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Election 2012: Wisconsin President Wisconsin: Obama 50%, Romney 48% (look at early voting)
www.rasmussenreports.com ^ | 10/20/12 | Scott Rasmussen

Posted on 10/20/2012 2:32:14 PM PDT by personalaccts

Election 2012: Wisconsin President Wisconsin: Obama 50%, Romney 48% in Politics.Related Articles Daily Presidential Tracking Poll 2012 Electoral College Scoreboard Swing State Tracking: Romney 50%, Obama 46% Florida: Romney 51%, Obama 46% Missouri: Romney 54%, Obama 43% Virginia: Romney 50%, Obama 47% As Romney Gains, Senate Remains Challenging for GOP By Scott Rasmussen

Friday, October 19, 2012

Wisconsin remains a two-point race following Tuesday night’s presidential debate.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Wisconsin Voters finds President Obama with 50% support, while Mitt Romney earns 48% of the vote. One percent (1%) likes another candidate in the race. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

This race remains a Toss-Up in the Rasmussen Reports Electoral College Projections. Obama defeated Republican John McCain 56% to 42% in Wisconsin in 2008.

The president posted a similar 51% to 49% lead in the state earlier this month. In surveys in Wisconsin since October of last year, the president has earned 44% to 52% of the vote, while Romney’s support has ranged from 41% to 49%.

Ninety-seven percent (97%) of likely Wisconsin voters say they are certain to vote, and the president leads 50% to 48% among this group.

Wisconsin allows early voting, and among those who have already voted, it’s Romney 54%, Obama 43%. Of those who have yet to vote, 90% say they’ve already decided whom they will support. Obama leads 50% to 49% among these voters.

Both candidates draw more than 90% support from voters in their respective parties in Wisconsin. The president leads by 11 points among voters not affiliated with either of the major parties.

Among all voters in the state, Romney has a 50% to 45% advantage when it comes to whom voters trust more to deal with the economy. Voters are almost evenly divided over whom they trust more to handle national security matters: 47% say Obama, 46% Romney. Among voters nationally, Romney is trusted more by seven points on the economy, while the two candidates run nearly even when it comes to national security.

How did you do in this week’s Rasmussen Challenge? Check the leaderboard.

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

This Wisconsin survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on October 18, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Thirteen percent (13%) of Wisconsin voters give the U.S. economy good marks, while 44% rate it as poor. Forty-two percent (42%) say the economy is getting better, but 36% think it’s getting worse.

In reacting to the nation’s current economic problems, 39% worry that the federal government will do too much, but slightly more (43%) fear the government will not do enough. Nationally, voters are more evenly divided. Sixty-nine percent (69%) think the government should cut spending to help the economy, while just 16% feel more spending is called for. That’s in line with voter attitudes nationwide.

Fifty-six percent (56%) of Wisconsin voters correctly understand that the United States spends more on the military and national security than any other nation in the world. Eleven percent (11%) don’t think that’s true, but 33% aren’t sure.

Thirty-five percent (35%) say the government spends too much on the military and national security, while 22% think there isn’t enough defense spending. Thirty-seven percent (37%) say the level of spending in this area is about right. This is a more negative assessment of military and national security spending than is found nationally.

Fifty-one percent of voters in Wisconsin approve of the job the president is doing, while 49% disapprove. This includes 35% who Strongly Approve and 42% who Strongly Disapprove, giving the president a slightly better job approval rating than he earns nationally.

Romney is viewed favorably by 49% and unfavorably by 50%. This includes 34% who have a Very Favorable opinion of him and 34% with a Very Unfavorable one.

In addition to Wisconsin, Colorado, Florida, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio and Virginia are Toss-Ups. Obama is ahead in Connecticut, Maine, Massachusetts, Michigan, New Mexico, Pennsylvania and Washington. Romney leads in Arizona, Indiana, Missouri and North Dakota.

Additional information from this survey and a full demographic breakdown are available to Platinum Members only.

Please sign up for the Rasmussen Reports daily e-mail update (it’s free) or follow us on Twitter or Facebook. Let us keep you up to date with the latest public opinion news.

in Politics.


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: North Carolina; US: Wisconsin
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; 2012swingstates; notbreakingnews; polls; sourcetitlenoturl; wi2012
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To: Defiant

Agree.....if i recall Mark Belling said the day before the election Walker was approx. +2 give or take.


41 posted on 10/20/2012 8:11:53 PM PDT by BrianE ("Dead at 25 buried at 65 the average American" - Benjamin Franklin 1776)
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To: personalaccts

Rasmussen is good but conservative. When the R’s are up, it is generally a definite win. When the R’s are down a few, it could go either way. When the R’s are down quite a few, its time for another poll:-).


42 posted on 10/20/2012 9:10:28 PM PDT by Revolutionary ("Praise the Lord and Pass the Ammunition!")
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To: Still Thinking; All

There is no way this makes any sense as many have pointed out.

Fewer than one in ten (9 out of 100) will even talk to these pollsters.

If anyone can make a rational argument showing that these non-respondents are more liberal than conservative I would like to hear it. I am pretty sure that they are more likely to be conservatives who hate the media and pollsters.

This means the polls are automatically reflective of the Left more than the Right.


43 posted on 10/20/2012 10:23:39 PM PDT by arrogantsob (The Disaster MUST Go. Sarah herself supports Romney.)
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To: carlo3b

LOLOLOL!


44 posted on 10/20/2012 11:57:35 PM PDT by afraidfortherepublic
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To: BrianE
Everyone, if you can, catch Mark Belling on radio station WISN in Milwaukee..stream it from WISN’s website in Milwaukee. He's on at 3pm here in Illinois and this guy is simply ONE OF THE BEST CONSERVATIVE TALK SHOW HOSTS WHO WORKS HARD AT GETTING ROMNEY SUPPORTERS TO GET OUT AND WORK FOR THE VOTE...HE GIVES THEM A RUNDOWN OF POLLING PLACES AND THEIR ADDRESSES IN WISCONSIN WHERE SUPPORT/FINANCIAL HELP IS NEEDED TO WIN THE VOTE. Check him out daily...HE will give you the facts and a play-by-play on what is happening in Wisconsin..he gives your a colorful description of each neighborhood where Romney/Republican candidates need support/financial help to win their races.
45 posted on 10/21/2012 1:59:07 AM PDT by itssme
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To: DallasSun
Michelle Oboma is NOT a “lovely person.” She is the enemy, a socialist/communist/marxist/revolutionary/sharia loving/muslim sympathizer.” There is nothing lovely about her politics, the scowl on her face most of the time, her socialist-style intrusion into what OUR children are eating in OUR schools and instituting polices already in place in our schools to over-ride parental authority of their children. i.e. what their children will eat at school, or her Eva Perone persona where she thinks SHE can criticize others on public television when they mention eating something that “Evita Perone” does not approve of. She did this to a black Olympic contender who was appearing on a TV show, along side of “Michelle Marie Antoinette”. The young lady mentioned that she had to have a McDonald hamburger after her performance at an Olympic event, and the Mooch chastised her in front of millions of viewers for selecting a “no-no food” that Moochelle disapproves of. Ain't nothin’ lovely about the woman in OUR White House who would be queen..if she could. Ann Romney is a class act, and she is well spoken...raised five boys while battling cancer and MS...is also a ardent, positive supporter of Mitt Romney, who, I read, is appreciative of her support AND guidance. Ann Romney is excellent First Lady material and I can't wait to see her and her husband occupy OUR White House.

Class vs crass...and the Mooch loses.

46 posted on 10/21/2012 2:29:00 AM PDT by itssme
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To: itssme

The substance of your post is fine, but to be clear, the Olympian said she had eaten a McDonald’s Egg McMuffin...not even a hamburger. She had eaten a breakfast EMc and for THAT, Michelle Obama criticized her and tried to intimidate her.


47 posted on 10/21/2012 3:24:04 AM PDT by txrangerette ("HOLD TO THE TRUTH...SPEAK WITHOUT FEAR." - Glenn Beck)
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To: txrangerette

You are correct, and thanks for your input. I knew it was a McDonald’s something...my taste for one blinded my memory bank as I typed in the information!


48 posted on 10/21/2012 3:28:56 AM PDT by itssme
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To: itssme

Can you believe it?...an Egg McMuffin for her celebratory victory breakfast - oh the HORROR! To criticize that is even worse than if Michelle had complained about a hamburger. And it was NONE of Mrs. Busybody’s business, period.


49 posted on 10/21/2012 3:55:17 AM PDT by txrangerette ("HOLD TO THE TRUTH...SPEAK WITHOUT FEAR." - Glenn Beck)
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To: personalaccts

A lot of liberal states (WI, NJ, MA, MI, hell even CA) have histories of electing GOP governors, to fix their own in-state mess, but then turning around and voting to inflict a leftist Prez on the rest of the country....’Cuz they feel it wont affect them locally.


50 posted on 10/21/2012 5:19:34 AM PDT by HailReagan78
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To: personalaccts

After Madison garnering a 119 percent voter turnout for the Walker recall election, I believe it really comes down to stopping the fraud in Wisconsin. The liberal Dane county judge put a hold on Voter ID until AFTER this election and we all know why that stipulation was put on it. Bottom line, if fraud can be kept to a minimum, Romney may take it; otherwise, Obama wins.


51 posted on 10/21/2012 8:35:24 AM PDT by onevoter
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To: Defiant

The polls on the Walker recall election had them neck and neck and Walker went on to win by something like 8 percent. I don’t have the numbers exactly but the win was beyond the level where fraud on the part of Madison, Milwaukee and Racine could offset the win.


52 posted on 10/21/2012 8:37:45 AM PDT by onevoter
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To: DallasSun
Oh for heavens sakes. They are both lovely women

Yep, both....


53 posted on 10/21/2012 8:43:45 AM PDT by Right Brother
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To: onevoter

That was my recollection as well, that the polls had it neck and neck, and then Walker won big. I would expect that if the polls are saying something similar for Romney, it means he will really do very well.


54 posted on 10/21/2012 8:44:34 AM PDT by Defiant (If there are infinite parallel universes, why Lord, am I living in the one with Obama as President?)
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To: Defiant

My feeling as well - hard to believe that a state that turned out LARGE for Walker has suddenly softened on the libs. I drove through Wisconsin shortly before the recall election and can tell you that never have I seen an electorate that was so involved. It seemed like one out of every two cars, lawns, etc., had signs and bumper stickers! I simply cannot believe that those same voters have either lost interest or decided that the extremely pro-union Obama is their candidate of choice. I believe the polls are as wrong this time around as they were at the time of the recall election. On the other hand, the libs are more prepared this time for the avalanche of Conservative voter turn-out and will up the ante in terms of fraud (expect a lot of busses to arrive from Chicago and to make two or three stops to vote) - there is too much at stake for them to come in unprepared this time around.


55 posted on 10/21/2012 10:11:50 AM PDT by onevoter
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To: onevoter
hard to believe that a state that turned out LARGE for Walker has suddenly softened on the libs.

There were many Democrats who voted for Walker *only* because they did not like the way the recall process was being abused. These same Democrats will not be voting for Romney.

56 posted on 10/21/2012 10:18:10 AM PDT by kevao (Is your ocean any lower than it was four years ago?)
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To: kevao

You say, “There were many Democrats who voted for Walker *only* because they did not like the way the recall process was being abused. These same Democrats will not be voting for Romney.”

This is a favorite Dem talking point and I don’t believe it for one minute. This is simply the MSM way of trying to convince voters that the tide isn’t turning against “the one” in the “must win” state of Wisconsin. You don’t turn out and vote for a candidate as “polarizing” as the libs claim Walker was simply because you feel that the “process is being abused.” People have dug their feet in and are taking sides - no one is voting against their own interest because they feel the “process” is being abused - there is too much at stake. . .


57 posted on 10/21/2012 10:33:57 AM PDT by onevoter
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To: onevoter

I’m no stranger to WI, FRiend. Romney will not get as many votes as Walker did. Sorry.


58 posted on 10/21/2012 10:38:47 AM PDT by kevao (Is your ocean any lower than it was four years ago?)
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To: Right Brother

Yes they are. And you can find dreadful pics of romney just as you can with anyone. In fact, between the two, Michelle is gorgeous. Ann is pretty. But then she is married to Mitt so she loses just in taste in men.


59 posted on 10/21/2012 10:47:34 AM PDT by DallasSun (Courage~Fear that has said its prayers.)
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To: georgiarat

When you are working to get out the vote, it does Not matter. The whole point is to get people to vote. It is none of our business for whom they are voting. Nor do we care.


60 posted on 10/21/2012 10:50:08 AM PDT by DallasSun (Courage~Fear that has said its prayers.)
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