Posted on 10/21/2012 11:06:49 AM PDT by JediJones
Based on the polls and projections below, as well as polls in other contests not listed here, the Democrats are projected to keep their majority in the Senate by a 52-48 margin.
Massachusetts (D pickup) Real Clear Politics Average: Warran 48.0%, Brown 46.3%
Missouri (D hold) Real Clear Politics Average: McCaskill 45.8%, Akin 43.5%
Connecticut (D hold) Real Clear Politics Average: Murphy 47.0%, McMahon 42.7%
Nevada (R hold) Real Clear Politics Average: Heller 45.8%, Berkley 41.0%
Virginia (D hold) Real Clear Politics Average: Kaine 47.6%, Allen 45.4%
Wisconsin (D hold) Real Clear Politics Average: Baldwin 48.4%, Thompson 46.0%
Indiana (R hold) Most Recent Poll: Mourdock 47%, Donnelly 42% (Rasmussen 10/11)
Montana (R pickup) Real Clear Politics Average: Rehberg 46.3%, Tester 46.0%
Maine (I pickup!) Real Clear Politics Average: King 45.5%, Summers 31%, Dill 13.8%
North Dakota (R pickup) Real Clear Politics Average: Berg 48.5%, Heitkamp 43.5%
(Excerpt) Read more at examiner.com ...
We need to REMOVE McConnell. AND Boehner from leadership positions in Congress.
Its sort of incongruous for Obama to be behind Romney and theGOP behind in Congress.
Exactly! If we do not win the Senate, OBAMACARE is here to stay.
I'm talking about it, but the mods keep pulling my reports from the sidebar because I'm not a published journalist, as if that somehow gives me less credibility than Candy Crowley.
I have two more weekends of reports to go before the election.
-PJ
Very good point!
Something occurs to me as I read all this polling stuff...
What ever happened to Charlie (I think it was Charlie) Cook of the “Cook Political Report? He used to be a big go- to guy on all this stuff and I haven’t heard a word from him this time around.
Any Cook sightings from anyone?
Hank
And Dodd-Frank, Sarbanes-Oxley, etc. Not to mention defense cuts, repeal of the Bush tax cuts. Romney's got up there in 2 debates and not once advocated for the idea that he'll need Republicans to win the Senate to pass most of his agenda. Instead he's advocated for "bipartisanship," which is just going to make those squishy independent voters split their ticket between Romney and the Democrat Senate candidate.
-PJ
This is BS!
Casey is an empty suit and Smith is the real deal.
He is doing great and I think he has a better chance then Mandel in OH.
PA may have gone DEM in the presidential elections, but don't forget they sent Rick Santorum to the Senate.
Without huge coattails I think Casey is in big trouble.
If Romney is elected without the senate he can still delay Obamacare year to year UNTIL we get the senate back.
The stupidity of the liberal voter can not be overestimated, it is an impossible task.
These polls are off. Real Clear Politics Average has a large amount of Dem shill polls factored in.
Massachusetts (Tossup) Poll within the margin of error, Warren is the worst candidate ever fielded for office anywhere. Liar, fraud, and commie.
Missouri (Leaning Repub) I don’t care what the polls say here, the fact that Akin (after being crucified as Satan by every media outlet) is close, tells me he will win. People in Missouri hate McCatskull.
Connecticut (Leaning Dem) Big caveat, if Romney wins the election, I think McMahon gets carried over the finish line.
Nevada (Dem hold) We’re unlikely to win this one, just like Connie in Florida.
Virginia (Tossup) Within margin of error, and Allen is a better candidate, with more enthusiasm behind him than the democrat.
Wisconsin (Tossup) If Romney wins, even if he doesn’t win Wisconsin, I see this seat going for us.
Indiana (Repub hold) In the bag.
Montana (Repub) No questions asked, this seat belongs to Rehburg. Tester is a POS.
Maine (Indie who will vote Dem) King will probably win, but there’s a chance, if we can peel liberal support away for Dill instead. Split the vote.
North Dakota (Repub) I didn’t think we’d win this one a few months ago, but it’s safe now
Romney would probably rather have a Dem Senate there so he can have an excuse not to repeal Obamacare, and simply “reform” it. Everyone knows he’s had to be dragged kicking and screaming all the way to commit to repealing Obamacare.
Not possible to over estimate the dumbness of Massachusetts.
That is a danger. We need to be on him & his team like white on rice as soon as he gets in the WH.
The incumbent is a Republican and is winning according to the original article.
RCP has Casey up 47 to 41.7 over Smith, but the polls are a little old and we’ve obviously heard some buzz lately that Smith is doing better. Another article says he also has 40% more money on hand than Casey, who’s been lazy and expected to sleepwalk to a victory.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/senate/pennsylvania_senate_race.html
True! But without winning the Senate, Repealing ObamaCare is OUT the window.
Harry Reid must be defeated.
Supposing Romney wins and a Donkey-controlled Senate obstructs everything he and the House propose, it should set up a GOP / Tea Party romp in 2014, particularly if the economy stagnates. Lots of Ds up for reelection then.
Misread that. We’ll hold Nevada then. But we won’t win Florida. Connie has fallen behind by a lot from what I’ve read.
Too bad we couldn’t get rid of dingy Reid.
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