Posted on 10/30/2013 6:10:59 AM PDT by ScottinVA
The Virginia governor's race is going down to the wire with Democrat Terry McAuliffe clinging to a slight 45 - 41 percent likely voter lead over Republican State Attorney General Ken Cuccinelli, and 9 percent for Libertarian Party candidate Robert Sarvis, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. This compares to the results of an October 23 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University, showing McAuliffe up 46 - 39 percent, with Sarvis at 10 percent.
Today's survey shows that if Sarvis were not in the race, McAuliffe would have 47 percent to 45 percent for Cuccinelli, too close to call.
In the three-way matchup, 4 percent of likely voters remain undecided and 7 percent of those who name a candidate say there's a "good chance" they will change their mind in the next six days.
McAuliffe leads 91 - 2 percent among Democrats, with 4 percent for Sarvis, while Cuccinelli leads 86 - 5 percent among Republicans, with 7 percent for Sarvis. Independent voters go to McAuliffe 46 - 31 percent, with 16 percent for Sarvis.
Women back the Democrat 50 - 37 percent, with 7 percent for Sarvis. Men go to Cuccinelli 45 - 39 percent with 11 percent for Sarvis.
"State Attorney General Ken Cuccinelli is nipping at Terry McAuliffe's heels as the race to be Virginia's next governor enters the final week of the campaign," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "It goes without saying that turnout is the key to this race and the harshly negative tone of the campaign is the kind that often turns off voters."
"With the race this close, the final decision by the roughly one in 10 voters who are supporting Libertarian Robert Sarvis has become even more critical. Nationally, third-party candidates often lose support in the end as voters enter the voting booth and back someone they consider the lesser of two evils. Only six in 10 Sarvis supporters say they definitely will vote for him. Almost nine in 10 McAuliffe and Cuccinelli backers are committed.
"Cuccinelli seems to be benefitting from Republicans coming home, but McAuliffe still does a little better among Democrats than Cuccinelli does among GOPers. And, McAuliffe leads among independents, perhaps the key voting group. It is difficult to see Cuccinelli winning if he can't run at least even or slightly ahead among independents. Here, too, Sarvis' voters matter greatly since the libertarian is getting 16 percent of independents, but only 9 percent overall."
The phony war on women will be the death of this country.
Scott, what’s the forecast for Tuesday? Still rain?
I predict there will be a huge turnout in North Virginia. The vote count will favor McCauliffe because there was no independent record of the citizens who voted for Cuccinelli. This is already Done unless there is some record to challenge the poll results. Then, and only then can that be totaled to see the actual number of legitimate voters.
is there voter ID in Virginia? If not, this will be won by the punk with fraud.
Ah—my world is not humourless—it is just that the traditional saying is that so-and-so, (who is dead) must be turning over in his grave—the soul in the afterlife is so moved as to actually affect the body—as in “The Minute Men ARE Turning in Their Graves” http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xjMIrUF45tU
If the Minutemen were alive today, they would not be turning in their graves—they would either be going for the tar and feathers or they would be locking and loading.
Amen brother. One way or another the rats are taking Virginia. All ways at once. The results will have to be challenged and they should know they will. That is why we need Evidence and that is why there is no procedure for that.
We are going to win this!
Dear God, instead of giving us the governor we deserve, please show us Your mercy, which we DON’T deserve, and deliver us from McAuliffe!
This is great news!
:...If Washington, Jefferson and Madison were alive today,...”
... they’d be laying out rope, building gallows, and ordering firing squads.
Boxes of pre-marked ballots are quietly being distributed throughout urban areas of Virginia as we speak... :-(
This survey seems like it was post debate but pre Rand and Jindal rallies.
It wasnt just taken Sunday like the Ras and WaPo polls previously.
Sarvis won’t endorse Cuccinelli. In his ads, Ken is referred to as a right-wing extremist.
During the last debate, McAuliffe noted that he and Sarvis share many of the same views, and proceeded to attack Ken as, surprise, a right-wing radical. That convinced me that Sarvis is a stalking horse.
Remember, Sarvis is actively pushing queer marriage and a carbon emissions tax.
We appreciate your prayers. We need all of them we can get.
Oh, the damn criminals will be up to their usual tricks, no doubt about it.
Take Obamacare x 10 and that would be a good estimate. State politics can be much more vicious.
I said this on a similar thread last night:
There have been a lot of recent elections where a 3rd party "Libertarian" siphoned votes from Republicans, and unlikely democRATs were elected. Something is going on... I don't believe all of these Libertarians are for real.
The 2012 Mia Love (R) Congressional race in Utah is a prime example. In conservative Utah, Mia should have trounced her democRAT opponent. Some stupid "Libertarian" got in the way, which created a 3-way race, and now the democRAT holds that seat.
It doesn't sound too hopeful for Cuccinelli as long as this "Libertarian" Sarvis remains in the race...
Yes, there is. Normally, there is very little of machine politics in the state as the Virginia State Police are fairly non-partisan and love throwing crooked Pols in jail.
Calm down, there are plenty of GOP poll-watchers in NOVA and there are a lot of GOPers there. Where we normally have to watch is inter-city districts like Roanoke, Richmond, and Norfolk.
Have those insurance cancellation letters gone out yet?
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