Romney has to make the sale.
If he gets to 50 he is in. He has only hit 46/47.
He must talk about a positive next 4 years. He must paint a picture.
Ryan must be unleashed. He must go on all out CAMPAIGN to young people, colleges Young Republicans, Catholic organizations, CYOs, Knights of
Columbus, Catholic hospitals and charities.
It must be a 24/7 campaign now.
Romney must lead with 3 big policy speeches.
Can he do it? Yes, if he really wants it. He must decide if he really
wants the responsiblility to be President.
excellent analysis, preamble...especially about what Ryan needs to do. I hope someone gets it to his campaign people.
I agree. Was happy to see Ryan doing a townhall here in Orlando today at the UCF campus. Ryan can really get to the younger voters, and I love to see them hitting college campuses. Good move.
As I said, I agree, this is Romney’s to win, but they have to make a much stronger case, both on their vision for the next four years and why the last four have been a disaster. Mentioning high unemployment is not enough. They need to tie it around Obama’s policies.
If he gets to 50 he is in. He has only hit 46/47.
With the normal 3 to 1 break in undecideds he is at about 50.
“If he gets to 50 he is in. He has only hit 46/47.”
Nope.
50% doesn’t mean nuthin’.
It doesn’t count for nuthin’ — because we do not elect presidents by a “majority vote”.
We DO elect presidents through the Electoral College.
And this time, what will make the difference is the outcome in three states:
- Forida (29 electoral votes)
- Ohio (18)
- Virginia (13)
Romney cannot win without Florida — won’t happen.
He -might- win without either VA or OH, but ONLY if he can pick up instead:
- Colorado (9)
- New Hampshire (4)
- Iowa (6)
Unless he scores an upset, Virginia doesn’t look good for Romney right now — Obama is on the verge of “breaking 50” there. Source:
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/archive/2012_electoral_college_scoreboard
(Note: I chose Rasmussen’s numbers because he has been the most accurate of late, and doesn’t try to “fudge the numbers” for the democrats. Be aware that some polls on his “electoral map” may be dated, but the VA one is probably close the the truth)
This election will be close - very close, particularly in the electoral college.
Right now it remains an uphill climb for the Republicans.