Posted on 11/03/2012 9:26:08 PM PDT by Arthurio
Dispatch Poll: Ohio's a toss-up
Obama has edge, but high GOP turnout could turn Ohio to Romney
The Ohio firewall precariously stands for President Barack Obama, but a strong Republican turnout could enable Mitt Romney to tear it down on Election Day.
The final Dispatch Poll shows Obama leading 50 percent to 48 percent in the Buckeye State. However, that 2-point edge is within the surveys margin of sampling error, plus or minus 2.2 percentage points.
Ohio remains the consensus top battlefield in the 2012 presidential election, and the campaigns are showing it: Both candidates and both running mates are here today, and three of the four are coming back on Monday. That will make 83 visits by presidential candidates to Ohio this year, a record at least in modern history.
(Excerpt) Read more at dispatch.com ...
A few people out of 5.8 million voters. I will take those odds. Did u forget the purge husted did earlier this year?
Perhaps you should read the Constitution to get a feel for what it really says.
“If we can steal another midwestern state like Wisconsin or Pennsylvania, we could get some insurance incase Virginia goes sour.”
Add Iowa to the states likely to go sour. The Nov. 4 Des Moines Register poll is out showing President Obama with a 5 point lead - Romney only has 42.
And exactly WHERE in FreeRepublic do I not have a feel for what the US Constitution says?
I will Ravi. I follow your threads like a groupie. lol
That poll has a history of being horribly wrong. Said Obama would win by 17 points, he won by only 9. Said Kerry would win Iowa by 3, but Bush won Iowa.
Iowa is in play. No other reason for Obama to be spending so much time there in the final weekend.
Internals?
Forget Iowa, this is down to Virginia and Ohio.
since you are going wobbly maybe you should be reminded that the GOP is doing very already in Ohio.
says who? VA will go Romney.
WI is too small to help unless he gets CO and OH too. The chance of Romney winning PA even while losing VA? That’d be the king of all Hail Mary passes.
“The chance of Romney winning PA even while losing VA? Thatd be the king of all Hail Mary passes.”
You never know. Virginia is very black, which is Obama’s base. Suppose the black vote turns out for Bammy, but the union white vote doesn’t? You could have a PA win and a VA loss. Different demographics.
Romney will win both.
No early voting in PA. So a last minute surge in PA wins it.
WI + CO + NH = R victory, assuming VA holds.
VA is not that “black” - stop being an Eeyore.
“Forget Iowa, this is down to Virginia and Ohio.”
This is why it is so mystifying that Romney has been spending so much time in other states like Wisconsin and now Pennsylvania. That is what McCain did.
Or, another way to look at it, less than a week before election day and Obama has only nailed down 47% of the vote in a state he won easily back in 2008.
If undecideds break heavily for the challenger, as they have in almost every single past election, Romney could indeed still take Iowa.
No problem.
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