Posted on 10/06/2012 2:47:45 PM PDT by dialup_pundit
When an incumbent Democratic president is virtually tied in a congressional district he carried by high double digits in 2008, and is losing in the suburbs of his hometown, there could be trouble brewing.
In August, a poll by the Joliet, Ill.-based polling firm of McKeon and Associates, found President Obama leading challenger Mitt Romney in Cook County, which includes Chicago and its suburbs, by a 12-point margin 49-37.
That would seem to be a comfortable edge, but it is significantly smaller than traditional margins needed to outweigh the more Republican downstate vote...
Now comes a new poll from WeAskAmerica that finds Obama with just a 2-point lead over Romney, 47-45, in a suburban Chicago congressional district that Obama won in 2008 by 23 points.
Read More At IBD: http://news.investors.com/ibd-editorials/100512-628435-polls-show-obama-could-lose-illinois.htm#ixzz28X8nPjpF
(Excerpt) Read more at news.investors.com ...
Good to hear. Wisconsin is definitely in play, but its Jewish population is relatively small, so the RJC might be thinking that it's not likely that a swing of the Jewish vote there toward Romney will not be decisive. Thus they decided, as of now, not to target it.
Good analysis. I like the history. One telling point, possibly, maybe in Romney’s favor is that 200,000 or so have evacuated Illinois. Hopefully, these people are from Cook County, but I think not. Many acquaintances (mostly GOP) moved into Indiana. So many people moved into IN, that a church built a new building, having re-located from South Holland, Ill to Crete, IN.
I don’t think Obama will lose Ill: Too much corruption.
Obama should be afraid, very afraid.
That could be stopped if the out of Chicago voting districts
would simply demand that Chicago announced its votes before the out of Chicago districts announced theirs. Chicago districts wouldn’t know how many votes they would have to “manufacture”.
That could also be done in Pennsylvania in regards to Philly!
Normally, I would agree 100%. What hasn’t been covered is the true depth of Zeor supporters’ apathy this time around. It takes a LOT of energy to act excited about a lump of coal in the bottom of your stocking...Expect nothing, hope for a reason for a second bowl of popcorn.
Maybe this year our votes will actually count?
Chicago is not a city, it is a democrat criminal enterprise with suburbs...
; )
Thanks, m. That sure was a different America, and a different time than the fascist hell we’ve been through. Even if R&R win, it’s going to take a long time and a lot of hard work to get America back to a functioning, first-world country again. The commies—>dems—>enviros have infiltrated so deeply and done so much damage, that I can’t even see a light at the end of the tunnel anymore. Never thought I’d ever say that...
“Just enough votes” was all it took to skew the results. They had more boxes and briefcases full of them, if they needed them. That “Machine” has gotten ever more powerful, despite what some people here think. We’re so infiltrated and corrupted by the commies—>dems—>enviros that it’ll take many years to recover, if we ever can do so. I have my doubts, many days...
Personally, I’d like to see NJ annex that Philly craphole. It was a beautiful place back in the 50s; it’s been a sewer/hellhole ever since.
As AUh2o stated this poll is not exactly shocking nor does it indicate Romney is poised to win the state. Osama ran far ahead of normal rat percentages in Illinois, I always expected him to come back down to Earth this time.
It is a good sign though and good news for RINO freshman Bob Dold who can’t afford big Osama coatails.
6 competitive House races here so holding Osama’s numbers down is helpful even though I doubt Romney could do any better than a 10 point loss at best.
If Romney wins Illinois it would be electoral votes 390-410 or something like that.
“If Romney wins Illinois it would be electoral votes 390-410 or something like that.”
If that happens, I’m buying blow for everyone!!!
Impy is almost exactly right. If Romney carries IL, he would carry 412 electoral votes:
McCain states + Omaha CD + IN + NC = 206
+ FL = 235
+ VA = 248
+ OH = 266
+ IA = 272 (victory)
+ CO = 281
+ NH = 285
+ WI = 295
+ NV = 301
+ MI = 317
+ PA = 337
+ NM = 342
+ MN = 352
+ NJ = 366
+ OR = 373
+ ME-02 = 374
+ WA = 385
+ CT = 392
+ IL = 412
Obama will win CO & CT. Each state has a democrat governor and two democrat U.S. senators, if you include Sen. Liberman, a liberal independent.
I will hold you to that!!
“I will hold you to that!!”
I can cook, no prob.
Colorado is extremely close and does not compare to Connecticut which is a democrat state. It’s current Governors and Senators are irrelevant circumstances. Horrible candidates in 2010 cost us victory there in the Senate and Governor’s race.
I might put it after NH and WI on the list but certainly no worse than that, it’s still more Republican than Nevada and unquestionably more favorable to Romney than any other state beyond that.
CO will be very close, and CT will probably go to Obama, but the fact that both states have Dem governors and Senators means bupkus. WV and MT each have a Dem governor and two Dem Senators, and both states will vote for Romney by double digits.
Brady and Kirk cleaned clock outside of Cook, yet Brady “lost” to an unpopular louse after leading in the polls and Kirk barley beat a weak joke of a democrat and this in a GOP year. It’s sickening, both should have won easily. This underscores the difficulty we have trying to carry the state in a Presidential election.
Philly to NJ would be great for PA, horrible for NJ, which would become another Maryland.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.