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Byron York: Winning Hispanic vote would not be enough for GOP
Washington Examiner ^ | May 2, 2013 | Byron York

Posted on 05/03/2013 10:27:43 AM PDT by Will88

"But what if Romney had been able to reach a mind-blowing 70 percent of the Hispanic vote? Surely that would have meant victory, right? No, it wouldn't. Romney still would have lost, although by the narrowest of electoral margins, 270 to 268. (Under that scenario, Romney would have won the popular vote but lost in the Electoral College; he could have racked up huge numbers of Hispanic votes in California, New York and Texas, for example, and not changed the results in those states."

(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonexaminer.com ...


TOPICS: Editorial; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2014midterms; byronyork; elections; hispanic; hispanics; hispanicvote; latinos; outreach
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Byron York calculated scenarios assuming Mitt Romney won up to 70% of the Hispanic vote in 2012 and he would still have lost to Obama. Just one more illustration of how the Republicans in pursuit of the Hispanic vote are wasting their while losing many white votes from voters who are offended and sick of GOPe pandering to groups.
1 posted on 05/03/2013 10:27:43 AM PDT by Will88
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To: Will88

They don’t call ‘em the Stupid Party for nothin’.


2 posted on 05/03/2013 10:35:10 AM PDT by Nea Wood (When life gets too hard to stand, kneel.)
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To: Will88

Clearly, if Republicans want to get elected, they need to somehow win over the dead people vote.

Dead people are one of the Democrats’ most reliable voting blocks. Plus they vote early and often.


3 posted on 05/03/2013 10:36:29 AM PDT by Bubba_Leroy (The Obamanation Continues)
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To: Will88

Klueless Karl Rove is again proven to be wrong. Far more White conservatives will stay home again if the GOP goes the McCain/Rubio route for amnesty.


4 posted on 05/03/2013 10:38:01 AM PDT by txrefugee
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To: txrefugee

If white voters stay home again, the country really will be finished.


5 posted on 05/03/2013 10:41:18 AM PDT by Jonty30 (What Islam and secularism have in common is that they are both death cults)
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To: Nea Wood
Likewise, the white vote is so large that an improvement of 4 points -- going from 60 percent to 64 percent of those whites who did vote -- would have won the race for Romney.

The GOP is definitetly the stupid party as they constantly prove. And they seem to have a policy of offending white voters, especially the Tea Party types and Sarah Palin admirers and conservatives in general.

I wonder if they'll ever figure out that it's the white voters staying home now that who are withholding their winning margins in elections. Chasing the Latino vote is a fool's errand.

6 posted on 05/03/2013 10:41:27 AM PDT by Will88
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To: Will88

The GOP needs to stop with the fantasy scenarios and get down to the very serious work of trying to win governorships and Congressional races. The White House isn’t in the cards anymore.


7 posted on 05/03/2013 10:44:11 AM PDT by ScottinVA ( Liberal is to patriotism as Kermit Gosnell is to neonatal care.)
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To: txrefugee
Klueless Karl Rove is again proven to be wrong. Far more White conservatives will stay home again if the GOP goes the McCain/Rubio route for amnesty.

True, and not inviting Palin to speak at the GOP convention and practically barring any mention of Tea Party sentiment cost them many votes in 2012. Such stunts as that and amnesty would cost them more votes in the future.

They'd be be better off forgetting about the Obama/Schumer/McCain/Rubio amnesty, but they won't.

8 posted on 05/03/2013 10:47:36 AM PDT by Will88
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To: ScottinVA
The White House isn’t in the cards anymore.

If the GOP 'leadership' continues on its current path that's probably true, but if they'd end the pandering to groups and start presenting consistent and principled policies to everyone, they might get back in the WH. And, of course, an intelligent and appealing candidate would help.

9 posted on 05/03/2013 10:52:41 AM PDT by Will88
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To: Will88

There are factions within the black coalition partner of the Democrat party. Some of them are ripe for disaffiliation!


10 posted on 05/03/2013 11:03:48 AM PDT by muawiyah
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To: Bubba_Leroy
Look, we got rid of the dead people, the New Yorkers, the denizens of Connecticut and New Jersey down in Florida and we still lost.

You would be wise to ask how we did that ~ and it's simple. We lost the Charlie Crist faction! The guy had fans and somehow the local Republican machine and the Rubio faction completely forgot about Charlie.

11 posted on 05/03/2013 11:06:29 AM PDT by muawiyah
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To: Will88

It’s all about demographics now....not so much about the economy anymore. Romney actually won a higher percentage of the white vote in 2012 than Ronald Reagan won in 1980, meaning that if demographics had not changed dramatically since 1980, Romney would have won in an even greater landslide that Reagan did that year (he only lost six states).


12 posted on 05/03/2013 11:10:14 AM PDT by Trapped Behind Enemy Lines
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To: Will88

I have a feeling the Obama temper tantrum is going to be fr more pleasurable than a Romney presidency.


13 posted on 05/03/2013 11:17:46 AM PDT by struggle
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To: Will88

But hey, we’d better give them amnesty as fast as we can, right?


14 posted on 05/03/2013 11:17:58 AM PDT by TBP (Obama lies, Granny dies.)
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To: Will88

Not to mention votes they will lose if they support amnesty. It is a lose/lose situation for our country and the Republican politicians. So why are some supporting it? Who knows, but might want to follow the money.


15 posted on 05/03/2013 11:21:35 AM PDT by Tammy8 (~Secure the border and deport all illegals- do it now! ~ Support our Troops!~)
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To: ScottinVA

“Likewise, the white vote is so large that an improvement of 4 points — going from 60 percent to 64 percent of those whites who did vote — would have won the race for Romney.”

So, how is the White House not in the cards? 4% of the white vote is an insurmountable goal?


16 posted on 05/03/2013 11:36:43 AM PDT by Boogieman
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To: muawiyah

“We lost the Charlie Crist faction!”

I think we were always going to lose Key West.


17 posted on 05/03/2013 11:39:25 AM PDT by Boogieman
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To: Trapped Behind Enemy Lines
Romney actually won a higher percentage of the white vote in 2012 than Ronald Reagan won in 1980, meaning that if demographics had not changed dramatically since 1980,

From the Washington Examiner

. In 1980, Reagan won white voters 56 percent to 36 percent, with third party candidate John Anderson taking 8 percent of the vote. He ended up beating Carter by 10 points and winning 44 states.

Romney wins white vote by same margin as Reagan did in 1980 landslide

Actually, John Anderson, a Republican who lost to Reagan in the primaries of 1980, won 8% of the vote in the general election. Most of his vote would likely have gone to Reagan so those percentage comparisons with Romney don't work from 1980 to 2012.

The Republicans are losing elections because many conservatives, mostly whites, are staying home because they're tired of their priorities being ignored.

18 posted on 05/03/2013 11:42:52 AM PDT by Will88
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To: Tammy8
Not to mention votes they will lose if they support amnesty.

Yep, and I think they've already lost many votes by W's pushing amnesty so hard in 2006 and 2007. And now some GOP characters are back for more, or less.

"Family values don't stop at the Rio Grande."

Maybe Marco should revive that classic and use it to push the Gang of 8 amnesty.

19 posted on 05/03/2013 11:46:50 AM PDT by Will88
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To: muawiyah
There are factions within the black coalition partner of the Democrat party. Some of them are ripe for disaffiliation!

I think so, too. And if Republicans could peel away just 10 - 15% of the black vote that would be huge because their votes are in many more states than Latinos whose votes are concentrated in a smaller number of mostly blue states.

20 posted on 05/03/2013 11:51:48 AM PDT by Will88
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