Libertarians, disaffected Paulistineans...
The DailyKos crowd is really trying to stir up the Paul Crazies.
As a disaffected “Paul Crazy,” and while I obviously can’t speak for all the others, I can tell you that real Libertarians don’t get riled up by, and certainly don’t get their marching orders from the Daily Kos. The positions espoused by The Daily Kos are anathema to Libertarians. I cannot imagine any Libertarian preferring Obamugabe to Romney - unless he says to himself, “America was great while it lasted, but we’ve been on a long, steep slide down; let’s just get it over with.”
As to polling numbers, this will be all about turn-out. Recent events (e.g., the Tea Party rise, the 2010 election, the Wisconsin recall results, the Chik-Fil-a rallies nationwide) all point to a huge, able-to-organize-on-a-moment’s-notice, and highly energized, anti-Obama, anti-Big Government movement that has only grown stronger. Nothing should suggest anything other than the 2012 election is THE moment these groups have been waiting for. The 2008 turn-out models DO NOT APPLY.
Personally, I think Romney gets at least 54% of the Popular Vote and well north of 300 EV’s.