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“If he gets to 50 he is in. He has only hit 46/47.”

Nope.

50% doesn’t mean nuthin’.
It doesn’t count for nuthin’ — because we do not elect presidents by a “majority vote”.

We DO elect presidents through the Electoral College.

And this time, what will make the difference is the outcome in three states:
- Forida (29 electoral votes)
- Ohio (18)
- Virginia (13)

Romney cannot win without Florida — won’t happen.

He -might- win without either VA or OH, but ONLY if he can pick up instead:
- Colorado (9)
- New Hampshire (4)
- Iowa (6)

Unless he scores an upset, Virginia doesn’t look good for Romney right now — Obama is on the verge of “breaking 50” there. Source:
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/archive/2012_electoral_college_scoreboard
(Note: I chose Rasmussen’s numbers because he has been the most accurate of late, and doesn’t try to “fudge the numbers” for the democrats. Be aware that some polls on his “electoral map” may be dated, but the VA one is probably close the the truth)

This election will be close - very close, particularly in the electoral college.

Right now it remains an uphill climb for the Republicans.