Posted on 10/29/2014 1:55:23 PM PDT by Din Maker
In the sprint to next Tuesday's US midterm elections, new polls show some besieged Democrats holding their own, complicating the narrative that Republicans are on track to seize the Senate majority.
Alaska in particular bears good news for President Barack Obama's party: two recent surveys show incumbent Senator Mark Begich with a substantial lead, the first polls in a month to put him ahead of Republican challenger Dan Sullivan. Alaska-based Republican-leaning firm Hellenthal and Associates released a poll Friday putting Begich ahead by 10 points. Late Monday, Ivan Moore Research group released an October 24-26 poll on Facebook showing Begich with 48.3 percent and Sullivan 41.6 percent.
The results were significant enough for The New York Times to shift Alaska from likely Republican into the "toss-up" column, joining Georgia, Iowa and Kansas.
In Iowa, a Loras College poll of 1,121 registered voters put Democrat Bruce Braley up by one point against conservative Joni Ernst, countering a recent trend showing Ernst ahead in their tight race. A YouGov poll put the pair even at 44 percent.
In Arkansas, Democratic Senator Mark Pryor has narrowed the gap to two points against Republican Tom Cotton, 43-45 percent, according to an NBC News/Marist Poll.
Three Democratic seats -- in Montana, South Dakota and West Virginia -- will almost certainly flip Republican.
Top election forecast models show Democratic incumbents trailing in Arkansas, Colorado and Louisiana, and barely holding on in North Carolina and New Hampshire.
Republicans could face trouble in traditionally red states Georgia, Kansas and Kentucky, where Democrats -- and in the case of Kansas, an independent -- are hoping to pick off one or two seats.
(Excerpt) Read more at news.yahoo.com ...
I think Begich will lose. These couple polls are real outliers.
KY was mentioned as one of 3 possible “losses” of GOP seats. (KS and GA were the other two.) With the Dem’s Ground Game advantage and the white-heat hatred Conservatives have for Mitch McConnell, KY could be a “shocker” on Election Night; equal to, or exceeding, the Eric Cantor Primary loss.
As others have suggested on FR, the polls will show narrowing margins and the rhetoric will shift to the Democrats pulling out victories in close races so as to provide the narrative to cover whatever amount of illegal alien voting and ballot box stuffing is necessary to keep the Rats in power.
If the GOP mucks this up, there must be a unified voice to clean house and add successful leadership. I think much of this is cherry picking, but I have no doubt they are going to pull off at least one or two surprises, even if we get to 51.
if America is stupid enough , and weak enough , to let these morons claim victory again , with all that we are facing both at home and abroad ; I would recommend and advocate an abrogation of the vote and a military takeover . We haven’t got the time to play this game again until 2016 or beyond . Time’s up
Democrats will win close races because they cheat. When a race is too far apart for them to do fraud without it being obvious, then we win. Someday - God Willing - we’ll put the little democrat sh*ts in jail...
Iowa - registered voters? Who the hell cares. Likely is the key.
MU poll here in WI had Burke down 7% with LV. Her response? An email to her supporters touting dead heat with RV.
I know the Clintons have been in KY multiple times supporting Grimes.
Those two are the “kiss of death” when it comes to endorsements, almost as bad as Obola.
I suspect McConnell may still win.
And Dem-Masker chimes in with the bad news.
The Democrats have no need to “claw back”: they’ve already signed up all the illegal aliens, half the recently dead of the nation, and they’ve ‘fixed’ the voting machines, too.
Republicans are in for a disappointing night.
>> I would recommend and advocate an abrogation of the vote and a military takeover.
Constitution be damned, eh?
Foolish and short-sighted idea.
What is an Ivan Moore strategy? King of outliers. They didn’t even try to make it realistic.
If the gop is not within the margin of fraud, they lose. The democrats are experts at fraud. They can always come up with 2% more votes.
The planets have seldom aligned as perfectly in favor of the GOP as they have now. The ONLY thing that will prevent an epic swing this midterm is massive voter fraud.
And the GOP will have no one to blame but themselves. They have had several opportunities to address the problem and have done nothing.
Prior only behind by 2 in a poll that is +5 D sample, where Gallup survey says AK is +2 R... 7 D oversample... Next
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