randita; Sun; LdSentinal; ExTexasRedhead; ...

California is interesting. The state GOP Chairman (ex-state Senator Jim Brulte) is a bright guy. He openly admits that it’ll take several election cycles to become competitive again.

The state Senate elections were not as bad as they looked. Freshman state Senator Andy Vidak was a top DemocRAT target, but he won 56% in against a well-funded opponent in a district that hasn’t voted Republican for President since 1988. Janet Nguyen picked up a vacant Democrat-held seat by a landslide in a race considered a tossup. And Downey Councilman Mario Guerra came within 3% of winning a district that gave Obama around 70% in 2012 and where Republicans make up less than 1/4 of the voters. We may be hearing from him again soon. Republicans successfully defended all their incumbents by wide margins.


36 posted on 11/08/2014 10:42:45 AM PST by Clintonfatigued (The War on Drugs is Big Government statism)
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To: Clintonfatigued

Wasn’t there another Asian woman who won a state senate seat for the Republicans? I forget her name.


37 posted on 11/08/2014 10:46:19 AM PST by Viennacon
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To: Viennacon

http://www.dailynews.com/government-and-politics/20141105/election-2014-republican-janet-nguyens-state-senate-district-34-win-upends-democratic-supermajority

Janet Nguyen Orange County


38 posted on 11/08/2014 10:48:56 AM PST by morphing libertarian
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To: fieldmarshaldj; AuH2ORepublican; Impy; GOPsterinMA; randita; Sun; LdSentinal; ExTexasRedhead; ...

Here is the latest on the doubtful Congressional races:

AZ-2 retired Air Force fighter pilot Martha McSally leads British-born incumbent Ron Barber by 509 votes.

CA-7 ex-Congressman Doug Ose leads freshman incumbent Ami Bera by 2,183 votes.

CA-16 Johnny Tacherra leads longtime incumbent Jim Costa by 741 votes.

CA-26 Freshman incumbent Julia Brownley leads state Assemblyman Jeff Gorell by 1,028 votes. Ironically, Gorell leads in the Los Angeles County portion of the district while trailing in the Ventura County portion, which contains the vast majority of the voters.

CA-52 Freshman incumbent Scott Peters leads San Diego Councilman Carl DeMaio by 4,391 votes. I’m not optimistic about this race.

NY-25 Geriatric incumbent Louise Slaughter leads Gates Mayor Mark Assini by 582 votes. As another Freeper pointed out, given her aggressive defense of partial birth abortion, it’s appropriate that she married a man whose last name is Slaughter.


39 posted on 11/08/2014 11:02:19 AM PST by Clintonfatigued (The War on Drugs is Big Government statism)
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To: Clintonfatigued

DeMaio has conceded hasn’t he? I thought that one was over.

McSally still ahead is positive news.

Yeah, I am going to tentatively call CA-7 for Ose. Bera would need a miracle.

Assini needs to ask for a recount against Slaughter. Its worth it for that babykilling ******


40 posted on 11/08/2014 11:08:18 AM PST by Viennacon
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