Poll: Joni Ernst, Bruce Braley tied in Iowa race

Politico ^ | 11/03/2014 | James Hohmann

[safetysign]

A Quinnipiac University poll published Monday shows a dead heat in the Iowa Senate race, with Democrat Bruce Braley and Republican Joni Ernst tied at 47 percent among likely voters. The news buoys the Democratic argument that the Des Moines Register poll out this weekend, which had Ernst up 7 points, is an outlier. Continue Reading Text Size -+reset

Latest on POLITICO Counting JDA Frontline's departures Pelosi raises over $100 million SCOTUS hears Israel passport case Grimes paid $17K to fly Clinton in Hyundai, Kia get $100M EPA fine Colorado poll: GOP slightly ahead It also shows a slightly closer race than last week’s Quinnipiac poll, when Ernst led by 4 points, 49 percent to 45 percent. But the change is within the margin of error of plus-or-minus 3.5 percentage points. (Also on POLITICO: Ernst: 'Very offended' by Tom Harkin) Braley wins 94 percent of Democrats, compared to Ernst’s 95-percent showing among Republicans. Independents are deadlocked, with each candidate earning 44 percent. The live-caller poll of 778 likely voters was in the field Oct. 28 through Nov. 2. J. Ann Selzer, the Register’s respected pollster, said Saturday that “it looks like this race is decided” when her numbers were released. (WATCH: Driving the Election Day in Iowa) Other polls have shown a closer race. A Fox News out Friday put Ernst up 1 point, a CNN/Opinion Research Center in the field the same days had her up 2 points. Braley’s strength in this Quinnipiac poll is driven by a 20-point advantage among those who have already voted, 56 percent to 36 percent. Democrats argue that the Register poll doesn’t account for their success at early voting. Ernst is up 8 points, 52 percent to 44 percent, among men, while Braley is up 9 points among women, 51 percent to 42 percent. (Also on POLITICO: Harkin: Ernst as pretty as Taylor Swift? So what?) Braley is still slightly underwater — viewed favorably by 43 percent and unfavorably by 45 percent. Ernst is viewed favorably by 47 percent and unfavorably by 45 percent. Republican Gov. Terry Branstad, who has led by more than 20 points in other polls, is only up 11 points, 52 percent to 41 percent. He was up 19 points in the Quinnipiac poll last week. Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid said over the weekend that Senate control hinges on Iowa.

[billphx]

I have heard that there was some deal between the two parties that R would not follow up on vote fraud allegations.... Unsure if that is true