[SoftwareEngineer]

Finally!! Internals!!

The Governor is 4 ahead with Independents

The Governor is 6 behind with women

Right Track/Wrong Track: 38/56

Right Track/Wrong Track (Asian/Hispanic): 43/48
Right Track/Wrong Track (Independent): 31/58

Approval Index for Independents: -21%

Percentage of Republican Vote that the Governor is getting: 89%

Hispanic/Asian vote for the Governor: 35%

[tatown]

Up 4 with indies? Where was he about a week ago?

[Tulane]

What do you think the internals mean? Indy number scares me as does the asian hispanic right track wrong track.

[SomeCallMeTim]

THANKS!

Very interesting... That Indy number is scary. But, that could well be a Sandy bounce that will do away quickly.

Sure hope so, anyway.

THANKS Gov Christie!

[nathanbedford]

What do you make of Rasmussen's statement on Fox last night that he has Democrats +2?

He has Wisconsin, for example, tied at 49. Do I assume that he is applying his 2%, which I presume to be a national number, equally in each state? Is there any reason to believe that that is a valid procedure? I note that he has Republicans +3 on congressional preference and it seems anomalous to me that the overall preference would be +2 Democrat. Finally, what does this measure, merely a preference expressed in general terms by the electorate or is Rasmussen predicting turnout?

Am I wasting time concerning myself about these preference numbers when, as you point out, the approval numbers are far more predictive?