Posted on 09/19/2012 5:03:33 PM PDT by Abiotic
President Barack Obama has the edge over Republican Mitt Romney in three potentially decisive states in the presidential election.
Obama tops Romney by seven percentage points among likely voters in both Ohio (49-42 percent) and Virginia (50-43 percent). In Florida, the president holds a five-point edge (49-44 percent).
Obamas lead is just outside the polls margin of sampling error in Ohio and Virginia, and within the margin of sampling error in Florida.
The good news for Romney is that among voters who are extremely interested in this years election, the races are much tighter. Obama is up by just two points with this group in Virginia (49-47 percent), Florida is tied (48-48 percent), and Romney is up by one point in Ohio (48-47 percent).
Independents are nearly evenly divided in each of the states, as well.
Majorities of voters are unhappy with how things are going in the country, yet in all three states more say they trust Obama than Romney to improve the economy.
Likewise, in each state more voters believe the Obama administrations policies have helped rather than hurt the economy -- albeit by slim margins: By two points in Florida, three points in Ohio and five points in Virginia.
(Excerpt) Read more at foxnews.com ...
As usual, the question this piece of news begs is this : WHAT IS THE D/R/I BREAKDOWN OF THEIR POLL?
The last paragraph shows the tilt in this poll. No way rose numbers are accurate, unless a huge percentage of Americans suddenly got amnesia in the last 30 days.
What should it be?
I'll be these guys are as bad as the outfit Opinion Dynamics that Fox once employed.
Internals? Likely or registered or adults? D/R/I split?
From the article:
More voters than not say it is pretty neat to live in a hotly-contested state. Some 45 percent of voters in Virginia and 44 percent in Ohio feel that way, as do 40 percent in Florida. On the other hand, nearly a third in each state says its a big pain.
..gives you an idea of the questions asked...
If these polls are to be believed, then the electorate is insane.
Of all the polls you have seen, there is one poll that has gotten no attention, it is a poll that has been taken monthly, it is a poll that Doug Ross spotted and promoted on his site. It is the Rasmussen Poll of party identification.
They have party identification results online dating back to 2004. Here are the 2012 numbers through August
That shows a GOP advantage in registration this year.
These polls were wrong in 2008 and they will be proven to be wrong in 2012.
We didn’t believe the polls four years ago, and look what happened. Looks like most voters are comfortable with failure, because their lives are failures under this administration. They would rather stay with what they know than “risk” a Republican in the WH.
I don’t pay any attention to Fox’s polls. They are worthless.
I hope you’re right but Americans have been SIGNIFICANTLY dumbed-down since 0bama took office.
From the poll:
POLITICAL IDENTIFICATION
When you think about politics, do you think of yourself as a Democrat or a Republican?
Democrat 42%
Republican 37%
(Independent / Other) 20%
(Dont know / Refused) 1%
Sample is +6 D, not sure of the party affiliation numbers for Ohio.
I would not that Romney is up among indies by 4% (42-38 with 11 % undecided, figure ~8-3 split for the challenger.
I like Romney’s chances here if he is close to +10 with Indies.
Just saw Karl (spit) Rove on O’Really and he had his electoral map up. Pretty sure all three of those states he had as tossups (for what that’s worth).
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