Posted on 09/24/2014 7:11:02 AM PDT by centurion316
With six weeks to go, the fight for control of the Senate is down to five states, four of them currently held by Democrats.
Republicans must win only two of those contests to guarantee the 51 seats they need to control the Senate for the last two years of Barack Obama’s presidency. And they need to win only one of the Democratic states if they hold the only GOP seat at serious risk.
While things could still change — and national polls continue to show an environment that may produce a substantial GOP wave in the House and Senate — the Senate battle has boiled down to two reliably red states and three swing states.
While you can find Democrats spinning a yarn about how their party could pull off an upset in a multi-candidate race in South Dakota, that state, plus West Virginia and Montana, look poised to flip to the GOP in November.
Two Southern Democrats, Arkansas’ Mark Pryor and Louisiana’s Mary L. Landrieu, have run aggressive races as they try to survive the Republican wave that has swept over their states during the past four years. But Arkansas Republican Rep. Tom Cotton has finally opened up a small but decisive lead in his race, a lead likely to grow in the coming weeks.
The Louisiana contest will probably go to a December runoff, and while runoffs are unpredictable, the almost certain GOP alternative to Landrieu in that race, Republican Rep. Bill Cassidy, has the advantage.
If they win both races, Republicans need to net only one more seat to win Senate control, with the focus, at least right now, on Alaska, North Carolina, Colorado, Iowa and Kansas.
(Excerpt) Read more at 3.blogs.rollcall.com ...
The odds favor Republicans controlling the Senate, but the Architect has yet to do his work, and if there is a way to blow it, you can count on Republicans to find it.
on the few say ... America Can’t Come Home! Here is to you America ... I see ya Coming Home!
There is only place America wants to go and that is Home!
That's how this thing will go. That's how the corrupt MSM will nationalize the mid-term elections. They will do to Kansas exactly what they did to Todd Akin — nationalize a local race and force negative repercussions upon every other mid-term race.
You watch.
The problem is that we can’t trust the electoral process anymore now that electronic voting machines are manufactured by companes with ties, whether direct or indirect, to politicians. When the highest bidder can win an election and The People have no real way to trust the auditing system you have a problem.
I think that you are right, but the Democrats are walking a fine line here. If Orman is exposed as the Democrat that he really is, he will lose a considerable block of votes, probably the block that he needs to win.
you have figured it out Jsanders. No election is safe with electronics or a media with electronics.
When American start seeing their new company-provided healthcare premiums skyrocket during open enrollment in Oct, that rage will be easy to re-kindle.
Cruz will be staid in his promise to repeal zerocare, and that will be worth a few points.
and Florida is in the column of gore ... did we not hear the media in that election? It was heck to find the truth, wasn’t it?
Despite the Des Moines Register’s fabricated polls, I see a win for the GOP.
Yup..and if you read between the lines, as the trend is with the GOP, and these races will open up...the GOP will gain 10+ seats in the Senate..
Hagan and the Dems have run a very aggressive campaign. I hate it, but they've done an effective hatchet job on Tills. Republicans would do well to take a page out of their book.
Meanwhile, Tillis has sat and dithered. Makes me wonder if he wants to win the election. He *might* be a great candidate, but you can't prove it by what's being seen and heard around here.
If the GOP wins the senate, it will be the 14 Gangsters that will control
the senate. You remember, that group that only rears their ugly heads
when the GOP is in control.
Good luck with that.
The GOP still has over a month. That is plenty of time for them to blow it — again.
One place you DON’T see the FR Harry Reid Fan Club is on the election live threads... their work is done by the time the results start rolling in.
Right now, Dems have a 55-45 edge in the Senate.
Most polls show West Virginia, South Dakota, and Montana as off the charts in polling, in favor of the GOP. That gets it to 52-48.
So then, the GOP needs 3 more after the above states to get a 51-49 advantage and control of the Senate.
According to some polls I have seen, eight Senate races are too close to call. The GOP would need three of those 8 to gain control.
Year Six of a presidential administration normally yields good pickups for the other party. If the GOP doesn’t blow it, things should fall into place for them.
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