Dispatch Poll: Ohio's a toss-up

Dispatch ^

[Arthurio]

Dispatch Poll: Ohio's a toss-up

Obama has edge, but high GOP turnout could turn Ohio to Romney

The “Ohio firewall” precariously stands for President Barack Obama, but a strong Republican turnout could enable Mitt Romney to tear it down on Election Day.

The final Dispatch Poll shows Obama leading 50 percent to 48 percent in the Buckeye State. However, that 2-point edge is within the survey’s margin of sampling error, plus or minus 2.2 percentage points.

Ohio remains the consensus top battlefield in the 2012 presidential election, and the campaigns are showing it: Both candidates and both running mates are here today, and three of the four are coming back on Monday. That will make 83 visits by presidential candidates to Ohio this year, a record at least in modern history.

[Mike Darancette]

That will make 83 visits by presidential candidates to Ohio this year, a record at least in modern history.

What a moronic sentence. Maybe Andrew Jackson visited more times?

[onyx]

This is why it is so mystifying that Romney has been spending so much time in other states like Wisconsin and now Pennsylvania. That is what McCain did.

Do you realize Paul Ryan is from Wisconsin!

Do you realize Governor Walker won his recall and has the ground work in place for Romney/Ryan?

[trappedincanuckistan]

Let me get this straight. Perkalong questions the wisdom of Romney’s presence in Iowa/Wisconsin/Pennsylvania, cites a poll due out tomorrow that I suspect will be juiced, and questions if the Romney campaign is inflating attendance numbers at events to make up for struggling in the polls?

[sarah palin rocks]

I’ve been polling folks in OH, PA, & WI (and other swing states as a pollster research assistant) for this election. A lot of Obama support but Romney has many backers too. Then I get folks who say they hate both parties/candidates & to “hell” with them both. Lol

[TNCMAXQ]

As I recall most of the feeling by experts was that Kerry would take OH in 2004, if only narrowly. We see how that turned out.

[JohnBovenmyer]

Add Iowa to the states likely to go sour. The Nov. 4 Des Moines Register poll is out showing President Obama with a 5 point lead - Romney only has 42.

Register's "Iowa poll" has 47, Romney 42 with each including one point of leaners.

Are there any other polls out there leaving 11% not allocated to either?! That 11% broke down as 4% Someone else, 2% "Not sure (didn't remember)" and 5% "Don't want to tell".

Does anyone think Gary Johnson wins 4% in Iowa? Ron Paul may have finished third in the caucus voting, but he captured the state party apparatus by outmaneuvering the rest during the subsequent conventions. If the Iowa Ron Paul leadership encourages voting for itself it is advising voting Republican!

As for those "Don't want to tell" folks, was it the voters didn't want to tell or the Register didn't want to tell about them?

I'll concede the "not sure" and "don't remember" folks as Obama fodder, but doubt they'll decide and remember to vote by Tuesday.

The poll provided no D/R/I breakdown. In 2008 in Iowa registered D lead R by a lot (about 200k IIRC), but currently R leads D by 1400 with I leading both. Last weekend's endorsement of Romney was the Register recognizing reality and trying to remain relevant after the election. This poll is their final attempt to thwart reality.