Posted on 11/04/2012 8:51:01 PM PST by trappedincanuckistan
The latest CNN national poll of likely voters, which shows a 49%-49% tie between Republican challenger Mitt Romney and incumbent President Barack Obama, is either absurd, or very good news for the GOP--or both.
Romney has gained 3 points since the last time CNN ran its poll, in late September, when Obama led 50%-47%. That is good news for the Republican ticket, especially since the poll was conducted after Hurricane Sandy.
Yet there is something odd--and even ridiculous--in the poll's sample: of the 693 likely voters in the total sample of 1,010 adults polled, "41% described themselves as Democrats, 29% described themselves as Independents, and 30% described themselves as Republicans."
In other words, the poll is a D+11 outlier. It presents a picture of an electorate that is far more pro-Obama than it was in the historic 2008 election. That is extremely unlikely.
(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...
Good news indeed. This means that the independents are breaking big for Romney
In the poll were 50 D and 50 R Romney would win by about 3. Obama is not as popular as he was even among Democrats.
When the polls try to present such a liberal/Democrat bias, I feel really good about the outcome!
There is your bottom line number the media isn’t bothering to mention - no wait - two bottom line numbers:
Romney will win 60% of the white vote.
He will win two thirds of the Indies.
And undecided voters will break two to one for him.
Obama can’t win in the face the kind of strength Romney is displaying. Its over.
“For all the bedwetters :)”
Describes most reporters at CNN.
Chris Matthews. (lol)
“I grabbed a six pack for Tuesday. Planning on watching CNN MSNBC all night.”
An amusing game to play Tuesday night would be to drink every time a CNN, NBC, ABC, CBS anchor utters the word “unexpected.”
Cheers! :-)
Got to thank you and LS and Perdogg and Ravi and all the rest who have been on top of the campaign developments....
It’s SO good to be a Freeper....
Thank you so much for researching and posting all these poll pings. You’ve done a great job, and it’s much appreciated.
“OK, so what were the results of the poll?”
“Romney up by 12.”
“Well, what would it take to make it a tie?”
“Oversample democrats by 11 should do it.”
“Do it. That’s the only way to make ‘the base’ show up to vote at all.”
If I drink everytime an MSM anchor or analyst uses the word unexpected my 6 pack will have a short life. RIP 6 pack.
I saw movement in the internals of some polls today. I can’t recall exactly which. Maybe someone else can comment. I saw independents starting to move back towards Romney as Obama’s Sandy bump started to fade. Anyone else see this movement?
I’m not concerned about the topline of any poll. It is dependent on the internals. As long as these polls continue to oversample Democrats ridiculously and the topline shows a close race I feel good.
Yup .. but when the joke’s no joke > grrrrrrr
D +11 is predicting the electorate is 160% of what it was in 2008 (an historic year for turnout advantage).
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