5 day to go before Fundamental Restoration returns to America!
The Trunaround of 2012
http://www.jeffhead.com/turnaround2012.htm
Here's my three Romney win scenarios.
Worst Case Romney Win:
Likely Case Romney Win:
Best Case Romney Win:
Posted on 11/01/2012 7:09:08 AM PDT by SoftwareEngineer
Daily Presidential Tracking Poll The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Thursday shows Mitt Romney attracting support from 49% of voters nationwide, while President Obama earns the vote from 47%. One percent (1%) prefers some other candidate, and three percent (3%) remain undecided. See daily tracking history.
Matchup results are updated daily at 9:30 a.m. Eastern (sign up for free daily e-mail update).
NOTE: Rasmussen Reports is based in Asbury Park, New Jersey and we were hit hard by Hurricane Sandy. However, our survey interview calls are placed from a different location, so data gathering was able to continue. Today, we will release only a limited amount of data. The Rasmussen Challenge is also on hold until next week due to the weather.
New surveying for Monday night finds Romney ahead of the president 50% to 47% in the key swing state of Colorado. That marks little change from a week ago, and the state remains a Toss-Up in the Rasmussen Reports Electoral College Projections.
In Wisconsin, surveying from Monday night finds the race remains tied at 49%, just like last week. Wisconsin, too, is still a Toss-Up and is critical to Romney’s fortunes if he loses Ohio.
(Excerpt) Read more at m.rasmussenreports.com ...
“Maybe the expert poll analysts around here can tell us why this is happening????”
I have been polling indies in CO. About 2% of them even answer the phone. About 1% will complete the survey. So the voters are self-filtering in a way the pollster cannot control. The indies hate the phone calls as they have been deluged here.
Has anyone seen the swing state poll?
Nathan,
Hi! So, here is the disconnect.
When Rasmussen polls and asks people, they say that they are R+2 or R+3. That is what has FReepers so excited
However, that being said, that is ONLY indicative of the general populace. That MAY NOT reflect the actual turnout.
What Rasmussen seems to be saying is that the President’s team is more organized and will get more people out to vote. His “vaunted ground effort”
So, he is saying that despite the R’s being more numerous this time around, more D’s will show up and vote
Now, there are many like LS, NHWinGut, Ravi etc who will disagree with that assertion, as they feel that the R’s are very motivated
The phrase to watch is “Broken glass Republicans”. Republicans so committed to voting that they will crawl over broken glass to get to the voting booth
5 day to go before Fundamental Restoration returns to America!
The Trunaround of 2012
http://www.jeffhead.com/turnaround2012.htm
Here's my three Romney win scenarios.
Worst Case Romney Win:
Likely Case Romney Win:
Best Case Romney Win:
Washington, not Oregon?
Where is Ras getting his information that zerO’s ground game is better this time around and his supporters are more likely to vote on election day vs Romney supporters?
Yep...my bad. Meant Oregon, but who knows, maybe we will get both!
I’ve been saying for a month that North Carolina will tell us all the tale on election night.
Obama won it in 2008.
The polls close at 7:30PM. If the Nets call it before 830PM, and the margin is greater than +5, a nationwide landslide is in progress.
He is just making an assumption for public entertainment.
If Ras really thinks that (which Gallup disagrees with) it flys in the face of every poll that shows a strong enthusiasm edge for the GOP.
We need to paste a call from home thread in breaking news or something to get as many Freepers to see it and take action.
WOW!!
Sneak Peek from Rasmussen: Gov Romney up by 1 in IA!!!
R: 49 O:48
R+4 Sample of 750 LV
President up with early voters but the Governor HUGE with those still to vote
sweet...make a thread!!!
Libertarians, disaffected Paulistineans...
The DailyKos crowd is really trying to stir up the Paul Crazies.
There is no way Dems have higher voter enthusiasm this year.
Snarkytart,
Can’t do. It is still internal. Not public yet!
Republican ground game in Ohio in 2004 was massive and effective and we are told that the Republicans have far exceeded the metrics in 2012.
If Rasmussen is just pulling this reversal out of his hat, it does not mean a thing. I note that he also said last night on Fox that the Democrats were depending on the youth vote and that was unreliable and the Republicans are favored by the more elderly who are very much motivated for Romney. He gives the edge to Romney, albeit grudgingly.
What I am driving at is that there is nothing on the ground anywhere that says that the Republicans in Ohio and Wisconsin should not prevail in a race tied in the polls. Even if we concede that the Democrats have crafted a good ground game in Ohio in 2008, one might suspect that a good portion of that game was simply the general public hysteria for Obama which has markedly abated.
Where is the impetus for Obama? What will drive people to the polls to support Obama? Why should he be able to break through his 47% ceiling? I simply do not see any reason to believe that the Democrats will perform +2 over the Republicans and this leaves quite apart the distribution of undecideds and independents for Romney.
It has always been the rule of thumb that the tie goes the Republicans, unless the rats can steal it.
Black Inner-City talk radio is absolutely SCREAMING for blacks to go vote for “Brother Obama”, as one put it yesterday, complete with all the race-baiting dog-whistles we have come to expect from these people.
In addition, Pacifica is in a COMPLETE frenzy to get out the vote for Obama, too.
The last days schedules tell me:
Romney thinks he has N.C., In., Fl., Ohio, and Virginia for 266 electoral votes (he keeps all the McCain states) and Romney is trying to pick up the last 4 votes he needs in N.H. (4), Co. (9), or Ia. (6).
Obama is trying for a push to win Ohio and is trying to hold on to Wi., Nv (6), Ia., N.H. to stave off defeat.
Nevada is interesting that Obama feels he needs to shore up and Romney is skipping it.
They need to sweep the nursing homes, whup the black congregations and lay out walking around money.
Pacifica might help in Madison Wisconsin.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.