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Tropical Storm Isaac
NOAA/NHC ^ | 22 August 2012 | NOAA/NHC

Posted on 08/22/2012 1:47:19 PM PDT by NautiNurse

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Will Isaac survive a collision with the Cordillera mountains of Hispaniola? Will Isaac rain on the GOP parade? Current forecast models are in general agreement that some formation of Isaac is headed toward Florida. Discuss...
1 posted on 08/22/2012 1:47:29 PM PDT by NautiNurse
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To: abb; abbi_normal_2; aberaussie; abner; AbsoluteGrace; alancarp; Alas Babylon!; Alia; ...
Tropical storm warning and hurricane watch in effect for Puerto Rico, the U.S. Virgin Islands, all of Haiti.

Max sustained winds 45 mph, 1004 mb
Moving W at 22 mph


On/Off Hurricane List Mash Here-->

2 posted on 08/22/2012 1:49:17 PM PDT by NautiNurse (I don't come around much anymore...)
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To: NautiNurse

FWIW, the latest computer model run (ECMWF) shifts landfall east and puts Isaac as a Cat 4/5 storm at the mouth of the Mississippi next Wednesday, Aug. 29.

Anniversary of Katrina. Direct hit on NOLA.

I’m not making this up.

The storm is still organizing, and the center of circulation has shifted southward. Other models will run later today and may or may not verify what this run predicts.

It’s too far out to know, still a week away. There will probably be many more shifts before landfall.


3 posted on 08/22/2012 1:52:24 PM PDT by Jedidah
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To: NautiNurse

All right. You are posting about this, so it is time to pay attention. :)


4 posted on 08/22/2012 1:52:46 PM PDT by gov_bean_ counter (Too many thinking Freepers have left the building...)
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To: NautiNurse

The 5 PM report is out. It looks like ground zero has moved from Ft. Myers further north and west around Port Charlotte. Check out the link at Weatherunderground: http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at201209_model.html


5 posted on 08/22/2012 1:53:59 PM PDT by shortstop (It's too bad that stupidity isn't painful)
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To: NautiNurse

I prefer that yellow spaghetti noodle...apologies to folks on the upper east coast, but a hurricane does not fit with my current plans.


6 posted on 08/22/2012 1:55:28 PM PDT by brytlea (An ounce of chocolate is worth a pound of cure)
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marked for later


7 posted on 08/22/2012 1:57:07 PM PDT by piroque ("In times of universal deceit, telling the truth becomes a revolutionary act")
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To: NautiNurse

BTW Friday is the 20-Year anniversary of Hurricane Andrew hitting South Florida.


8 posted on 08/22/2012 1:58:01 PM PDT by dfwgator
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To: NautiNurse
Hey NN!

SHOOT!

That's all I'll say.

9 posted on 08/22/2012 1:58:01 PM PDT by blam
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To: NautiNurse

Thank you, ma’am. Much appreciated.


10 posted on 08/22/2012 1:58:28 PM PDT by Rushmore Rocks
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To: NautiNurse

The present track and strength estimates have Isaac putting a major hit on the Keys.

Way back in 1986 - 1987, when the world was young(or at least I thought so), I was in the USAF stationed at Key West Naval Station, Truman Annex. I was considered essential personnel (communications), and would have had to stay at my post during a hurricane. You can bet I sweated out those hurricane seasons.


11 posted on 08/22/2012 1:59:21 PM PDT by jimtorr
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To: dfwgator

Shhhhhh!


12 posted on 08/22/2012 1:59:34 PM PDT by brytlea (An ounce of chocolate is worth a pound of cure)
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To: NautiNurse

Maybe Ryan should go surfing on Monday.


13 posted on 08/22/2012 2:00:10 PM PDT by Trueblackman (I would rather lose on Conservative principles than vote for a RINO candidate.)
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To: NautiNurse

The expression at the Cyber Liberty household: It ain’t a Hurricane until NautiNurse posts a thread on FR...

:^)


14 posted on 08/22/2012 2:02:21 PM PDT by Cyber Liberty (Obama considers the Third World morally superior to the United States.)
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To: Jedidah

Latest ECMWF Model link:

http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/euro/12zeurotropical500mbSLP192.gif

This is only ONE model run. There are a number of models, of which the ECMWF and GFS are deemed the most reliable recently. NWS, WeatherUnderground, TWC, etc. use composites of the various models to plot predictive graphs.

There will be multiple runs this evening.

Still a long way out, but a Tampa landfall is looking less likely.


15 posted on 08/22/2012 2:04:47 PM PDT by Jedidah
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To: NautiNurse
Ugh! I'm heading down to Florida for the Convention on Sunday.
16 posted on 08/22/2012 2:08:33 PM PDT by CTGOPPER (Republican in Connecticut)
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To: Cyber Liberty
It ain’t a Hurricane until NautiNurse posts a thread on FR...
:^)

LOL!

As a Tampa Bay resident, I can guarantee this storm is at the top of the local news stories. Fortunately, we had a rehearsal early in the season with Debby. That storm certainly wasn't a dry run either.

We've got all the supplies ready. Hoping we can avoid evacuation.

17 posted on 08/22/2012 2:13:47 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Rumors of my demise have been greatly exaggerated)
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To: CTGOPPER
We really are the party of STUPID, aren't we?

70,000 delegates to Florida during hurricane season.

18 posted on 08/22/2012 2:15:10 PM PDT by daniel boob (This space for rent.)
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To: Cyber Liberty; NautiNurse

Awesome! Dittos!

That track looks like it would hit Cedar Key/Panama City. We’re in Alabama just North of there.


19 posted on 08/22/2012 2:15:37 PM PDT by Alas Babylon!
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To: Jedidah
Still a long way out, but a Tampa landfall is looking less likely.

That's good, but if it's a Cat 4/5 hurricane spinning toward landfall in one of the gulf states, the convention ain't gonna get a whole lot of coverage.

When is the big night at the convention - 8/29 or 8/30?

20 posted on 08/22/2012 2:16:00 PM PDT by randita (Paul Ryan is "Mr. Smith goes to Washington.")
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