Posted on 09/10/2012 6:46:40 AM PDT by Perdogg
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Monday shows President Obama attracting support from 50% of voters nationwide, while Mitt Romney earns 45% of the vote. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate, and three percent (3%) are undecided.
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...
All very true. Including the ongoing issue of the EV’s being all that matters, and that is an easier path for obama than Romney. Still: far from over.
We have got to defeat Obama. Seriously, 4 more years of this and we will have a hard time undoing the damage.
I believe that R&R have a different strategy for the campaign. They are spending a ton of money (~ $120 million in Aug), and it doesn’t seem to be on advertising. From what I have read, is they are doing tons of targeted polling and research, especially in the swing states. And they are implementing a massive GOTV effort. Even this past weekend, they did some kind of volunteer test, with over 20 million. These are the things that are not so visible to us.
OF course, in the end, time will tell whether its effective or not. But I do believe that we conservatives have to use different strategies to get out messages and voters out.
To me, its this simple.... every swing state the 2 candidates are in, are states Obama won in 2008. What does that tell you? Are people who voted tea party conservative in 2010, and less motivated and mad in 2012? I don’t think so. These polls did not pick that up in 2010, totally missed in Wisconsin in 2012, and are going to miss in November.
I still think Romney can win this thing, but here’s what he’s got to do more of: Give people a POSITIVE reason to vote FOR him, not just to vote AGAINST Obama. And by this I mean, LAY OUT MORE OF YOUR PLAN. In his acceptance speech, Romney mentioned his five-point plan, but with just a sentence or two on each point. He needs to give more depth and substance on his plan, the “why” and the “how.” For instance, on energy independence, he should speak about the Keystone pipeline—that Obama nixed it, Romney would approve it, and what that would mean for energy supply and the associated jobs.
Romney did not have a great week before.
He needs to reorganize and focus his campaign.
He Should understand that MSM is working actively with Obama and he cannot be dependent on the MSM to get his views across.
It would help if we had a Presidential candidate and campaign staff that believe in conservative ideas. We don’t now and we didn’t 4 years ago.
I am as concerned as you are. I know its a post convention bounce, but still...
Right.
At one level, we “know” it is a bounce. OTOH, Clinton’s bounce never went away....plenty to be concerned about; plenty to be optimistic about. (1980, Chick Fila day....)
One thing...Obama isn’t now leading in money.
He outraised Romney the past month.
But before that, for many months, Romney raised way more than Obama.
Obama spent what money he did raise on ads.
Romney has way more money in the bank than Obama.
Tons.
Axelrod's latest phone call....
Here’s something that might help people on the fence make up their minds:
Just heard about this app on the radioIn Obamas Own Wordsaudio record of some of his most ridiculous quotes!
http://itunes.apple.com/us/app/obama-in-his-own-words/id515820642?mt=8
That said, I still don't know that ANY pollster, including Ras, is getting the right mix of Dem/Rep. They all missed WI's recall, some bacly. They almost all missed low on the GOP House takeover in 2010.
I won't blow smoke and say I see a groundswell for Romney here in central-south OH, but on the other hand, I see NOTHING of the Obama "ground game" and enthusiasm that I saw four years ago.
-—— I won’t blow smoke and say I see a groundswell for Romney here in central-south OH, but on the other hand, I see NOTHING of the Obama “ground game” and enthusiasm that I saw four years ago.-——
Same here in MA. In 08, there was an O sticker on every tenth car. Now I see 1 or 2 a day, commuting for two hours a day. I see the same amount of Romney stickers.
The difference is, we are the silent, majority adult population. We’re not loud, petulant children. We just show up on election day.
I see NOTHING of the Obama “ground game” and enthusiasm that I saw four years ago.”
That is very, very true.
And we can’t forget that even with all of that, and a horrible campaign by a horrible candidate, McCain mustered 47% or so.....
It could happen. obama could lose. Very doable. Not easy, but very doable.
It is not just the convention, there is also the 09-11 effect.
There is a 4-5 point rally to the flag effect during the anniversary of 09-11. Like it or not the fact O was in charge when the Seals got Bin Laden is going to help him in the polls for the next week or so.
So all the Dembot “hate Romney always” Freepers, the “Pollsters are always right” crowd and the die hard “we should of nominated candidate x” complainers might want to hold off popping the corks out of the 0bama champagne bottles just yet.
Lack of RAT enthusiasm is GREAT for the GOP.
“Same here in MA. In 08, there was an O sticker on every tenth car. Now I see 1 or 2 a day, commuting for two hours a day. I see the same amount of Romney stickers.”
Ditto that Thomas A! I'm also seeing more Brown stickers, FWIW.
A suppressed turnout for the RATS (let's face it, the dyed-in-the-wool Marxists and AA’s are NEVER, EVER going to vote GOP), combined with the silent vote will defeat Soetoro.
a little more of Romney and Ryan telling the country what a nice guy Obama is and it will all be over before the first debate... pathetic losing strategy .. my man Newt would have long been opening up a can of whoop ass on Obama’s pathetically incompetent presidency by now.. Americans love a fighter and Romney isn’t one
One thing everyone seems to be missing here is the 09-11 effect.
There is a 4-5 point rally to the flag effect during the anniversary of 09-11. Like it or not the fact O was in charge when the Seals got Bin Laden is going to help him in the polls for the next week or so.
Unless it's against other Republicans.
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