How 'The Shy Republican' Could Be Masking a Landslide

American Thinker ^ | August 30, 2012 | Adam Shaw

[AU72]

To many, especially those of us on the right, it seems peculiar that Obama is still remotely in the race. I propose that all polls, not just left-leaning polls, may be being strongly misled by their data, and Romney/Ryan may actually have a huge lead not seen in polls. It is my contention that this is due to a mix of the infamous Bradley effect and what is known in Britain as "the Shy Tory Factor," with both coming together to exaggerate just how popular Obama is in America. Yet there is another factor that, mixed with Bradley, could radically distort the numbers -- and it is a concept not known in America, but known very well in the United Kingdom. Called "The Shy Tory Effect,". The concept was coined after the British general election of 1992, the final result was a total shock -- a comfortable win for the Tories,. According to the mainstream media, the Republicans want to deny people health care, throw Granny off a cliff, and generally reduce the country to a Dickensian nightmare when the rich get richer, and it is not difficult to see why those intending to vote Republican may not wish to publicly identify as so, even to a pollster promising anonymity, in fear of being judged as the new Jim Crow. The Bradley effect has been influential, if at all, only by a few overall percentage points. But if it is wrapped up with an American version of the much more powerful "Shy Tory Factor," we conservatives may be in for a treat in the form of a massive landslide come the first Tuesday in November.

[justiceseeker93]

Contrary to the posted article, the real reason for a possible or even likely big Romney win is not the "Bradley effect" nor "the shy Republican," but rather that the bulk of the undecideds and a lot of the third party support generally go toward the challenger over the incumbent as the election draws near.

[potlatch]

I think people are more reticent about voicing their choice this year, tempers and anger are high. Voter fraud is what I fear more, hanging chads still linger in my mind.

[novemberslady]

bkmk

[PapaNew]

What I don’t get is in southeast Virginia (Virginia Beach) we get hot humidity coming off the water pretty much all summer long. I don’t get why St. Croix wouldn’t have a worse humidity problem because you are so much further south and as far as I know right smack in the middle of the warm Gulf Stream.

[Impy]

Haven’t seen much of a “post convention bump” have we? Worrysome? Or are convos now just passe?

The rat convo looks like it will be an angry hatefest.

[campaignPete R-CT]

worrisome? Why spend an ounce of thought on the Rommsters when I got top-rate conservatives in my area runnin’ for the legislature. This site is going to focus on prez stuff for 2 months. With so much stuff going on that is important.