“Maybe the expert poll analysts around here can tell us why this is happening????”
I have been polling indies in CO. About 2% of them even answer the phone. About 1% will complete the survey. So the voters are self-filtering in a way the pollster cannot control. The indies hate the phone calls as they have been deluged here.
I think pollsters are getting responses from less that the normal 9% which will talk to them. Even as low as 3%.
My guess is a majority of the Silent Ones are conservative.